Long ago decayed in a ditch most likely. Jesus was a common rebel from the Romans’ point of view, assuming the pious accounts preserve some nuggets of history. Common rebels were unceremoniously tossed into common graves, no reason to think Jesus would have been any different.
Or maybe in a tomb some place, again this is unlikely as tombs were too expensive for a small band of religious derelicts to afford. But say the body was lucky enough to rest in some dark corner of a 1st century tomb, what happened next is anyone’s guess. Maybe a few days later Jesus’ friends peek into the tomb in the dim light of dawn, hoping not to find him and just don’t look very hard. Squinting through tears in the dark cavern they sort of half look but not really, just enough to confirm their hopes. He’s gone after all, he must have ascended! Spiritual visions were only natural from there, then a few decades later the author of John ties up that loose end with his decidedly physical resurrection story.
Or, still assuming he was in a tomb. Maybe Judas wracked with guilt bribes the guards to roll back the stone so he can steal away with the corpse. Remember Judas has the silver. Delicious irony, a whole religion two millennia later still riding the coattails of its arch traitor.
Are any of these empty tomb scenarios very likely? Nope. But all of them are light-years more likely than a miracle happening.
On the other hand the implied premise of this post is wrong in the first place. A person could believe a man resurrected from the dead, and still not believe the lucky chap is worthy of worship much less the son of God. The demons believe and shudder, right?
On the other other hand, and here’s where things gets weird so let's not dwell on it, just because a person resurrects from the dead or is born from a virgin does not mean a miracle happened. The laws of physics don’t rule out either one. Both are just super unlikely to happen in any one particular universe.
Matthew 27:57-60,
Luke 23:50-54.
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