Eurasia Group | Top Risks 2021

[Matt5]

Eurasia Group | Top Risks 2021

I archived the following article:
Stratfor has 11 chilling predictions for what the world will look like in 10 years

[The original article was deleted, so I archived the Google cached version. Then I found the same article published on a new date. That's below.]

Source: Stratfor has 11 chilling predictions for what the world will look like in 10 years

This is the most interesting forecast by Stratfor:

Russia will collapse ...

"There will not be an uprising against Moscow, but Moscow's withering ability to support and control the Russian Federation will leave a vacuum," Stratfor warns. "What will exist in this vacuum will be the individual fragments of the Russian Federation."

Sanctions, declining oil prices, a plunging ruble, rising military expenses, and increasing internal discord will weaken the hold of Russia's central government over the world's largest country. Russia will not officially split into multiple countries, but Moscow's power may loosen to the point that Russia will effectively become a string of semi-autonomous regions that might not even get along with one another.

"We expect Moscow's authority to weaken substantially, leading to the formal and informal fragmentation of Russia" the report states, adding, "It is unlikely that the Russian Federation will survive in its current form."

 

[Trogdor the Burninator]

Some interesting picks, and not especially far-fetched either. I've certainly heard plenty of predictions about the decline of Russia and the rise of Poland and Turkey as regional powers.