That's a falsehood. Thanks for the guess, though.I get that. You've been trained to believe that anything that sounds even moderately critical of the vaccines is "anti-vax" in nature.
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That's a falsehood. Thanks for the guess, though.I get that. You've been trained to believe that anything that sounds even moderately critical of the vaccines is "anti-vax" in nature.
Have you ever tried public speaking? I took a class on it and I can't think of one speech I made where I didn't flub a word or lose my place at one point. Especially if we are talking about 30-minute speeches or on-the-fly public addresses. You could search any president's speeches and see just as many flubs.Just too many examples to count.
joe biden senior moments at DuckDuckGo
Are there still problems with the corrected paper? It still says covid is a leading cause of death for 0-19 year olds. Apparently the errors Kelley found were not significant enough to alter the general finding.That paper was a complete disaster and it should have been retracted.
Do you have any evidence that the approval of the vaccines for those under five depended on that specific ranking of #5?And even with all of that finagling, they STILL couldn't get it to land in the top five causes of death for children, which was a claim repeated by both the FDA and the CDC in their approval of the vaccines for those under five.
I agree that covid cases will likely turn out to be higher this calendar year than the last year. And I agree that it is somewhat affected by the season. But these two facts don't have anything to do with each other. But then I was not part of that argument, so I don't know where you were going with that.No, it was when I was pointing out seasonality, and how COVID cases are actually higher this year than last.
It's in the title of the thread, and it applies.Look at you! Sneaking in the pejorative "science-denier" twice in two sentences! Impressive.
Yeah, I read the article. But I did not stop at the anecdote you quoted that opened the article. I read the whole article. It does not support your inflated doubt about the seriousness of covid. That's another item from the science denier's playbook. Take a small doubt that definitely exists and inflate it to the hilt. If you read the whole article you will see that corrections were made to the counting process. Even your anecdote is reasonable to count as a covid death. As sick as that person was, he did not appear to be dying from cancer that day. The medical professionals on hand determined that in combination with his condition, covid pushed him over the edge sooner than he would have if he only had the cancer and nothing else. The anecdote was presented in this article to show the kind of case that people wonder about. But since we are in a Christian forum, it is appropriate to mention that this case touches on a Christian principle - the principle of the inviolate dignity of every human life. That means those still in the womb, those who are in the prime of their life, those who are elderly, and yes, even those who are suffering a terminal illness. Each and every one of those lives has dignity worthy of our respect. To say of a cancer sufferer, "Oh well, he was going to die anyway. We don't have to worry about the fact that something made him die two days earlier" is an affront to this dignity. The reason we count deaths and attribute them to causes is to assess the importance of that cause to society in general. The moment we start taking a class of people (like people dying of cancer, homosexuals, indigenous people, Downs syndrome babies, any pre-born babies) and say their deaths are of no concern to us we have denied the dignity that God imparts to every human life.Yeah, that's not a fact at all.
Look at this article from February 2021 that explains the above scenario almost to a tee;
Once again, inflating a doubt beyond what can be justified.Now imagine the same scenario above, and imagine this elderly man contracted the flu. Do you think they're classifying that death as a flu death? Doubtful.
What evidence do you have that Alameda Counting was typical of the over 3000 counties in the US? Or that the corrections they made did not already get reflected in the current totals?Also, consider this article from June 2021;
More doubt inflation. Changes were made during the pandemic. It is inaccurate to say that systematic inflation of death counts occurred "throughout the pandemic" or that they have not been corrected.As these 2 articles demonstrate determining cause of death isn't quite as straightforward as one may think, and all throughout the pandemic, people have erred on including the death as a "COVID" death if they were positive at the time of their death.
Another page from the science-denier's playbook: Rely on the reader's imagination to reach a conclusion you cannot prove rather than trying to present solid logical arguments.Just imagine if we applied this same scrutiny all over the country.
