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I am not sure, but from what I gather it is sort of like the EC where the convention gets together to officially decide who will represent their party on the ballot. Usually they select whomever won the primary in their state, but they are not bound to that and may choose another person (sort of like faithless electors in the EC, but I admit I am not completely sure how it works.
so if Trump is the nominee that will not happen? Do you know which party has their convention first?
My understanding is that delegates to the National Convention are bound to the person who had won their state’s primary for the very first ballot; after that they are free to choose (who “chooses” for them?, I dunno, but there’s a hierarchy within each state’s delegation and politicking can happen).
Delegates are bound to vote for the one they were sent to vote for, at least on the first ballot. After that they can vote for who they really want. It is likely that both Biden and Trump will have enough bound delegates that there will be no need for a second ballot. So unless either Biden or Trump actually drop out they will most likely have locks on their nominations. Because in primary states people will vote for those two characters
Biden's poll numbers aren't that great compared to Trump's. If Biden and Trump wins the nomination, that makes him bowing out more likely. Also, the man doesn't appear to be in the best of health The question is really why is Biden running again.
Poll numbers mean little. Economy is doing good for Biden and Trump's court cases are going bad for him.
That's why I think it would happen if Biden decides to withdraw after the primaries. I think it would be more likely to happen with Trump. That said, if those who vote GOP get the idea that Trump is shut out after winning the primaries, then they might conclude it's not worth it and stay home.
Trump said, in public on video no less, that he hopes the US economy collapses so that he would have the advantage.
Trump thought poll numbers mean little, too. Ask him what happened.
