I believe that the universe has deep structure and order, and that the nature of that order is unlikely to be accessible to human intellect. I think it is possible but not certain that behind (to use on metaphor) is something that is at least vaguely analogous to what we think of as personality or intelligence. For this idea I have subjective but not objective evidence. I know of no way to estimate the probability that this idea has any truth to it.
So you think it is possible your God is some vague personality or intelligence responsible for a probably unknowable order in the universe. For this idea you have
subjective evidence, which is indistinguishable from imagination. Im not surprised that you cant estimate the probability that your idea is true.
I think that the deepest aspects of reality are real, and I think it overwhelmingly unlikely that my own guesses and intimations of what that reality might be like are completely accurate. How inaccurate they are, or what metric one should use for making such a comparison, I have no idea.
You can map this answer onto the (really quite stupid) Pew choices however you like.
The Pew Forum choices were: absolutely certain, fairly certain, not too certain and not at all certain. From what youve said, it appears you are not at all certain about your belief in your God, which puts you into less than 2% of U.S. Christians, most of whom are absolutely certain about their belief. You arent really representative of mainstream Christianity in the U.S. at all, are you? Could you please explain why you think the Pew Forum choices were really quite stupid and tell us what choices you would have used as possible answers to the question, How certain are you about your belief in God or a universal spirit?
I don't know. How much certainty is justified for the belief that we're not brains in vats?
Well, zero of course, given that there is zero sound, objective evidence that we
are brains in vats. I asked you what level of certainty is justified when there is zero sound, objective evidence supporting a belief and you said, I dont know. I guess your inability to determine that there should be zero certainty is why you believe some of the things you do.
True, you stated it as a suspicion. I said you "thought" you knew better than I did what I believed. If you want to argue that there is much semantic difference between thinking someone believes something and suspecting someone believes it, I won't bother to rebut you.
What sophistry. I said I suspect you believe your God is real. That means I think it is possible based on the objective evidence that you are using a Christian faith icon and you stated several times in this thread that you are a believer. It means Im not certain of it, which is why I asked you more than once in that same post to clarify whether you believe your God is real or not.
When you say to me, you think you know what I really believe better than I do, you are saying, even though you may be certain you are right, you happen to be wrong. You are disparaging me as being both arrogant and ignorant. From what youve said above, it seems you think it is possible your God is some vague intelligence; you have some worthless subjective evidence, but you arent certain of your idea. If you think there is no semantic difference between what I said and what you said then you should have no complaint if I said to you, you think you know your God is real.
Unlike your suspicion, my conclusion was (and is) based on sound, objective evidence: your own statements in this thread, and you own reaction to evidence that does not support your claims. I will happily revise my conclusion when presented with appropriate evidence. (That's what scientists do, after all.)
You already had that evidence before you said to me, you simply don't care whether real people fit it or not. I asked you more than once in that same post whether you believed your God was real or not. In posts before that, I asked you questions about what and why people believe, some of which you evaded. I subsequently asked you to answer the Pew Forum questions about your belief. If you take the time to read through my posts in other forums on this site you will find that Ive been asking people questions about their beliefs for the last two years. It should be obvious that I
am curious about what different people believe and why they believe it. However, after two years of questioning people here and far longer questioning people elsewhere, it has become apparent that most people believe religious nonsense due to a combination of insecurity and credulity.