Sounds like a good excuse for euthanasia. If a doctor kills a patient who only has 1 month to live, then according to you, that death should not be counted as euthanasia because he only "hastened" the death that would have happened anyway. Does your Word of Faith religion actually support euthanasia?Someone who has had a long-term illness that has 2 months to live and dies in 1 month because COVID "accelerated" that death still does not indicate that was a COVID death, or at least it shouldn't.
The CDC did not say that. That is your flawed interpretation. All they said was the criterion for counting someone as vaccinated is that it was verified. They said nothing about any "unknowns". That is your invention out of whole cloth.And it is the CDC who has decided to introduce this doubt into their data. It is extremely poor methodology when analyzing data to say, "Hmm, I don't know where this piece of unknown data belongs, so I'll just toss it over in this column".
There is no such footnote. It is just like your invention that the Danish health authorities told children under 18 they should not get the vaccine. You are very good at distorting other people's statements to fit your narrative. That is one of the more advanced techniques from the science-denier's playbook.Why on earth would there be a footnote stating that they included "unknown" data with "unvaccinated"...
You have no evidence they did. Only your supposition that they did. From what you have demonstrated, you are in no position to call out the CDC for poor science.You're dead wrong. It is ABSOLUTELY INEXPLICABLE that the CDC has chosen to concatenate "unknowns" with "unvaccinated".
That is just your assumption. It could be they just don't want to bother with cost of vaccines and staff time administering it. I think that is more likely than that they suddenly decided that something they had been giving out was actually bad for these children. The explanation they gave sounded more like "these children do not get sick often enough from covid to justify giving the vaccine to them."That's why they're not offering it to them any more.
Right. So the benefit to those children is not enough to justify the cost of giving it to them.And now here we are back to them not offering it because it costs something. I thought we established (and you understood) that the reason they are not offering it is because children under 18 almost never get severe disease.
They also made no mention of "you should not take this."They made no mention of its cost.
That is all correct. You can't get it from us because we won't give it to you. That is very different from "This vaccine is terrible for you. You should not take it."And correct me if I'm wrong, but if the Danish public health authority is saying they're not offering it unless you have a very specific medical assessment, I believe what they're saying is that you can't get it unless you have a medical reason to do so.
That happens, and it is not like stopping offering something that was already approved. You analogy is inapt.It would be like the CDC not approving the vaccine (sorry, I know that would never happen) for a specific age group.
After listening to this compelling discussion on relative vs. absolute numbers, I've come up with a new, surefire way for everyone to become independently wealthy. The lottery! Yes, I know the odds of winning the lottery are quite poor, but hear me out.
If you only buy one lottery ticket, your chances of winning are quite poor indeed. But if you buy TWO lottery tickets, the relative odds of you winning are DOUBLED!
Nearly everyone is going to get COVID. Care to explain how this >3x reduction in relative risk shows that the vaccines are effective at preventing infections if they will almost 100% fail to prevent infections?
Vaccine data record matching is a problem. If we don't know someone's vaccination status, there is no logical reason to lump them in the "unvaccinated" column. The only thing that does is unfairly bias the data toward vaccination. Why not have a third "unknown status" column? That would be simple enough, and then we'd know if that is a substantial number or not.
As I said, state health departments keep excellent records on vaccination. I don't know about your state, but here in Minnesota every pharmacy authorized to give covid vaccines is required to take data on every shot they give, including the name. It is not a big deal. Hospitals have instant access to this information when they have a covid case to report.
I have very serious doubts about his competency and anyone who checks public opinion or follows the even the liberal media will see that it is obvious that I am far from being alone.Have you ever tried public speaking? I took a class on it and I can't think of one speech I made where I didn't flub a word or lose my place at one point. Especially if we are talking about 30-minute speeches or on-the-fly public addresses. You could search any president's speeches and see just as many flubs.
Do you honestly think President Biden doesn't know where the button is r the procedures for using it or were you just taking an opportunity to point out his imperfections?
Even though they will get infected. Because nearly everyone is going to get infected, regardless of their vaccination status.Because it shows that people who are vaccinated are 3x less likely to get infected.
