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A simple calculation shows why evolution is impossible

stevevw

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The puddle and hole analogy was written from the perspective of the puddle. As far as the puddle knows, it is "unique and rare. "
yes that's right it is based on personal perspective and as far as I know personal views are not science and nor do they make a good support for an argument about the scientific verification in physics. The puddle example is more a philosophical argument. As mentioned the fine tuning argument is based on the measurement of values of physics which is science and not personal views.
 
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46AND2

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yes that's right it is based on personal perspective and as far as I know personal views are not science and nor do they make a good support for an argument about the scientific verification in physics. The puddle example is more a philosophical argument. As mentioned the fine tuning argument is based on the measurement of values of physics which is science and not personal views.

And as mentioned, any differing values of physics would result in a hole that would not support that puddle perfectly. I still fail to see the difference.

The puddle represents humans, and because of that, all the scientific inclinations that come with humanity are implied. You haven't addressed a flaw in the analogy, you just don't like the simplicity of it.
 
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Bungle_Bear

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From my understanding are you asking if it has been demonstrated in science if say the The strength of gravity cannot be any other value except the one that we have measured in our universe.
There you go. And the answer is.......?

I'm not interested in theoretical arguments, I want empirical evidence or at least a test to determine if other values are, in fact, possible. Without that your fine tuning argument is meaningless.
 
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stevevw

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And as mentioned, any differing values of physics would result in a hole that would not support that puddle perfectly. I still fail to see the difference.

The puddle represents humans, and because of that, all the scientific inclinations that come with humanity are implied. You haven't addressed a flaw in the analogy, you just don't like the simplicity of it.
In that case the puddle analogy is similar to the fine tuning argument. So therefore you have to explain how the hole fits the puddle as opposed to all the other holes that do not fit. This would make the specific hole that fits the puddle special compared to all the ones that do not fit just like our universe as opposed to all the other possible universes that could have resulted that would not produce and sustain intelligent life.
 
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46AND2

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In that case the puddle analogy is similar to the fine tuning argument. So therefore you have to explain how the hole fits the puddle as opposed to all the other holes that do not fit.

Pretty simple. Any variation in the shape of the whole gives it a different volume, and does not fit our puddle friend.

This would make the specific hole that fits the puddle special compared to all the ones that do not fit just like our universe as opposed to all the other possible universes that could have resulted that would not produce and sustain intelligent life.

And this is what Bungle Bear is asking you to demonstrate....that there actually IS any other way a universe can form? What other possible universes?
 
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stevevw

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There you go. And the answer is.......?

I'm not interested in theoretical arguments, I want empirical evidence or at least a test to determine if other values are, in fact, possible. Without that your fine tuning argument is meaningless.
OK so what about the cosmological constant. WE know it needs to be a specific value to produce our universe ie not one that flies apart and not one that compresses in. The calculations for the cosmological constant are regarded as empirical science. Why cannot the same calculations that determined the specific value of the cosmological constant also determine what happens if the values are not within the proper range.
 
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stevevw

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Pretty simple. Any variation in the shape of the whole gives it a different volume, and does not fit our puddle friend.
So therefore if the puddle represents life then the different volume represents a different outcome for what is produced. When applied to the fine tuning of life a different universe which is the hole with different physical values will not produce intelligent life because the values have to be life supporting and specific to the one hole. So all other holes that do not have the value of the hole the original puddle is in that asks the question are invalid. Therefore we have to explain why the hole the puddle is in is so special.

And this is what Bungle Bear is asking you to demonstrate....that there actually IS any other way a universe can form? What other possible universes?
Well scientists have only posed one other way this can happen and that is a multiverse. But that has not been verified. So all we have is the universe we are in and the physical parameters that sustain it to produce life which makes up our reality.

No one will ever be able to verify another reality as they would have to visit it. This is all speculation and unfounded science so I don't understand why it is even being proposed. We know we can measure our physical parameters as they make up our standard model of physics. We also know by the same calculations that any tiny variation will affect things so that we do not get the same physics which will not allow life. That is all we can measure.
 
