The national vote means the voters preferred her. Thats all I'm claiming.
And I think that's an erroneous claim. I couldn't find the type of study I was looking for (the type I mentioned in my previous post) ... all I found was
this, which has its own biases. You could probably find similar types of things. The point I would make from that chart is not whether Trump or Clinton was polling higher, but the fact that the swings in the numbers over time are more than the 2.2% difference of the final election. So, I wouldn't be surprised if the result would have been different if the election had been held on a different day.
There were polls showing that
both Trump and Clinton had high unfavorable ratings. IOW, there was a "none of the above" subtext. And that was me. I didn't vote for Trump or Clinton. I voted for a 3rd candidate. The way the current rules work, the election is decided by those who swallow their dignity and vote. Those who can't stomach the choices and don't vote, aren't heard. If their "none of the above" voice was added to elections, the results could easily be very different.
I tend toward a Libertarian view, but I wasn't especially fond of the Libertarian candidate. Still, I cast my vote knowing a 3rd party wouldn't win - cast it as a deliberate "none of the above" vote. The rules are that the winner must get a majority of electoral votes. My hope was that enough 3rd party votes would be cast to prevent that and throw the election to the House. Not that it would have changed the winner, but to send a message: I don't want either.
So in a straight popular vote, what would you do with the 1996 election, when
no candidate got >50%? When there is no national preference?
If we were to change the voting system, I would want to add a "none of the above" option. I think if that had been available in 2016, neither Trump nor Clinton would have gotten >50%. And I'd push for a lot of other modifications as well. You can bet I wouldn't be the only one. It would be a chaotic free-for-all.
So that's my claim. At best, 2016 was a tie. There was no winner - no national preference. And until you address why that is, you're going to continue to get these lesser-of-two-evils close elections.