Then I think that would then qualify as a free will choice then.What if there was no reason to explain why I felt like it?
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Then I think that would then qualify as a free will choice then.What if there was no reason to explain why I felt like it?
Is that just you joining two words together in order to blur the distinction I gave between a choice and a decision?But the real question is... Does it count as a free will decision as well?
Umm .. that might be what non-scientific thinkers think the butterfly effect is .. but that's a misconception about modelling in science.... It doesn't even need to be that clear cut. You ever heard of the butterfly effect? A butterfly flaps its wings in Beijing and a month later you get rain instead of sunshine in Central Park New York, just because the flapping wings changed the air currents so slightly, and this change lead to a different weather system in a different part of the world.
Is that just you joining two words together in order to blur the distinction I gave between a choice and a decision?
(That being a choice is for 'no reason' and a decision is 'for reasons').
Umm .. that might be what non-scientific thinkers think the butterfly effect is .. but that's a misconception about modelling in science.
There is no evidence that a butterfly flapping its wings in Beijing causes rain a month later in NY.
Having the information does not require YOU to be a time traveler. I've noticed you seem to be going through an awful lot of trouble to get out of answering the question; if you don't have an answer just say so.Which involves information travelling to the present from the future. How is that not time travel? Information is travelling back in time.
I've lost the thread. Prove you wrong by supporting what, then?Prove me wrong by supporting them then.
Your answer demands that time be the constant, instead of either travel or information.Which involves information travelling to the present from the future. How is that not time travel? Information is travelling back in time.
Just because God is not an option does not mean there can be no first cause.
So this may be slightly out of the context you were originally arguing, but using the Butterfly Effect, doesn’t work for me as I think you’re relying on your hypothetical ‘ifs’ in order to make what the Butterfly Effect is all about .. to be ‘true’. (Ie post #1194: ’If I saw the actions of people in Hawaii .. If I saw the events of tomorrow where a person … If I saw them sending their children off to school ...’)The Butterfly Effect is the sensitive dependence on initial conditions in which small changes can amplify over time to create very large differences at a later point. In the early days of weather modelling using computers, they'd measure things like atmospheric pressure, temperature, etc in the models with numbers. The computers would use numbers to a certain number of decimal places in the calculations, but would actually display fewer decimal places on the screen. So, if the computer calculated the temperature as 26.748765 degrees celsius, it might display it as 26.7488 degrees.
If the scientists would go back and replay the simulation using the numbers they copied down, they discovered that the replayed simulation quickly diverged from the first run through. This happened because even though the initial difference was very small, the difference became amplified over time, and this caused dramatic changes later on.
This is what is commonly known as the butterfly effect. The wiki article gives the same example I used. So I hope you're not trying to suggest that I don't know what I'm talking about.Butterfly effect - Wikipedia
Kylie said:So I could change what happens to the people I saw by something as simple as coughing.
Having the information does not require YOU to be a time traveler. I've noticed you seem to be going through an awful lot of trouble to get out of answering the question; if you don't have an answer just say so.
I've lost the thread. Prove you wrong by supporting what, then?
Your answer demands that time be the constant, instead of either travel or information.
So this may be slightly out of the context you were originally arguing, but using the Butterfly Effect, doesn’t work for me as I think you’re relying on your hypothetical ‘ifs’ in order to make what the Butterfly Effect is all about .. to be ‘true’. (Ie post #1194: ’If I saw the actions of people in Hawaii .. If I saw the events of tomorrow where a person … If I saw them sending their children off to school ...’)
Your conclusion was:
I would say there are actually two places where the Butterfly Effect becomes myth instead of 'physical truth’.
The first is: if a butterfly can change the weather, then we should be able to control our own destinies … just find the tiny effects we will need to get things to turn out the way we like.
The impossibility of that stems from two places: first, that we would need to control every butterfly, not just one.
But the second way is that even if you did control every butterfly, and know ‘everything there is to know’ about today's weather, you still could not control, or even predict, the weather a month from now.
The butterfly effect is not about the power of butterflies to change the weather, it is about the powerlessness of butterflies, or anything else, to change the weather.
The idea that you can ‘change the future’ requires from the very start, that you be able to predict the future's ‘current path’, such that you have something to change, which is what your hypothetical posited as being true from the outset (admittedly addressed by your ‘if’ conditions).
The way I see it is there are three basic models one can have about the future:
i) the future is inevitable, it is set in stone, and nothing anyone can do could ever change it.
ii) the future is malleable, and if we had enough information, we could change it, possibly with very small adjustments, but it might require an unreasonably vast amount of information.
iii) the future is fundamentally random (or fundamentally undecided), so all we can ever assess is the statistical tendencies of the future. Having more information merely allows us to know the statistical tendencies more accurately, it never reduces their statistical nature. Nothing that we do will have any impact on those statistical tendencies, unless what we do is itself, quite a significant modification (ie: not a butterfly). Having power over the future requires having the ability to effect the statistical tendencies, not the ability to pick among them by the judicious applications of butterflies.
