Predict the Democratic nominee for President

[GodLovesCats]

From the Iowa caucus today to the U.S. Virgin Islands primary on June 6, Democrats will have opportunities to decide who they want to be our next President. Assuming most candidates will drop out long before it is over, who do you think realistically has the best chance of winning or will win the Democratic nomination? After voting, explain why. Remember this is not about the candidate you want to win or think is most likely to beat Donald Trump in November.

 

[chevyontheriver]

From the Iowa caucus today to the U.S. Virgin Islands primary on June 6, Democrats will have opportunities to decide who they want to be our next President. Assuming most candidates will drop out long before it is over, who do you think realistically has the best chance of winning or will win the Democratic nomination? After voting, explain why. Remember this is not about the candidate you want to win or think is most likely to beat Donald Trump in November.

Biden will self-destruct. Warren and Saunders are too far left for even the leftist Democratic Party. I don't think Michelle Obama nor Hillary Clinton will crash the party. Maybe one of the billionaires can buy the nomination, but I'm thinking mayor Pete will win. And he will give Trump a run for his money. I'm not going to vote for any of them anyway.

 

[grasping the after wind]

If there was the choice on the ballot I believe the majority of people would vote "other" .

 

[chevyontheriver]

If there was the choice on the ballot I believe the majority of people would vote "other" .

It ain't my party any more. Which is what happens when you keep wishing for 'other' as an option.

 

[grasping the after wind]

It ain't my party any more. Which is what happens when you keep wishing for 'other' as an option.

We share the same experience.

 

[DennisTate]

From the Iowa caucus today to the U.S. Virgin Islands primary on June 6, Democrats will have opportunities to decide who they want to be our next President. Assuming most candidates will drop out long before it is over, who do you think realistically has the best chance of winning or will win the Democratic nomination? After voting, explain why. Remember this is not about the candidate you want to win or think is most likely to beat Donald Trump in November.

I know that this sounds weird......
but Hillary could come back and take the nomination for 2020!!!

She is a good speaker....... and she is more interesting than the options that you gave!

Personally..... I would like to see Andrew Yang surge in the polls..... and I would like to see President Trump coopt some aspects of his platform.

Could a Basic Minimum Income for all Americans decrease abortions?

 

[GodLovesCats]

Andre Yang has no chance. If Hillary Clinton wanted to run, she would have filed before the deadline.

 

[Monksailor]

Johnny B Liberate: CEO of Disney, Hollywood, Hulu, Home Depot, Target, and The Socialist Emporeum

 

[Sparagmos]

Biden will self-destruct. Warren and Saunders are too far left for even the leftist Democratic Party. I don't think Michelle Obama nor Hillary Clinton will crash the party. Maybe one of the billionaires can buy the nomination, but I'm thinking mayor Pete will win. And he will give Trump a run for his money. I'm not going to vote for any of them anyway.

It appears you are basing your guess on your own opinions of candidates rather than the relevant facts. Pete doesn’t have enough support to win. Do you think the polls are just completely made up?

 

[hislegacy]

John Kerry

 

[chevyontheriver]

It appears you are basing your guess on your own opinions of candidates rather than the relevant facts. Pete doesn’t have enough support to win. Do you think the polls are just completely made up?

Yes, they are my guesses. Polls are about today. Not what is likely to happen in the next few months.

I think that Biden is going to self-destruct even if he is in the lead right now. Maybe he will self-destruct AFTER he gets the nomination, but I think he is in the process of doing so much sooner. With Biden out, mayor Pete will be a beneficiary. Klobchar isn't going to make it either. Mayor Pete picks up a tiny bit of support there.

And the prospects for a socialist winning in the Democratic Party is slim. The nomination was stolen from Bernie last time and it will happen again. Warren has no chance with these people who will not tolerate either of them. That is the case no matter how many leftists want one of the two of them to win. Polls are today, but Bernie and Warren will not be allowed to be the nominee. When these two are denied many will just stay home. But some will end up in one of the last campaigns standing, which I think will be mayor Pete. Just my opinion. Laugh if you want.

 

[tulc]

I've heard some good things about this guy:

tulc(might just check him out)

 

[PloverWing]

It's a complicated calculation: who do I think Democrats are going to think that Independents are going to think is the best alternative to the incumbent? Also, after the outcome of the 2016 Republican primary, I lost confidence in any ability I have to predict primaries. I really don't know who's going to win.

But, if I had to wager, I'd say Biden. He's the safe, boring, dependable choice. He's male, he's straight, he's white, he's centrist. And he's experienced (as are a number of the other candidates). Personally, I'll probably vote for someone else, but I think there's a good chance the voters will go for safety.

 

[GodLovesCats]

Plover, you know Bernie Sanders also is male, straight, and white. So none of those traits mean anything to Joe Biden's candidacy.

The fact Joe Biden is centrist can be good or bad, depending on who show up at the polls.

 

[MorkandMindy]

Joe Biden is stupid, is that a plus or a minus?

(It worked for Ronald Reagan)

 

[DavidPT]

I voted other since she didn't make the list---meaning Hillary Clinton.

 

[tulc]

Joe Biden is stupid, is that a plus or a minus?

(It worked for Ronald Reagan)

...does he believe windmills cause cancer? Because I know a candidate who does and some people don't seem to have a problem voting for him.
tulc(is just wondering)

 

[PloverWing]

Plover, you know Bernie Sanders also is male, straight, and white. So none of those traits mean anything to Joe Biden's candidacy.

The fact Joe Biden is centrist can be good or bad, depending on who show up at the polls.

Good point about Sanders. You're right that he also fits the safe white-straight-male demographic.

The biggest question for me is whether the party is going to go for left or center in this primary season, and I truly don't know.

(I also don't know which way I want the party to go -- whether left or center will end up with the most effective government policies. When do you push for what you believe in, and when do you compromise? Both are part of politics. I have both left and center candidates on the list of people I'm considering voting for.)

 

[MorkandMindy]

I voted other since she didn't make the list---meaning Hillary Clinton.

That's an interesting point as it illustrates a major flaw in having primaries.

Pretty well all Republicans, but only a minority of Democratic voters are aware of major personality problems with Hillary. So she could win the Primary but is guaranteed to lose the election.

Puting in some numbers, suppose 2% of Republicans would vote for Hillary and 90% of Democrats, she would sweep the Primaries and lose the main election.

That happened in 2016, well she didn't exactly sweep the primaries but she did win and just barely lost the election. I was a committed Democrat at the time but I knew she was not acceptable.

 

[GodLovesCats]

The biggest question for me is whether the party is going to go for left or center in this primary season, and I truly don't know.

I also don't know which way I want the party to go - whether left or center will end up with the most effective government policies. When do you push for what you believe in, and when do you compromise? Both are part of politics. I have both left and center candidates on the list of people I'm considering voting for.

What are you willing to compromise on? It is all about priorities. Is it more important that every American has health care with no premiums, deductibles, or co-pays than marijuana remaining federally illegal as a recreational drug? Are you willing to accept a 4% income tax to pay for MFA? Do you care if homosexuals get married more than keeping the health insurance industry alive? If I was only allowed to base my vote on one issue, it would definitely be health care for all American citizens. I will not compromise on it.