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Natural selection v Intelligent design

Loudmouth

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I guess thats where you need to investigate the criteria for what constitutes design and what doesn't. This has been done in a number of papers. But as I stated before there must be a line between what is designed and what isn't. If the picture looks very much like a car then it would be hard to believe that the maker didn't see that and realize what they had done. How can you make something look so much like a car when you didn't mean to. If he is choosing the brush strokes then he is choosing what its going to look like. When is a car not a car.


That is a subjective determination, not an objective one.

No the first point is life is fine tuned and there are too many conditions which have been met to say its a product of chance or accident.

The same could be said about almost any feature in the universe. Take a picture of any cloud. That specific shape, down to the inch, is extremely unlikely to happen by chance, yet it did. What you are doing is painting the bullseye around the bullet hole.

 
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stevevw

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The face on mars is only made by one pattern.
First off I think your getting ahead of yourself. The face on Mars is not a face. It only looks like a face at a certain distance and with the angle of light hitting it. It doesn't look like a face from another 100 different points of view. So is it a face or an illusion in reality. There for nothing is designed to start with. Secondly if it did happen to look like a face like some features in nature end up sort of doing we know it stems from an unguided process and just happens to fluke that look at that point in time. A good example of the opposite which has intentional design would be Mount Rushmore. No one would say that this can happen in nature from a chance and accidental process. It depicts design and intelligent influence.
The amount of fine tuning needed for a universe capable of producing our solar system with Mars and the geologic fine tuning to produce the face on Mars is equal to the fine tuning needed for life.
No its not because the face on Mars can be repeated all over the universe. Faces or shapes and features that look like human design are seen all the time in nature. Its not special to Mars or even that location on Mars. The patterns that formed that face are the same patterns that can form other faces on other planets so there's no fine tuning for this on Mars.


Then life is just another chemical reaction out of trillions that happen in the universe. No need for fine tuning.
Its more than just another chemical reaction. But thats what evolution would like us to think.

The exact geologic formation I have shown you is unique to Mars.
Yes but its not the specific geological formation we are talking about. Just like we dont focus on one specific life. It comes under the heading of formations made by nature that look like human design. Otherwise you are excluding all the other formations that are from the same forces that created the one on Mars. The one on Mars would be cause by erosion, wind, dirt ect. They are all the same ingredients for other formations. If you changed the wind by x amount of degree you will still get some formations.
It doesn't compare. Why do you think scientist make a point out of the fine tuning of the universe for life and not a mound of dirt on Mars.
 
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stevevw

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That is a subjective determination, not an objective one.
No they use calculations such as from engineering to determine what meets the design criteria and what doesn't. As I said papers have been done on this and they dont base these on subjectivity. Did you even read the papers.

The same could be said about almost any feature in the universe. Take a picture of any cloud. That specific shape, down to the inch, is extremely unlikely to happen by chance, yet it did. What you are doing is painting the bullseye around the bullet hole.
I think you trying to make unreal assertions now. A cloud is changing all the time. The fact it changes all the time shows it is subject to natural forces which could make it whatever shape according to those natural forces. What happens in that split moment is just one freeze frame of the clouds random shapes that are constantly changing.
 
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Loudmouth

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No they use calculations such as from engineering to determine what meets the design criteria and what doesn't.

Here is the crystal structure of a protein binding to DNA:

kpago.jpg


Using those equations, determine if that protein is designed.

As I said papers have been done on this and they dont base these on subjectivity.

Show us how they are objective and can be applied to biology.

Did you even read the papers.

Did you? They are your references, so it is up to you to present them.

I think you trying to make unreal assertions now. A cloud is changing all the time. The fact it changes all the time shows it is subject to natural forces which could make it whatever shape according to those natural forces. What happens in that split moment is just one freeze frame of the clouds random shapes that are constantly changing.

Species are also changing which shows that they are subject to natural forces.
 