I remembered seeing this definition some time ago from the CDC:
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/pdfs/mm7034e5-H.pdf
CDC Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
Persons were considered fully vaccinated ≥14 days after receipt of the second dose in a 2-dose series (Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna COVID-19 vaccines) or after 1 dose
of the single-dose Janssen (Johnson & Johnson) COVID-19 vaccine; partially vaccinated ≥14 days after receipt of the first dose and <14 days after the second dose in a 2-dose series; and unvaccinated <14 days receipt of the first dose of a 2-dose series or 1 dose of the single-dose vaccine or if no vaccination registry data were available.
They are counting people in the unvaccinated category who actually received the vaccine, but have not reached the two week mark.
To my thinking these should be a distinct category altogether.
Yep. That's another data crime that's been true all throughout the pandemic. By CDC's definition of "unvaccinated", there are people that have had 2 doses of the vaccine and still land in the "unvaccinated" column because it's been <14 days since their second dose. This also, of course, skews the data in favor of the vaccinated.
Even though they will get infected. Because nearly everyone is going to get infected, regardless of their vaccination status.
Are there still problems with the corrected paper? It still says covid is a leading cause of death for 0-19 year olds. Apparently the errors Kelley found were not significant enough to alter the general finding.
Do you have any evidence that the approval of the vaccines for those under five depended on that specific ranking of #5?
I agree that covid cases will likely turn out to be higher this calendar year than the last year. And I agree that it is somewhat affected by the season. But these two facts don't have anything to do with each other. But then I was not part of that argument, so I don't know where you were going with that.
It's in the title of the thread, and it applies.
Yes, after a 25% downwards revision in the death count.Yeah, I read the article. But I did not stop at the anecdote you quoted that opened the article. I read the whole article. It does not support your inflated doubt about the seriousness of covid. That's another item from the science denier's playbook. Take a small doubt that definitely exists and inflate it to the hilt. If you read the whole article you will see that corrections were made to the counting process.
It is not.Even your anecdote is reasonable to count as a covid death.
As sick as that person was, he did not appear to be dying from cancer that day.
As well they should, because this not unique to COVID. There are any number of people who suffer from long-term illnesses that are "pushed over the edge" by what would otherwise be a minor illness for most people.The medical professionals on hand determined that in combination with his condition, covid pushed him over the edge sooner than he would have if he only had the cancer and nothing else. The anecdote was presented in this article to show the kind of case that people wonder about.
But since we are in a Christian forum, it is appropriate to mention that this case touches on a Christian principle - the principle of the inviolate dignity of every human life. That means those still in the womb, those who are in the prime of their life, those who are elderly, and yes, even those who are suffering a terminal illness. Each and every one of those lives has dignity worthy of our respect. To say of a cancer sufferer, "Oh well, he was going to die anyway. We don't have to worry about the fact that something made him die two days earlier" is an affront to this dignity. The reason we count deaths and attribute them to causes is to assess the importance of that cause to society in general. The moment we start taking a class of people (like people dying of cancer, homosexuals, indigenous people, Downs syndrome babies, any pre-born babies) and say their deaths are of no concern to us we have denied the dignity that God imparts to every human life.
Once again, inflating a doubt beyond what can be justified.
What evidence do you have that Alameda Counting was typical of the over 3000 counties in the US? Or that the corrections they made did not already get reflected in the current totals?
More doubt inflation. Changes were made during the pandemic. It is inaccurate to say that systematic inflation of death counts occurred "throughout the pandemic" or that they have not been corrected.
Another page from the science-denier's playbook: Rely on the reader's imagination to reach a conclusion you cannot prove rather than trying to present solid logical arguments.
Sounds like a good excuse for euthanasia. If a doctor kills a patient who only has 1 month to live, then according to you, that death should not be counted as euthanasia because he only "hastened" the death that would have happened anyway. Does your Word of Faith religion actually support euthanasia?
The CDC did not say that. That is your flawed interpretation. All they said was the criterion for counting someone as vaccinated is that it was verified. They said nothing about any "unknowns". That is your invention out of whole cloth.
There is no such footnote.
