If you took a fine swiss watch apart and put it in a bag; How many times would you have to shake it untill all the pieces fit back into their positions before you took it apart. And then how many shakes would you have to give to get all the pieces together and it also worked tic toc tic toc...
So how many times was the universe shook before one little planet called earth was born..? What are the odds. The odds dictate that there was a creator just based on percentages.......
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No way, you're not seriously using the Watchmaker argument, are you? You know, the one that was debunked, say...decades ago?
Let me show you a little something about 'odds' in this situation.
Pretend I hold a 52 card deck of playing cards.
I draw 5 cards from the deck, and, without showing them to you, tell you what they are.
You don't believe me because a 2000 year-old book tells you not to. You ask:
"What are the chances of you drawing those 5 cards exactly? Almost nothing! Zero chance!"
And you would be quite right. But the distinction is-- now listen carefully, this is important-- it is not whether I drew those 5 cards, but whether I drew 5 cards at all.
To explain this analogy:
The Earth is that specific order of 5 cards, whatever they were.
A planet is any five cards, no matter what they are.
It is true, and I agree, that the chances of our earth forming are very low.
However. The chances of any earth-like bodies forming are very high.
This is because there are trillions and trillions of planet-like bodies in our universe. Sure, maybe the chances of our exact earth forming are very low. But with such a gigantic pool of opportunities, there isn't a chance in the world that one of those trillions upon trillions of planets won't be like our earth.
Take the lottery. Many will play, few will win. However, someone almost always wins. That somebody will win is never contested: the chances of there being a winner are very high. But the chances of YOU being the winner are very small.
Does that make sense?
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