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Foxhole87

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There are certain things that even a rare event cannot do.
How do you tell those apart? You STILL haven't answered this question.
It seems to me that meeting the many physical constants that make life possible on planet earth is one of them.
An argument from personal incredulity from a non-expert, all of which is icing on a colossal argument from ignorance? You are a master baker.
These are very precise conditions which have to be in place at the same time and in many cases pointing to the same small place in an unlimited universe.
You are mixing the argument that the universe is fine-tuned for life with the earth being fine-tuned for life. You haven't reconciled this problem, something you've been doing for pages and pages and pages.
A a rare event that happens to look like design wouldn't have that level preciseness.
What "level of preciseness"?
Says who? How? By what measure? By what accuracy of that measurement?
The odds are just to great that it goes beyond chance or accident to acknowledging that something had to have had some controlling influence to ensure that this was the outcome rather than the many other possibilities.
I'll take "blind, vague conjectures" for 500, Alex.
That is why some scientists like to use the multiverse idea as a way to address the fine tuning argument.
Reading you accusing scientists of sliding the goalpost back is absolutely hilarious.
By appealing to many universes it makes our finely tuned one just one of many and adds the chance factor back in.
Sorry, you continue to confuse "fine-tuned universe" with "fine-tuned earth". If the universe is finely-tuned for life, there would be lots of it all over the place. If only the earth was finely-tuned for life, then earth may be the only planet with life on it in the whole universe out of accident.
But if there is only one universe the chances of it being the exact one perfect for life from a random accident such as the big bang is highly unlikely.
Or if there is only one universe the size of the observable universe, there's trillions of trillions planets, each featuring trillions of trillions of accidental trials where life can begin.
 
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quatona

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I guess thats where you need to investigate the criteria for what constitutes design and what doesn't. This has been done in a number of papers. But as I stated before there must be a line between what is designed and what isn't. If the picture looks very much like a car then it would be hard to believe that the maker didn't see that and realize what they had done. How can you make something look so much like a car when you didn't mean to. If he is choosing the brush strokes then he is choosing what its going to look like. When is a car not a car.

Yeah, how could someone make this Mars thing look so much like a human face when he didn´t mean to?

Like I said if it turns out that others may see a car in what he has done its going to be in their minds so the picture is going to be ambiguous and not clearly defined. If it is clearly defined as a car then how can the artists say he didn't realize he was painting a car.. That would be dishonest or he would lack artistic insight. But if the artist threw his paint up in the air and it came down and happened to paint a car that would be luck and not intentional. But we know that this is unlikely so chance and accident dont normally create something that is clearly designed. It may look a bit like it but we would also see that it could be many other things as well and it would be up for interpretation.

No the first point is life is fine tuned and there are too many conditions which have been met to say its a product of chance or accident.
Same goes for the thing on Mars.
So the odds have been assessed as too great for a random accident being able to fluke that result.
A rare phenomenon is only significant if you pre-assume intent.
It would be like throwing a bunch of letters up in the air and them coming to write out a paragraph of intelligent and meaningful words.
How so? Was there - just like we have words to which we can compare the paragraph to - a life that we can compare the actually existing life to?
 
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Foxhole87

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I dont understand what you are trying to say here.
*sigh*

Was this designed or simply random paint thrown willy-nilly at a canvas?
MXJRjgb.jpg

