Ahh yes, a version of Mount Improbable.
There's literally nothing "improbable" about 1+1+1+1+...+1+1 resulting in a large number.
It's the inevitable result of the accumulation of small steps.
Very simplistic and neglects the actual heirachy evident in biological forms.
No. It actually does the opposite: it
explains the (nested) hierarchy evident in biological life.
For a start off the basic building blocks are not 1+1, are they? Rather they are a complex string of specific amino acids.
1. the origins of life are not within the scope of evolution theory
2. complex organic molecules happily form in nature all the time. even in space rocks.
So we have hundreds of numbers to choose from, only 20 of them can be considered organic (in so far as they are used for proteins), and they must all have the correct handedness when they are used.
You can wait for a big number to form in your pre-biotic soup all day long (A day being 15 billion years in this case) but the lilklihood that it will be useful for any purpose (even one little protein) is vanishingly small.
To posit enough proteins to build a self replicating living thing (let alone build it) is just blithering craziness.
The origins of life are not within the scope of evolution theory.
And your argument from ignorance / incredulity, is fallacious.
A person who has won the lottery 20 times this morning is have a bad luck day by comparison with this sort of expectation.
Ow, so you like probabilities?
Here's another one...
There are about 3000-ish known retroviruses.
In humanoids, there are about 3 billion potential insertion spots in the DNA when infected.
So the chance of 1 specific ERV to end up in a specific spot in the DNA, are about 1 in 3000* 3 billion.
For
the exact same ERV to end up in the
exact same spot in the DNA of
2 different organisms without them sharing ancestry (and thus inheriting that ERV from that ancestor), that becomes 1 in (3000*3 billion)²
Do you know how many ERV's are shared between humans and chimps?
If you wish to claim that this is the result of all individual insertion events, then you're not talking winning the lottery 20 times in a row. Then you're talking about winning it
thousands of times in a row.
Unless humans and chimps share ancestors that had the initial infection and passed it on to off spring. In that case, the chances of us sharing those ERV's with chimps is exactly 1 in 1.