First note that archeometry is a journal linked to Oxford.
At least They note correctly the lack of homogeneity which the 1988 daters should have done but did not, which is progress for Oxford, the most staunch previous defenders of the date. There was a time when neither archeometry or radiocarbon journal ( linked to Arizona) would entertain criticism. They rejected the Marino hypothesis which proved to be correct. There are indeed end to end spliced threads, with gum Arabic one end, not the other,
They also state that measurements
“were modified from their original ‘raw’ laboratory values and transformed into their published form using an unstated methodology”.
The figures were “ doctored” to show homogeneity.
But THIS is the fundamental problem -
they are playing with stats, and ignoring the elephant in the room.
As Rogers has shown in a variety of papers and books ( any since 2000) , the sample and shroud are made of different stuff.
- The sample has cotton.
- The linen is if different structure ( it is like garden cane) it has different diameter / node spacing and lignin.
- the sample is dyed and has such as gum Arabic.
- the Uv fluorescence and spectrographs differ.
- there are fibres found spliced end to end , one end dyed.
No amount of stats can put back in what was not in the sample . That paper speaks of “ contamination” - the contamination was most of the sample.
The reason for looking at other dating methods to begin with was the lack of relevance of the RC sample date, on the basis of “ what else san you do with the fibres to hand “. Fanti used 3 other methods, like strength. None of which are yet proven accurate, but all good enough to dismiss the idea of mediaeval.
One fly in the ointment of lignin dating is bleaching procedures noted by ( Roman) pliny and others, which could have removed it, rather than age.
Rogers also dismisses radiation for the mark ,although that cannot be exhaustive, and maybe he is right, but as he admits no one hypothesis works. His favoured Maillard reaction has problems with diffusion.
One that interesting to me is electrostatic discharge. Rogers says he failed to reproduce it, fanti did.
But question, if nobody knows how to fake it, how was it faked. It really does have the pathology of a crucified man, that corresponds to the sudarium.
Which would seem to make it a pretty poor chronometer.
From a 2020 article (the important bits are highlighted in red):
"
Rogers (2005) proposed a method for cross checking the dates of ancient textiles by measuring the loss of vanillin from residual lignin at the growth nodes of linen fibers. The tests he performed on the Shroud threads suggested to him a much greater age than the results Damon et al. (1989) obtained. However, Rogers’ method has limitations and his results have not yet been widely accepted. Freer-Waters and Jull (2010) examined a remnant sample taken from the original radiocarbon dating experiment under visible and ultra-violet light and found no significant contamination on the sample. Riani et al. (2012) evaluated the Shroud sample measurements and found in evaluating 387,072 plausible spatial sites of sub-sample locations a surprising heterogeneity in the measurements. Fanti et al. (2013) developed a series of relationships between characteristics of fiber over time and a method of estimating the age of the fabric. He subsequently applied these techniques to a series of fibers extracted from the Shroud and derived an estimated calendar age of 90 AD +/− 200 yrs (Fanti et al., 2015). However, at this time Fanti, et al.’s approach is relatively new and not yet widely accepted." (
SOURCE)
Even Rogers himself (
HERE) notes the effect of temperature in the vanillin loss:
"
The major problem in estimating the age of the shroud is the fact that the rate law is exponential; i.e., the maximum diurnal temperature is much more important than is the lowest storage temperature. However, some reasonable storage temperatures can be considered to give a range of predicted ages. If the shroud had been stored at a constant 25 ◦C, it would have taken about 1319 years to lose a conservative 95% of its vanillin. At 23 ◦C, it would have taken about 1845 years. At 20 ◦C, it would take about 3095 years."
Rogers obviously biases his assumption by assuming a range of storage temperatures. When taken at face value those calculations are nice brackets, but if the Shroud has been stored under different conditions in different places (some places were a constant 25degC storage temperature would be unlikely, like in the Middle East) or maybe even exposed to a FIRE (?) it would seem that this is tenuous at best.
It's sorta kinda compelling, but if one can nit-pick 14-C dating apart
this should be a piece of cake to pick apart chemically.
If vanillin is susceptible to thermal impacts (and that's explicit in the Arrhenius equation) it seems to me to be a pretty sketchy technique. Certainly compared to 14-C dating which would be expected to be relatively insensible to that kind of environmental change.