To me it sounds more like an argument like the multiverse.
No, it is more like how the whole universe (just the one, even) is sufficiently large that even tremendously unlikely events are inevitable.
They say that our special finely tuned universe (or winning lottery ticket) is just one of a million or billion or whatever the size of the equation you want. So it accounts for that one special universe or ticket by saying that its just one of many and that all have the same chance of being special.
I'm not talking about the multiverse, stop talking about it as though it means anything to our discussion. I'm not making the claim that a multiverse is likely or the case. Our one universe, the observable universe, is extremely enormous. Our planet may be the one instance where things happened to line up in a mildly fortunate way.
It just happens to be the one that was picked.Even though ours is just right for life there will be others that are pretty close as well.
EXACTLY. It just happens that you live on earth and you only know about earth, so you think your outcome is special. Your position is literally "the universe was fine-tuned to produce life on earth", which is an absolute absurd claim.
Smaller lotteries are held at say a footy club in a meat raffle for example. Only 100 tickets are sold and bought by 100 different people. But each person still is 100/1 to win. It doesn't matter that enough people buy every combination. Because its still based on random luck.
Thank you for the largely irrelevant statistics lesson. If each person buys a ticket, then someone is ABSOLUTELY going to win. If there are enough players, and each player has a different ticket, then there will be at least one winner, guaranteed.
But if there were many factors that pointed to one particular number being the one that was going to win beyond luck then you would be starting to object (hey there's something going on here and its rigged).
There are several multiple-lottery winners in the US and Canada. I'm super interested in how you determine the threshold of "lucky", though.
But all the variables of time, circumstances and physics seemed to point to this one number above all numbers being the one and it was inevitable that this one particular number would win. Thats how the fine tuning of the universe for life works.
If those parameters apply to the universe, then the universe would be crowded with planets full of creatures running around.
Who put the 150 numbers there in the first place.Why those particular 150 numbers. What factors are causing those 150 numbers to be the ones more than others. If there were 100 or more factors that precisely predicted those 150 numbers then wouldn't you begin to wonder that something was favoring those numbers more than others.
Are... are you serious? Do you not understand what I'm saying? I'm saying that you can pick any random chain of 150 numbers and that exact chain of 150 numbers appears somewhere in Pi. There are countless chains of 150 numbers that do not match your 150, but you are absolutely assured that your selection will appear. There are only a handful of factors that come into what Pi is: the ratio of a circle's diameter to its circumference, and Pi doesn't care what 150 numbers you picked.
I don’t state how fine tuned things are. The scientists who do the math’s do. I am only repeating what they have said themselves.
You've been lifting quotes from people who obviously disagree with practically every one of your significant conclusions.
The lottery ticket isn't fined tuned because it is picked randomly. There isn't a bunch of conditions forcing any particular number/s to be picked.
You're begging the question.
But if there was you would then be saying its rigged to end up picking that particular number. Hence the intervention of someone and not just blind luck. That is the fine tuning argument. Here are some non religious scientists of which there are many that accept the fine tuning of the universe.
What is preventing me from selecting the correct Mega Millions number every day for a week? Or twice in my lifetime? Or every day for a month?
Dr. Dennis Scania, the distinguished head of Cambridge University Observatories:
If you change a little bit the laws of nature, or you change a little bit the constants of nature—like the charge on the electron—then the way the universe develops is so changed, it is very likely that intelligent life would not have been able to develop.
Googling "Dr. Dennis Scania" returns nothing relevant.
Dr. David D. Deutsch, Institute of Mathematics, Oxford University:
“The really amazing thing is not that life on Earth is balanced on a knife-edge, but that the entire universe is balanced on a knife-edge, and would be total chaos if any of the natural ‘constants’ were off even slightly.
I hope you understand why I'm dismissing this as a desperate quote mine.
Stephen Hawking (perhaps the world’s most famous cosmologist)
“The remarkable fact is that the values of these numbers (i.e. the constants of physics) seem to have been very finely adjusted to make possible the development of life”.
Since you won't give the context surrounding your desperate quote mine, I will: he is addressing life as we know it on earth. That's the hard part with not knowing all of the variables and not being able to test every possible outcome of all cosmic constraints: life may exist, and it may be different. Or it might not, and nobody knows.
So these scientists aren't religious and are not pushing any agenda. They just say it like it is.
Ah, but you are religious and you're pushing an agenda, which is why you only offered tiny snippets of things you claim they say with no reference to the source material and the surrounding context.
You have to calculate through a set of parameters whether something is chance and random or not. To do this you need to go back over and determine why something happened.
"I don't know why this happened, therefore, it must have been an engineered outcome"?
Were there controlling factors that point to the outcome being what it was or was it from mere coincident and a random situation? Scientists have looked at the 100s of factors that all add up to the universe being finely tuned for life. In other words there are too many factors that all need to be just right at the same time for it to happen.
Who are these scientists? What do they say?
To many that it goes beyond random chance. This is not my conclusions this is the scientists conclusions.
No, they are your conclusions.
No even main stream scientists say the same. It is what it is. The fine tune argument isn't a creationist or ID argument. It is one from main stream science that has just been observed.
Any claim they make of "fine-tuning" is retrospective and certainly not what you're trying to argue.
But your reaction is typical from some who cant handle the facts and want to attack it or undermine the maths or blame it on a religious ploy.
This, coming from an irrelevant non-expert who is going to wave around quote-mined snippets from relevant and credible experts in order to bolster the credibility of your position while you simultaneously simply "disagree" with the rest of their conclusion, is an indication of intellectual bankruptcy.
phys.org is a mainstream science site. They go into the issue and detail how mainstream science sees it.
When science and philosophy collide in a 'fine-tuned' universe
http://phys.org/news/2014-04-science-philosophy-collide-fine-tuned-universe.html
The anthropic principle is hardly something you can hang your hat on.
First off no one has stated that there must be a God because the universe if fined tuned for life. We have to get past the acknowledgement of the facts as they are first which you seem to want to avoid. Its like if you admit that there is fine tuning then you are admitting there's a God. But no one is asking that.
I make no such admission, but you need the universe to be fine-tuned if there is a God. Tell me, exactly what are the unavoidable implications of a fine-tuned universe?
Secondly its the scientists who are arguing from ignorance as you call it because they are the ones saying it, not me. It doesn't matter if you dont know why it happens. It matters that it happens beyond a point of assessing it be be just luck that everything fell into place.
You don't get to hide behind your quote-mined scientists and hope their presence shields you from the fallacious arguments you are making. You are making a fallacious argument, an argument from ignorance.
Even if you could explain why each particular condition happened it still doesn't explain why so many of them happened to be all working just right to create the conditions for life. Here is a paper talking about random chance in nature verses design qualities.
Nobody needs to explain why. .
Self-organization vs. self-ordering events in life-origin models
I can only read the abstract, and the abstract doesn't really say anything you are suggesting the paper says.
 