The Danish health authorities are no longer offering the vaccine to those under 18.It is just like your invention that the Danish health authorities told children under 18 they should not get the vaccine.
Actually, you are very good at intentionally misunderstand other people's statements to fit your narrative.You are very good at distorting other people's statements to fit your narrative.
That is one of the more advanced techniques from the science-denier's playbook.
You have no evidence they did.
Only your supposition that they did. From what you have demonstrated, you are in no position to call out the CDC for poor science.
THAT is a supposition. And a poor one at that.That is just your assumption. It could be they just don't want to bother with cost of vaccines and staff time administering it.
I think that is more likely than that they suddenly decided that something they had been giving out was actually bad for these children. The explanation they gave sounded more like "these children do not get sick often enough from covid to justify giving the vaccine to them."
Right. So the benefit to those children is not enough to justify the cost of giving it to them.
They also made no mention of "you should not take this."
That is all correct. You can't get it from us because we won't give it to you. That is very different from "This vaccine is terrible for you. You should not take it."
That happens, and it is not like stopping offering something that was already approved. You analogy is inapt.
This is at least 20 times this author has made this particular irrelevant statement, despite the fact that it has been shown to be irrelevant.
I gave a detailed mathematical account of how 2x and 3x more likely is entirely consistent with everyone getting covid eventually in this post. You chose to ignore the math and continue with this emotional appeal to intuition. I thought were a data guy? Were you unable to follow the math that I laid out in great detail?Yeah, it's not irrelevant. It means that even if you're vaccinated, you'll almost certainly get COVID, which means that all of this 2x and 3x more likely to get infected talk is just smoke and mirrors in a lame attempt to obfuscated that nearly everyone is going to get COVID.
How is that possible if the word "unknowns" or any synonym appears in the CDC document you cited?Nope. The CDC quite clearly said they lump "unknowns" and "unvaccinated" into the same column.
That's why there are pre-prints, to find and correct errors - which they did.>400 changes were made. Disaster.
The "main" driver does not mean it is only significant driver. All the other factors you mention are also significant drivers. We see again and again how science deniers take a true fact and then exaggerate it beyond it's applicability. If something is not the biggest factor, it must be NO factor, etc.COVID is seasonal. The main driver of infection numbers is season. Not masks. Not distancing. Not vaccination rates.
You still have not addressed why this same argument would not justify euthanasia. Don't you remember?What if that person contracted a bad cold and it killed them? Do you think they're going to classify the cause of death as the common cold for that person? Of course not.
So tell me, should a terminally ill cancer patient who only has one month to live and is killed by euthanasia have his death "properly attributed" to cancer? Or should it be attributed to euthanasia?What is being stated is not that their deaths are unimportant, but rather that their deaths should be properly attributed.
No one in my Church was saying that.Because there were plenty of people who said "Let them die!"
Another unscientific ploy - take one data point and extrapolate to the entire population for which there is no data. "Unknowns" are the science-denier's best friend.Sure. I'm sure this was the ONE county that had a problem determining the difference between FROM COVID and WITH COVID deaths. I'm sure everyone else got it perfect.
I have two answers for you. Consider both of them. First of all, I am a Catholic, and I support the Catholic Church's position that euthanasia is never justified. In place of that we believe in maximum palliative care to relieve as much suffering as possible until natural death occurs. But secondly, even if you don't accept that view, another way euthanasia occurs is when the patient is not consulted, either because he just isn't, or because he is not capable of being consulted to give his consent. In that case, a doctor or the family will sometimes decide on his behalf to end his life before God takes him. According to your logic, those deaths should not be attributed to euthanasia. In fact I have a thrist response. Even if you do think that euthanasia is moral (and I know some Christians do believe that), shouldn't they at least be counted?What if a Christian cancer patient that has been given one month to live wants to end their life today instead? What if they determine this world has nothing for them? Do you think it's wrong for them to choose to hasten their own passing?