The science-relevant contrast here is between (ii) and (iii). Most people adopt approach (iii), before they hear of the Butterfly Effect. The unfortunate misunderstanding of that effect is that it tends to suggest, if improperly explained, that approach (ii) is actually true.
Mind you, the issue for pages in this thread seems to revolve more around the contrast between (i) and the others, but Physics of weather depends on getting (ii) and (iii) clear.
(I live in the forlorn hope that this sub-topic might eventually get around to science .. so invoking the Butterfly Effect then crosses that divide).
We have our part to play in CAUSING the future. We, and everything else, Cause it. But we can't change it. The only thing that can happen is whatever happens.So this may be slightly out of the context you were originally arguing, but using the Butterfly Effect, doesn’t work for me as I think you’re relying on your hypothetical ‘ifs’ in order to make what the Butterfly Effect is all about .. to be ‘true’. (Ie post #1194: ’If I saw the actions of people in Hawaii .. If I saw the events of tomorrow where a person … If I saw them sending their children off to school ...’)
Your conclusion was:
I would say there are actually two places where the Butterfly Effect becomes myth instead of 'physical truth’.
The first is: if a butterfly can change the weather, then we should be able to control our own destinies … just find the tiny effects we will need to get things to turn out the way we like. The impossibility of that stems from two places: first, that we would need to control every butterfly, not just one.
But the second way is that even if you did control every butterfly, and know ‘everything there is to know’ about today's weather, you still could not control, or even predict, the weather a month from now.
The butterfly effect is not about the power of butterflies to change the weather, it is about the powerlessness of butterflies, or anything else, to change the weather.
The idea that you can ‘change the future’ requires from the very start, that you be able to predict the future's ‘current path’, such that you have something to change, which is what your hypothetical posited as being true from the outset (admittedly addressed by your ‘if’ conditions).
The way I see it is there are three basic models one can have about the future:
i) the future is inevitable, it is set in stone, and nothing anyone can do could ever change it.
ii) the future is malleable, and if we had enough information, we could change it, possibly with very small adjustments, but it might require an unreasonably vast amount of information.
iii) the future is fundamentally random (or fundamentally undecided), so all we can ever assess is the statistical tendencies of the future. Having more information merely allows us to know the statistical tendencies more accurately, it never reduces their statistical nature. Nothing that we do will have any impact on those statistical tendencies, unless what we do is itself, quite a significant modification (ie: not a butterfly). Having power over the future requires having the ability to effect the statistical tendencies, not the ability to pick among them by the judicious applications of butterflies.
The science-relevant contrast here is between (ii) and (iii). Most people adopt approach (iii), before they hear of the Butterfly Effect. The unfortunate misunderstanding of that effect is that it tends to suggest, if improperly explained, that approach (ii) is actually true.
Mind you, the issue for pages in this thread seems to revolve more around the contrast between (i) and the others, but Physics of weather depends on getting (ii) and (iii) clear.
(I live in the forlorn hope that this sub-topic might eventually get around to science .. so invoking the Butterfly Effect then crosses that divide).
You misquote me again. I don't care if you think several outcomes are possible. I say that you do have choice if you think OPTIONS are available.You claimed that if I am in a situation that has only one outcome, then I still have a choice as long as I think that several outcomes are possible. You also claim that I still have a choice even if someone else has decided for me. See post 1175. Please support these claims.
I'm trying to figure out why you said all that. It's not like I disagree with you on it. I don't, but for insignificant points.Modern science seems to indicate that time travel into the past is impossible. If we are hypothesising a world where this fundamental law of nature is violated, then there's no way to tell what effects it could have, so there's no way to tell how information from the future could affect that future.
It creates paradoxes. By saying that if we see the future as you suggest that this future MUST come to pass, we are eliminating free will, locking the future into the shape we saw in the vision. But if the future is free to change, then the future we saw would be changed and no longer exists, so it couldn't have existed for us to see it. To claim it was one possible future is meaningless, anything could have happened. I mean, one possible future is me running naked in the streets clucking like a chicken. With an infinite number of futures that could have been seen, why was it THIS particular future that was shown?
It seems you have created a hypothetical situation that plays into one particular answer. In any case, any answer I give isn't likely to be an accurate reflection on the world we actually live in, just the artificial world where information from the future can come back to us in the present.
More word salad.We have our part to play in CAUSING the future. We, and everything else, Cause it. But we can't change it. The only thing that can happen is whatever happens.
You misquote me again. I don't care if you think several outcomes are possible. I say that you do have choice if you think OPTIONS are available.
"For" you? I have said that God ("someone else") decided that you would choose what you chose. How does that translate to your vague "for", in "Someone else chose for you" --something I don't think I said --at least, not how you take it. This isn't the first time I have explained this for you, btw. Your argument seems to have migrated from "I disagree with you because", to "you are being sloppy with your English".