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Foxhole87

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The follow-on post would be mostly me repeating myself, but linking to an article published in Design and Nature is like linking to a "TNG-Only" blog when discussing the merits of Kirk vs. Picard. Design and Nature is self-publishing source of nonsense, as demonstrated here and their maximally classy "we will sue you for talking bad about us" reaction as demonstrated here.
 
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stevevw

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Here is the crystal structure of a protein binding to DNA:

kpago.jpg


Using those equations, determine if that protein is designed.
It is the engineers who determine is something has design qualities to it. They have the expertise as they are the ones who can determine the maths and calculations involved in something that is designed or something that is just random chance. Quite often you here of engineers using nature as a way to improve their design models. They get ideas from nature for making better designs. So when is design not design. If it looks like design and acts like design, chances are its designed.

Show us how they are objective and can be applied to biology.
They will look into the fine details of how a bird wing for example is structured. How parts are interlinked and work the same as man made design. So they will assess whether the unctions and components of a wing for example are designed or just came together by chance.
This paper goes into more detail. It talks about for example how the bards on one end of a feather will have left handed hooks and the adjoining ones have right handed gaps that fit exactly into each other. Both are separate yet are made for each other. This type of functions is seen often in nature and in the finer detail of biological creatures.
Evidence Of Design In Bird Feathers And Avian Respiration
http://www.witpress.com/elibrary/dne-volumes/4/2/399

Did you? They are your references, so it is up to you to present them.
Of course, and I have often used this as an example of design verses naturalistic events. There are certain criteria that need to be met with design for which nature doesn't have.
Complexity, self-organization, and emergence at the edge of chaos in life-origin models
No mechanism has been demonstrated empirically whereby physicodynamics spontaneously generates sophisticated algorithmic optimization or bonafide organization. Switches must be set a certain way to achieve integrated circuits.
Order can spontaneously emerge from chaos. But if chaos sets configurable switches, the result will predictably “blue screen.” Without steering towards sophisticated function at each decision node, sophisticated function has never been
observed to arise spontaneously.
http://www.researchgate.net/publica...ce_at_the_edge_of_chaos_in_life-origin_models

Species are also changing which shows that they are subject to natural forces.
Their changes may be the result of pre existing information or the ability to tap into existing info in other creatures are the environment around them.
 
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stevevw

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*sigh*

Was this designed or simply random paint thrown willy-nilly at a canvas?
Its hard to say what the artists intentions were. I am not an art critic to know the deeper levels of art. They say blue poles is a magnificent painting showing complex artistic genius but to many it looks like this a bunch of blotches on a canvas. So I guess you have to know your art to understand the design. But what would you say if someone said they threw that paint at the paper and it made a beautiful landscape picture. Would you believe them. What would the odds be. Yet this is what evolution and naturalistic processes say happens in nature with some of the complex design we see. They say you can throw colors at the moth wings and create a beautiful painting. Here is a moth with a mural painting on its wings. Yet we are suppose to believe this was created by random and chance mutations.
flypoopmoth.jpg

http://www.myrmecos.net/2011/08/30/a-mural-on-moth-wings/

There are two flies on the moths wings which are not just any old flies. They are specific flies that are know in nature to make a predator sick if they eat them. They are identified by the red tips they have. They are feasting on some bird droppings and the detail of the painting even has a glint of white in the right spot to make the whole thing look real by showing the light reflection off the flies wings. So every color and shape is in the right place and it can rival a human water color with its detail and design. So how does this happen bit by bit without it ending up a mess or being rejected as a blotch of meaning less well bird droppings.