I find it very odd that two Christians cannot mention the role of faith in a Christian forum. Or that basing arguments on faith is somehow "not substantive."And I thought you didn't want to get "personal", yet here you are now questioning my faith and beliefs because you've (apparently) run out of ways to make cohesive, substantive arguments otherwise.
Yes it is.That's not skewing the data.
Let's put aside for a minute that the newly invented term "fully vaccinated" was defined by the pharmaceutical companies to frame their products as "effective" at preventing infections.That is accurately reporting the effect of being fully vaccinated vs. NOT being fully vaccinated. NOT being fully vaccinated includes being only partially vaccinated.
Nope. It would be "entirely correct" to have these groupings;Since no claim was ever made for the efficacy of partial vaccination, it is entirely correct to include them in the NOT fully vaccinated group.
Sure they have. They've said one dose provides some protection, but two doses provides the best protection. Have you been living under a rock?IF there had been a claim of benefit for being partially vaccinated, then your criticism would have been valid. But no such claim was ever made.
No, we take people who have received a dose of the vaccine and classify them as "unvaccinated". But this is untrue. Now we're pretending not that the single dose of vaccine failed to protect them, but rather that they weren't vaccinated at all.We can just assume that being only partially vaccinated confers zero benefit, and then we would be skewing the data AGAINST vaccines, which is what we do.
Likewise, if this is some detriment to being partially vaccinated, then separating out those people who were only partially vaccinated into a third category would have shown there is an elevated risk during that transitory period where you are partially vaccinated, information that would be quite beneficial. Either is plausible.But if there is some minor benefit from being partially vaccinated (a transitory increase in susceptibility to infection, for example), then separating out those people who were only partially vaccinated into a third category and looking only at the two categories would have yielded even stronger support for the efficacy of the vaccine.
Only if your assumptions are correct. And NONE of these assumptions would need to be made if the data were classified correctly. And again, the CDC has chosen this poor method of data classification and reporting.So by including that group in the statistics, the results not biased FOR vaccines but AGAINST vaccines.
That's why there are pre-prints, to find and correct errors - which they did.
The "main" driver does not mean it is only significant driver. All the other factors you mention are also significant drivers. We see again and again how science deniers take a true fact and then exaggerate it beyond it's applicability. If something is not the biggest factor, it must be NO factor, etc.
You still have not addressed why this same argument would not justify euthanasia. Don't you remember?
So tell me, should a terminally ill cancer patient who only has one month to live and is killed by euthanasia have his death "properly attributed" to cancer? Or should it be attributed to euthanasia?
No one in my Church was saying that.
Another unscientific ploy - take one data point and extrapolate to the entire population for which there is no data. "Unknowns" are the science-denier's best friend.
You'd rather see people devolve here on this earth and suffering endlessly because that's what your religion tells you? You'd not rather let them pass on to eternity and be relived of all of their suffering because that's what Catholicism tells you is right? That sounds rather cruel and selfish to me to justify a religious position.I have two answers for you. Consider both of them. First of all, I am a Catholic, and I support the Catholic Church's position that euthanasia is never justified.
In place of that we believe in maximum palliative care to relieve as much suffering as possible until natural death occurs.
Indeed. And those are excruciatingly difficult decisions to make.But secondly, even if you don't accept that view, another way euthanasia occurs is when the patient is not consulted, either because he just isn't, or because he is not capable of being consulted to give his consent. In that case, a doctor or the family will sometimes decide on his behalf to end his life before God takes him.
Ask yourself this; would that family have made the incredibly difficult decision to end their loved ones' life if they hadn't been sick? Of course not. It is because they had a terminal diagnosis that the decision was made. In fact, I suspect most people in these situations would say something like, "We made the difficult decision to end ____'s life because their disease had progressed so far and we just wanted to end their needless suffering."According to your logic, those deaths should not be attributed to euthanasia.
In fact I have a thrist response. Even if you do think that euthanasia is moral (and I know some Christians do believe that), shouldn't they at least be counted?
I find it very odd that two Christians cannot mention the role of faith in a Christian forum. Or that basing arguments on faith is somehow "not substantive."