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46AND2

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So therefore if the puddle represents life then the different volume represents a different outcome for what is produced. When applied to the fine tuning of life a different universe which is the hole with different physical values will not produce intelligent life because the values have to be life supporting and specific to the one hole. So all other holes that do not have the value of the hole the original puddle is in that asks the question are invalid. Therefore we have to explain why the hole the puddle is in is so special.

In the perspective of the puddle of course it is special. It knows of no other possibilities...just like humanity's "hole."

Well scientists have only posed one other way this can happen and that is a multiverse. But that has not been verified. So all we have is the universe we are in and the physical parameters that sustain it to produce life which makes up our reality.

But even that doesn't meet the criteria. If there are other universes, who's to say they are not made up exactly like this one because that's the only way it possibly can?

No one will ever be able to verify another reality as they would have to visit it. This is all speculation and unfounded science so I don't understand why it is even being proposed. We know we can measure our physical parameters as they make up our standard model of physics. We also know by the same calculations that any tiny variation will affect things so that we do not get the same physics which will not allow life. That is all we can measure.

It's being proposed because YOU proposed it...implicitly...or rather the ID literature you read did. How can you possibly propose the odds of something happening, when you can't even quantify the ways it can happen differently?
 
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Bungle_Bear

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OK so what about the cosmological constant. WE know it needs to be a specific value to produce our universe ie not one that flies apart and not one that compresses in. The calculations for the cosmological constant are regarded as empirical science. Why cannot the same calculations that determined the specific value of the cosmological constant also determine what happens if the values are not within the proper range.
How many times can you ignore a simple question? I have no interest whatsoever in theoretical arguments.

Please answer these 2 questions with a simple Yes/No:

1. Can you demonstrate empirically that the cosmological constant can be any value other than the one we have in our universe?
2. If the answer to the above question is "no", is there a test which could be performed to establish that a different value is actually possible?

If you cannot answer "Yes" to either of those questions, you will have demonstrated that the fine tuning argument is meaningless.
 
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stevevw

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In the perspective of the puddle of course it is special. It knows of no other possibilities...just like humanity's "hole."
Yes but unlike the puddle intelligent life can ask the question as to why is my universe (hole) so special when I could have ended up in any possible universe (hole) that does not allow life. So we need to ask the question how did our universe have the exact physical makeup to produce and sustain life.

But even that doesn't meet the criteria. If there are other universes, who's to say they are not made up exactly like this one because that's the only way it possibly can?
But we don't know that and never will be able to know. So all we have is the here and now. We cannot appeal to non-verified situations. Otherwise we could do that with everything and start introducing all sorts of speculation. If a person who believes in God suggested such an idea they would be shot down.

It's being proposed because YOU proposed it...implicitly...or rather the ID literature you read did. How can you possibly propose the odds of something happening, when you can't even quantify the ways it can happen differently?
I am not proposing any other dimensions as a result of fine tuning at this stage. All we are talking about is whether our universe is fine tuned. Non religious scientists also support the idea of a fine tuned universe. They just don't know how this can be. The very fact that scientists make a big deal out of the fine tuning such as the cosmological constant is because they see its value being a specific value within any possible values that could have happened. So they don't need to appeal to other universes to do that.

The fact that some introduce a multiverse shows they know if we only take our universe into consideration then we have a pretty special universe. So they hedge the bets by spreading the probabilities within many universes to make ours not so special. But we can only go by the fact that we only know that we have our universe which by default makes it a special universe.
 
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46AND2

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Yes but unlike the puddle intelligent life can ask the question as to why is my universe (hole) so special

It's kind of the whole point of the analogy...the puddle sees its hole as being specially made for it.

when I could have ended up in any possible universe (hole) that does not allow life.

How could you possibly do that?

So we need to ask the question how did our universe have the exact physical makeup to produce and sustain life.

1. First of all, our "universe" doesn't have the exact physical makeup to produce and sustain life. An extremely tiny portion of our universe does.
2. When you talk about life, really, you are talking about life as we know it.
3. You still have not demonstrated that it is even possible for there to be other physical constants
4. We don't know if we are the only universe

When you put that together, there are many other possible answers to your question than intelligent design. Maybe there are infinite opportunities for such constants to exist, maybe there is only one, Maybe there is more intelligent life capable of living in different conditions. There simply is not enough information available from the fine tuning argument to conclude anything about a tuner.