No, it is more like how the whole universe (just the one, even) is sufficiently large that even tremendously unlikely events are inevitable.
Inevitable to the point where the odds of it happening are impossible.

I'm not talking about the multiverse, stop talking about it as though it means anything to our discussion. I'm not making the claim that a multiverse is likely or the case. Our one universe, the observable universe, is extremely enormous. Our planet may be the one instance where things happened to line up in a mildly fortunate way.
Mildly fortunate way. They say the odds of our one universe lining up and being just right for life are impossible odds. Here are just 4 constants and their odds so imagine the dozens of physical constants and their odds all lining up.

Ratio of Electrons:protons 1:10/37
Ratio of Electromagnetic Force:Gravity 1:10/40
Expansion Rate of Universe 1:10/55
Mass Density of Universe1 1:10/59
Cosmological Constant 1:10/120
The accumulated odds would be greater that one over all the atoms in the universe and more.
Astrophysicist Hugh Ross has calculated the probability that these and other constants (122 in all) would exist today for any planet in the universe by chance (I.e., without Divine design). Assuming there are 1022 planets in the universe (a very large number: 1 with 22 zeros following it), his answer is shocking; one chance in 10138, that’s one chance in one with 138 zeros after it. There are only about 1070 atoms in the entire universe.

EXACTLY. It just happens that you live on earth and you only know about earth, so you think your outcome is special. Your position is literally "the universe was fine-tuned to produce life on earth", which is an absolute absurd claim.
Thank you for the largely irrelevant statistics lesson. If each person buys a ticket, then someone is ABSOLUTELY going to win. If there are enough players, and each player has a different ticket, then there will be at least one winner, guaranteed.
Yes and the odds for that one winner will be great because its based on chance. But if there were 122 conditions that pointed to that one person winning then you would say that the lottery was fixed. By stating it was fixed you are then acknowledging that there was some meddling going on and someone or something was controlling things to ensure that end result.

There are several multiple-lottery winners in the US and Canada. I'm super interested in how you determine the threshold of "lucky", though
Ah if there are 1 million tickets sold and each person bought one ticket then the odds will be 1 million to one. Is that not luck enough. The more tickets you hold the more chances you have of holding the winning ticket. So the odds start to go in your favor the more tickets you have. But the lottery is still based on luck. Nothing you can do will cause the person drawing the ticket to home in on the ticket you have. Its blind luck.

If those parameters apply to the universe, then the universe would be crowded with planets full of creatures running around.
No your seeing things back the front. If all the conditions pointed to that one ticket being the one that was finely tuned to win then that would be the only one. There wouldn't be creatures running around everywhere because there wouldn't be many tickets or in this case planets that were homed in on. It would be just the one special place.

Are... are you serious? Do you not understand what I'm saying? I'm saying that you can pick any random chain of 150 numbers and that exact chain of 150 numbers appears somewhere in Pi. There are countless chains of 150 numbers that do not match your 150, but you are absolutely assured that your selection will appear. There are only a handful of factors that come into what Pi is: the ratio of a circle's diameter to its circumference, and Pi doesn't care what 150 numbers you picked.
I cant see the relevance to do with the fine tuning of the universe. There are over 122 physical constants that have to be fairly precise to allow life. In some cases such as with the gravitational force if altered by 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000001 percent, neither Earth nor our Sun would exist—and you would not be here reading this. These are specific conditions that need to be met. It goes beyond chance to a point where you have to consider something having some sort of influence on things.

You've been lifting quotes from people who obviously disagree with practically every one of your significant conclusions.
Did you even read the quotes from those scientists. Many mainstream scientists agree that there is fine tuning in the universe for life. You would have to be in denial to not acknowledge this.

You're begging the question.
No I'm stating exactly how the fine tuning works. There are over 122 physical constants that point to it being fine tuned. You begging the answer.

What is preventing me from selecting the correct Mega Millions number every day for a week? Or twice in my lifetime? Or every day for a month?
The millions of other tickets that are also available. Its called odds. The odds of you winning are about 1 in 258,890,850.0000. The odds for the cosmological constant being so fine tuned to produce life is one part in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion (10/60).

Googling "Dr. Dennis Scania" returns nothing relevant
There are many others who you should know like Stephen Hawkins for example. Physicist Paul Davies has asserted that "There is now broad agreement among physicists and cosmologists that the Universe is in several respects ‘fine-tuned' for life"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fine-tuned_Universe
So here we see that most scientists agree that the universe is fine tuned for life.

