No they do not stand a chance in the Methodist Church. The church is international and the LGBT movement is local by comparison. My wife & I knows the people in the Philippines and Hong Kong that get appointed to go to the conference and we have personally talked to them so we know what the general attitude is in the Church. There are always picketers outside of the conference. They always appoint a group to discuss this issue. A recommendation is made and the representatives vote it down.
I was a part of an Episcopal Church group that separated from the Episcopal Church when they began to ordain LGBT people. They began their own Anglican Diocese with about 70 churches in a tri state area. This was no small thing for some because their buildings were owned by the Episcopal Church. So one of the churches I attended had to give up their building and buy a new building all over again. This was an inner city church designed to assist the homeless inner city people. So the LGBT community hurt their own cause by refusing the help that was being offered to them. They want to convert the church. They are not open and receptive to the being converted themselves.
Church is about reaching out and helping those that are in need. A Church is about the promotion of Jesus, not the promotion of any individual cause. People try to use the church to gain support for things, but that is not what the church is here to do. People try to get support for their social, political or environmental issues but that is not the purpose or mission of the Church. We are to be in the world, not of this world. A church is not something we hijack, a church is what we are to build. We are to compel people to come in to join the church. Not try to convert the church to promote our agenda.
Yes promoting a cause, especially an ungodly one like this as in marrying homosexuals or ordaining them or allowing them to preach, is a contention causing dissensions, which means it is a work of the FLESH. Which it obviously is, they want all people to accept their choices as good and wholesome and blessed of God.
God has it all very well covered what are works of the flesh. And clearly these people who practice as in they are unrepentant of them, are not filled with His Spirit, they are filled with the spirit that works in the sons of disobedience , as in they are SATANICALLY inspired.. And yes they are in the visible church and they trouble the true church as Jude spoke about.
Galatians 5:19-21 New King James Version (NKJV)
19 Now the works of the flesh are evident, which are: adultery, fornication, uncleanness, lewdness,
20 idolatry, sorcery, hatred,
contentions, jealousies, outbursts of wrath,
selfish ambitions, dissensions, heresies,
21 envy, murders, drunkenness, revelries, and the like; of which I tell you beforehand, just as I also told you in time past, that those who practice such things will not inherit the kingdom of God.