Here comes the second wave

ZNP

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ZNP

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HERE COMES THE SECOND WAVE

Countries in Asia began the process of lifting the lockdowns last month. With the earliest cases of the pandemic and some of the more effective means of handling it, everyone was keeping a close eye on these countries as they emerged from restrictions.

South Korea marked the ending of the most strict social distancing measures last week. Within days, numbers of the infected began to spike. The spike in South Korea’s numbers resulted entirely from one man’s night out going to clubs. South Korean President Moon Jae-in warned Koreans to “brace for the pandemic’s second wave.”

The Chinese province of Wuhan, where the COVID19 outbreak first began and where the lockdown ended the previous month, experienced its first cluster of new infections.

Iran – one of the early epicentres of the epidemic – had lifted its lockdown. But on May 10, Iran put a region of the country under a second lockdown after a sharp increase of cases in the province.

Lebanon, after emerging from the virus and the restrictions nearly two weeks ago, has put the entire country again under a lockdown as infections started to spike. Just ten days after reopening, Lebanon announced a four-day lockdown of the country, prompting grocery stores to once again be quickly emptied of essential items. This is all taking place in the midst of the country experiencing a brutal economic and financial crisis, one which began prior to the pandemic, and resulted in massive protests and social unrest that began late last year and continued even in the midst of the pandemic, as hunger and desperation spread. (Meanwhile, many Americans were protesting because they want haircuts, to go golfing, and for their favourite restaurants to be opened again.)


Here Comes the Second Wave — Hampton Institute
 
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ZNP

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I'm only seeing a clear second wave in Iran and Lebanon.
But then you are counting Brazil, Mexico and Russia as the first wave. Also, it is extremely difficult to get any legitimate numbers from these three countries, you have to see bodies piling up and reports from people at hospitals.

Also Bangladesh just had millions of people evacuate from the storm piling into shelters, and this is quite near the biggest refugee camp in the world. Let's see what happens in 2 weeks there.
 
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nonaeroterraqueous

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But then you are counting Brazil, Mexico and Russia as the first wave.
I'm counting a lot more than that as first wave. I don't know about China (no one does), but South Korea isn't waving. The vast majority of countries aren't. Djibouti is getting a second one, but that's credited to them finally getting decent testing.

The U.S. is still on its previous course.
 
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ZNP

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I'm counting a lot more than that as first wave. I don't know about China (no one does), but South Korea isn't waving. The vast majority of countries aren't. Djibouti is getting a second one, but that's credited to them finally getting decent testing.

The U.S. is still on its previous course.
The Spanish flu first hit in March of 1918, the second wave hit in the fall of 1918. With that as an example, we have already been warned that this fall is when they are most worried of a 2nd wave.
 
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nonaeroterraqueous

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we have already been warned that this fall is when they are most worried of a 2nd wave.
It presumes that the summer weather will keep the disease at bay. Even so, a release in restrictions should cause some kind of increase in the near future, unless the restrictions didn't do any good.
 
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ZNP

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nonaeroterraqueous

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Alabama hospitals are out of ICU beds, Montgomery's mayor says. That 'dire' situation could crop up across rural America as states reopen.

That's speculative. Alabama has been seeing increases in cases all along, now, and not just since reopening. Most notably, it looks like the increase began in earnest at the end of April, before the reopening. There's a lot of speculation about the harm that reopening will do, based on the speculation that the closure did any good.
 
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ZNP

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That's speculative. Alabama has been seeing increases in cases all along, now, and not just since reopening. Most notably, it looks like the increase began in earnest at the end of April, before the reopening. There's a lot of speculation about the harm that reopening will do, based on the speculation that the closure did any good.
I am simply creating a journal. A month from now we'll have more data on the potential harm, if any, of reopening. One way or another we'll learn more about how to respond in a future pandemic.
 
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ZNP

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Yemeni gravediggers overwhelmed amid spike in virus deaths

Yemeni gravediggers overwhelmed amid spike in virus deaths

Mohammed Ebeid, a gravedigger in Aden, said there's been five times the normal traffic, with 51 burials in the last week at the cemetery where he works.

“This is something strange, we’ve never seen it before,” he told The Associated Press late last week.
 
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jgarden

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New York and the surrounding area can't get their infection rates under control so the rest of the country has to stay in lockdown and go bankrupt?
New York and New Jersey are the major destinations for international flights that brought the COVID-19 pandemic from Europe - given that the federal airport authorities, Governors and Mayors had no access to the necessary testing that the CDC was supposed to provide, they were unable to screen incoming passengers carrying the virus!

Those coronavirus incidents that forced the temporary closure pf several meat processing plants in the Mid-West have demonstrated that without social-distancing and proper PPEs, this virus can spread like wildfire - then progressing to their families and the community at large!

Without adequate testing, health authorities can't identify those "asymptomatic" carriers who exhibit none of the characteristics but unknowingly infect others!
 
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ZNP

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Anyone who watched the news is aware of how many States are thumbing their nose at social distancing and masks. I am including this video so you can see what it was like in NYC and I would also point out that NY has seen the most significant decrease in every metric on this since this point.

 
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