I hope you understand why I'm dismissing this as a desperate quote mine.
Refer to previous reference for wikipedia that most scientist agree with the fine tuning so its not a quote mine but a common agreed conclusion.

Since you won't give the context surrounding your desperate quote mine, I will: he is addressing life as we know it on earth. That's the hard part with not knowing all of the variables and not being able to test every possible outcome of all cosmic constraints: life may exist, and it may be different. Or it might not, and nobody knows.
Ive given the context in many different ways. I must have linked 10 plus different references for scientist supporting the fine tuning argument.

Ah, but you are religious and you're pushing an agenda, which is why you only offered tiny snippets of things you claim they say with no reference to the source material and the surrounding context.
No I haven't really gone into saying why the universe may be fine tuned. I am just trying to establish with you what many other people have already accepted. It doesn't mean there is a God. It could be that there is some alien race who are pulling all the strings. It might be there is an unknown factor that causes everything to follow certain paths in nature. It may be that there is a multiverse or other dimensions that we dont know about which have different tuning.

"I don't know why this happened, therefore, it must have been an engineered outcome"?
All that can be determined is whether something has the hallmarks of design or not.

Who are these scientists? What do they say
These are the experts in their fields of engineering for example. They are best to understand what it takes for something to be a product of design or a product of chance and accident or a bit of both. I have posted some papers with some of the experts results.

No, they are your conclusions.
If you say so, but just read the papers. Ie refer to odds posted earlier.

Any claim they make of "fine-tuning" is retrospective and certainly not what you're trying to argue.
what am I trying to argue.

This, coming from an irrelevant non-expert who is going to wave around quote-mined snippets from relevant and credible experts in order to bolster the credibility of your position while you simultaneously simply "disagree" with the rest of their conclusion, is an indication of intellectual bankruptcy.
Nope there's only one thing we agree on and thats the finely tuned universe for life.

The anthropic principle is hardly something you can hang your hat on
It is one of the best things to hang your hat on for proving the fine tuning argument. Refer to previous post or better still video.

I make no such admission, but you need the universe to be fine-tuned if there is a God. Tell me, exactly what are the unavoidable implications of a fine-tuned universe?
If there is a God and he is the creator then he needs to create. Life is very complex and full of design. It seems incredible that all this just came from nothing and made complexity out of simple things. It goes against all that is logical. The fine tuning for life may be just one aspect that points to design and therefor a designer.

You don't get to hide behind your quote-mined scientists and hope their presence shields you from the fallacious arguments you are making. You are making a fallacious argument, an argument from ignorance.
How.

I can only read the abstract, and the abstract doesn't really say anything you are suggesting the paper says.
OK here is another paper from the same author that is similar with the full content.
http://www.researchgate.net/publica...ce_at_the_edge_of_chaos_in_life-origin_models
 
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Loudmouth

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It is the engineers who determine is something has design qualities to it. They have the expertise as they are the ones who can determine the maths and calculations involved in something that is designed or something that is just random chance. Quite often you here of engineers using nature as a way to improve their design models. They get ideas from nature for making better designs. So when is design not design. If it looks like design and acts like design, chances are its designed.

That is a dodge.

You said that there are objective methods for determining if something is designed. Apparently, that isn't the case.

They will look into the fine details of how a bird wing for example is structured. How parts are interlinked and work the same as man made design. So they will assess whether the unctions and components of a wing for example are designed or just came together by chance.

The subjective determination of whether a bird wing looks like a human design is not objective. Also, it completely ignores the null hypothesis, that designs like those of humans can come about by natural means.
 
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FrumiousBandersnatch

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Here is a moth with a mural painting on its wings. Yet we are suppose to believe this was created by random and chance mutations.
flypoopmoth.jpg

http://www.myrmecos.net/2011/08/30/a-mural-on-moth-wings/

There are two flies on the moths wings which are not just any old flies. They are specific flies that are know in nature to make a predator sick if they eat them. They are identified by the red tips they have. They are feasting on some bird droppings and the detail of the painting even has a glint of white in the right spot to make the whole thing look real by showing the light reflection off the flies wings. So every color and shape is in the right place and it can rival a human water color with its detail and design. So how does this happen bit by bit without it ending up a mess or being rejected as a blotch of meaning less well bird droppings.

