The Barbarian
Crabby Old White Guy
- Apr 3, 2003
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And we actually do have a dropping IQ crisis.
Well, let's take a look at the data:

Looks like the Flynn effect is in trouble. LOL!
Not so far. There is some evidence that it's leveling off in developed nations. Because it has risen far too fast for evolutionary change to be responsible, the rise can only be accounted for by envirionmental changes that favor skills required to do well on an IQ test.
But that's not going to faze our modern geniuses. They'll find something else to blame. It can't be that the Bible is true.
It has nothing whatever to do with the Bible. It just means that intelligence in humans is a lot more dependent on learning than on genetics.
We can't possible be dumber than their ancestors.
A lot smarter in some ways. Those ways happen to be the ones that are measured on an IQ test:
Major Findings
The overall Flynn effect of 2.31 produced by this meta-analysis was lower than Flynn’s (2009a) value of 3.11 and Fletcher et al.’s (2010) value of 2.80. It also fell below Dickinson and Hiscock’s (2010) estimate of 2.60, which was the average of separate calculations for each of the 11 Wechsler subtests. However, our overall comparisons included all identified studies back to 1951. When a meta-analytic mean was calculated for the modern set (composed exclusively of 53 comparisons involving the Wechsler/Binet and excluding 3 atypical comparisons, and more comparable to the studies from Flynn [2009]), the Flynn effect was 2.93 points per decade, a value larger than estimates based on studies that included older data. This value is the most reasonable estimate of the Flynn effect for Wechsler/Binet tests normed since 1972 and is similar to the 3 points per decade rule of thumb commonly recommended in practice. The standard error of this estimate is less than 1 point (SE = 0.35).
The Flynn Effect: A Meta-analysis
Decrying modern means of learning and education is by no means a new phenomenon. Here is Plato, quoting Socrates:
"Enough of the art of speaking; let us now proceed to consider the true use of writing. There is an old Egyptian tale of Theuth, the inventor of writing, showing his invention to the god Thamus, who told him that he would only spoil men’s memories and take away their understandings. From this tale, of which young Athens will probably make fun, may be gathered the lesson that writing is inferior to speech. For it is like a picture, which can give no answer to a question, and has only a deceitful likeness of a living creature. It has no power of adaptation, but uses the same words for all. It is not a legitimate son of knowledge, but a bastard, and when an attack is made upon this bastard neither parent nor any one else is there to defend it. The husbandman will not seriously incline to sow his seed in such a hot–bed or garden of Adonis; he will rather sow in the natural soil of the human soul which has depth of earth; and he will anticipate the inner growth of the mind, by writing only, if at all, as a remedy against old age. The natural process will be far nobler, and will bring forth fruit in the minds of others as well as in his own.
The conclusion of the whole matter is just this,—that until a man knows the truth, and the manner of adapting the truth to the natures of other men, he cannot be a good orator; also, that the living is better than the written word, and that the principles of justice and truth when delivered by word of mouth are the legitimate offspring of a man’s own bosom, and their lawful descendants take up their abode in others. Such an orator as he is who is possessed of them, you and I would fain become. And to all composers in the world, poets, orators, legislators, we hereby announce that if their compositions are based upon these principles, then they are not only poets, orators, legislators, but philosophers. All others are mere flatterers and putters together of words."
Plato, Phaedrus
Before writing, memory and auditory learning skills were probably those that produced greater intelligence. Then writing changed everything, and literacy was strongly correlated with intelligence. We might be moving into another change like that, but I'm thinking it's far from clear how that might happen.
Please say it isn't so.
If intelligence is the same of cognitive skills measured by IQ tests, we've gotten a lot smarter over the last few hundred years, and that trend accelerated in the last few decades. In first-world nations, that trend seems to be slowing, probably because it's running into the limitations of the hardware.
But as you see, people have been getting smarter for a long time now.
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