Yes, I suppose your argument from emergence does interact with the first premise. I did grant that the first premise is central, which is why I took some time to defend it in the OP. Let's restate the first premise in the more traditional if-then format:
1. If a belief can be fully explained in terms of nonrational causes, then it is not rationally inferred.
In order to refute the premise one would have to provide an example of a belief that is both fully explained in terms of nonrational causes and is also rationally inferred.
I think it would make more sense to actually demonstrate the premise is correct rather than expect other people to refute it.
You conclude that Joe's belief was fully caused by nonrational causes x, y, and z. Can you at the same time hold that his belief was rationally inferred? Isn't a cause of a rationally inferred belief the rational inference itself, along with the premises from which it was inferred and the understanding of all these elements? And aren't all these things rational rather than nonrational causes? And if some causes which explain a rationally inferred belief are themselves rational, then how can the belief be fully explained by nonrational causes?
Yep, lots of questions for people who support this premise to investigate. I await the comprehensive naturalist model of belief formation they come up with in the process.
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