Inevitable to the point where the odds of it happening are impossible.
Not at all; stepwise refinement will do it. For example, butterflies with whitish wings and brownish bodies look more like bird droppings than all-brown butterflies (in some bird rich environment). So less get eaten and they reproduce more. Soon there's a whole population of white winged butterflies with brown bodies - but the predator soon adapts, and can better spot white wings on brown bodies. A random blob of brown on the wing looks unappetising from even closer, so those butterflies don't get picked off so quickly. Soon the population all have brown blobs. Over millions of generations and with a large population, all kinds of blobs, smudges, lines, and colours appear - mostly variations on the most successful pattern so far. Ones that look more unpleasant than the current most unpleasant will survive to breed more and the population will fill with their descendants. If a small red blob appears that looks vaguely like a horrible fly that predators are primed to avoid, it will rapidly spread through the population. The more like bird droppings and flies a butterfly appears, the closer a predator can be without noticing it - a huge advantage. Butterflies with less convincing patterns, e.g. where the red blob doesn't resemble a fly even at a distance, will quickly be eaten - remember that the predator is also evolving to be better at recognising these butterfly fake bird droppings and red-head flies. Eventually, the only surviving butterflies are those that can fool a canny predator even at close range.

But it takes a very long time and a very consistent environment to produce something like Macrocilix maia. However, if you look through the butterfly books, you'll see thousands of butterflies with patterns in similar positions on their wings, but with different pattern shapes and colours (particularly red, white, black, and brown) - a common one being contrasting concentric circles, imitating the appearance of large eyes, to scare off predators. Butterflies have evolved a flexible pattern generator for their wings, that allows them to effectively tailor the display area to fit the challenges (mainly predators) of their particular environmental niche. It's possible that Macrocilix maia evolved that pattern from a butterfly with wing eye spots, rather than evolving it from scratch.
 
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stevevw

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That is a dodge.

You said that there are objective methods for determining if something is designed. Apparently, that isn't the case.
I have always stated that the criteria for design needs to be determined by certain parameters. Yes there are methods and they are objective. And using principles of something like engineering is exactly the way in which you can determine design through principles of design. Otherwise what do you use to measure it against. It would then be subjective and up for interpretation of the individual rather than design principles in engineering. Its comparing chance and accident against design qualities with things like probability, spontaneity, complexity and information.
Self-organization vs. self-ordering events.

The subjective determination of whether a bird wing looks like a human design is not objective. Also, it completely ignores the null hypothesis, that designs like those of humans can come about by natural means.
How does a natural process make specific designed components. The bird wing doesn't just look designed as the paper states. It operates as designed with components that link together in separate parts that are made to fit together in specific ways. A random naturalists method would not know which specific component to make so chances are there will be many misaligned parts and there will be evidence for this in its history. But it seems the evidence shows well defined creatures and features that are made once and made well.
 
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stevevw

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Not at all; stepwise refinement will do it. For example, butterflies with whitish wings and brownish bodies look more like bird droppings than all-brown butterflies (in some bird rich environment). So less get eaten and they reproduce more. Soon there's a whole population of white winged butterflies with brown bodies - but the predator soon adapts, and can better spot white wings on brown bodies. A random blob of brown on the wing looks unappetising from even closer, so those butterflies don't get picked off so quickly. Soon the population all have brown blobs. Over millions of generations and with a large population, all kinds of blobs, smudges, lines, and colors appear - mostly variations on the most successful pattern so far. Ones that look more unpleasant than the current most unpleasant will survive to breed more and the population will fill with their descendants. If a small red blob appears that looks vaguely like a horrible fly that predators are primed to avoid, it will rapidly spread through the population. The more like bird droppings and flies a butterfly appears, the closer a predator can be without noticing it - a huge advantage. Butterflies with less convincing patterns, e.g. where the red blob doesn't resemble a fly even at a distance, will quickly be eaten - remember that the predator is also evolving to be better at recognizing these butterfly fake bird droppings and red-head flies. Eventually, the only surviving butterflies are those that can fool a canny predator even at close range
Its funny how evolution can belief such rubbish. Painting by numbers. Random mutations will produce a brown blob that looks like bird droppings. Why bird droppings. A brown blob could look like a 100 different things. The main reason it looks like bird droppings is the perspective that is given to it by it sitting in between two flies eating it. So what about all the other brown blobs that end up in all the other locations on the wings that look just as much like bird droppings in the scenario you want to make. Any location on the wings of a brown blob will look the same and have just as much chance of being that bird dropping. So which moths survive. The ones with the brown blobs up high on the wings or down low or to the left or to the right. How does the brown blob that happens to end up in the right spot for the rest of the picture later know that it needs to be there before hand.

See where this is going. Its suppose to be random so every location has the same chance because nothing has been established yet. It doesn't look like bird dropping. It just looks like a brown mark and it wont be selected as bird droppings because it doesn't look like that. Doe the bird droppings determine the entire picture that comes later or does it chop and change along the way. Who knows we may end up with a portrait of the president on the wings if we get the right blob in the right position.

But in reality its just a mark that doesn't mean anything and wont give any advantage no more than all the others because its so undefined. You just want to make it more meaningful that it is because thats how evolution is suppose to work. And thats the same for the whole picture. Each blob is random and can end anywhere and each has just the same amount of influence because nothing has been put into any perspective. The reason why the picture works on the moth wings is because its an entire scene with all the details in place. The bird dropping look like that because they are being eaten by the flies. The bit of red you refer to isn't just a random bit of red. It is specifically placed on the head of the fly to identify it as the one fly out of 100s of flies that will do the job of keeping predators away. The red dot could have randomly occurred anywhere on the wings and it wouldn't have meant anything unless its on the head of the fly.

Otherwise its a pretty spot that could end up on the tip of the wing or on the underside and never seen. But when its produced and means nothing it is not really selected because there is no good reason to select it. So the chances of the entire picture happening by random mutations is zero. It cant pop out a part of a fly for example in the right place. A part of a fly will just look like a mark which will not be selected. The entire fly needs to be there at once to have any clarity and meaning. The moth would have had to have had the entire picture produced in one go complete which is a specific picture that protects it in nature. IN fact the moth has an inbuilt knowledge of this which is was designed with. Those particular flies are in that area and live in the same network as the moth and its no coincident that this is the picture that the moth uses.

But it takes a very long time and a very consistent environment to produce something like Macrocilix maia. However, if you look through the butterfly books, you'll see thousands of butterflies with patterns in similar positions on their wings, but with different pattern shapes and colours (particularly red, white, black, and brown) - a common one being contrasting concentric circles, imitating the appearance of large eyes, to scare off predators. Butterflies have evolved a flexible pattern generator for their wings, that allows them to effectively tailor the display area to fit the challenges (mainly predators) of their particular environmental niche. It's possible that Macrocilix maia evolved that pattern from a butterfly with wing eye spots, rather than evolving it from scratch.
So this indicates design patterns. Otherwise your saying random mutations are choosing particular patterns, colors and shapes which is pointing to design anyway. This is what I am saying that evolution is now claiming that nature can design and create itself. Because there is so much design we see in life evolution now has to appeal to the capabilities of design to account for it. They cant pretend anymore that there isn't design in nature. So the next best thing now is to claim that evolution also has design qualities. The design you have when your not having design.
 
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Loudmouth

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I have always stated that the criteria for design needs to be determined by certain parameters. Yes there are methods and they are objective.

Then show how those objective methods can be used to determine if the protein I posted a picture of is designed or not.

How does a natural process make specific designed components. The bird wing doesn't just look designed as the paper states. It operates as designed with components that link together in separate parts that are made to fit together in specific ways. A random naturalists method would not know which specific component to make so chances are there will be many misaligned parts and there will be evidence for this in its history. But it seems the evidence shows well defined creatures and features that are made once and made well.

Evolution isn't random, so your argument is moot.
 
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joshua 1 9

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They say you can throw colors at the moth wings and create a beautiful painting. Here is a moth with a mural painting on its wings. Yet we are suppose to believe this was created by random and chance mutations.
flypoopmoth.jpg

http://www.myrmecos.net/2011/08/30/a-mural-on-moth-wings/
Design follows the structure, that is the way the genes are expressed. That determines when the pigment genes get turned on and off. They claim our interpretation is explained using a Rorschach test.
 
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Foxhole87

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There's nothing else for me to say. Steve's cognitive dissonance is hot enough to boil tungsten. There's simply too much wrong to address everything, both in his assumptions, his conclusions, and his rampant misrepresentation of experts. For every correction made, he makes two more errors.

He hasn't answered my question about how he discerns a finely-tuned outcome from a tremendously rare yet inevitable outcome.
 
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FredVB

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In considering what might show design, consider how it is that you have a mind which can come to know what is true, which is so in reality. How is this possible, for the most abstract concepts, from natural processes? Is it explained just from that? Why not call something like that design which is not explained from natural processes?
 
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