We are just as ignorant about the answer to that question as the puddle.

But we don't know that and never will be able to know. So all we have is the here and now. We cannot appeal to non-verified situations.

Good, I'm glad we agree in that at least...cause that is exactly what ID does; appeals to non-verified situations.

Otherwise we could do that with everything and start introducing all sorts of speculation. If a person who believes in God suggested such an idea they would be shot down.

God is a non-verified situation.

I am not proposing any other dimensions as a result of fine tuning at this stage. All we are talking about is whether our universe is fine tuned. Non religious scientists also support the idea of a fine tuned universe. They just don't know how this can be. The very fact that scientists make a big deal out of the fine tuning such as the cosmological constant is because they see its value being a specific value within any possible values that could have happened. So they don't need to appeal to other universes to do that.

This tuning implies variable constants. In order for the fine-tuning argument to work, you have to demonstrate that the constants are not actually constant. And I don't mean actually showing that they vary in our universe, I mean showing that there is a possibility they COULD be different....anywhere.

The fact that some introduce a multiverse shows they know if we only take our universe into consideration then we have a pretty special universe. So they hedge the bets by spreading the probabilities within many universes to make ours not so special. But we can only go by the fact that we only know that we have our universe which by default makes it a special universe.

Again I ask the question: how can you possibly know the odds of our universe being the way it is, if you can't even quantify the different ways that it could be? For all we know, the odds could be 1 in 1.

Sure, you can arbitrarily change numbers around, but we have no idea if those changes reflect a possibility in reality or not.
 
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stevevw

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How many times can you ignore a simple question? I have no interest whatsoever in theoretical arguments.

Please answer these 2 questions with a simple Yes/No:[ok]

1. Can you demonstrate empirically that the cosmological constant can be any value other than the one we have in our universe?
I would say no we cannot verify the cosmological constant directly at this stage. To be able to directly verify the value of the cosmological constant would be near impossible. But considering it forms part of present theories like relativity it must be theoretically verified otherwise we could say relativity is not verified.
2. If the answer to the above question is "no", is there a test which could be performed to establish that a different value is actually possible?
I think they are nearing a test that can verify something like dark energy so I would also have to say no at this stage. We cannot see dark energy so it is hard to verify with direct observation but we can see its effects and we are getting close to verifying this. Considering the cosmological constant is tied to our fundamental theories it is hard to deny.
Scientists May Have Finally Detected A Dark Matter Signal
Scientists May Have Finally Detected A Dark Matter Signal

We can only verify that the cosmological constant has to be a certain value for our universe. No one could verify if it can be a different value as it would probably result in our universe not being here. So it is a sort of irrelevant question in our reality. But the fact that scientists say that our cosmological value needs to be what it is shows that any other value will not do.
 
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Speedwell

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I am aiming for nothing in particular. Probably the main one at the moment is the fine tuning argument and trying to determine its status in science. Overall I have mentioned that the fine tuning may be one support for a creative agent behind things which is one of the options suggested by many articles on the topic.
Belief in a creative agent behind things has always been possible. It's your argument itself which seems unconvincing, not the idea of a creative agent.
 
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VirOptimus

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Belief in a creative agent behind things has always been possible. It's your argument itself which seems unconvincing, not the idea of a creative agent.

He got to be deliberatly obtuse. There really is no point in "debating" him.
 
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Bungle_Bear

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We can only verify that the cosmological constant has to be a certain value for our universe. No one could verify if it can be a different value as it would probably result in our universe not being here. So it is a sort of irrelevant question in our reality.
It is not irrelevant to the fine tuning argument. You have admitted that we cannot know if the cosmological constant can have any value other than the one it has, yet your fine tuning argument requires that we know that it is a possibility.
But the fact that scientists say that our cosmological value needs to be what it is shows that any other value will not do.
That may be true, but it is irrelevant. Show me any evidence that the cosmological value can be different to what it is here, in our universe. No scientist has made that claim, they have just done some mathematical modelling of theoretical differences. Notice the word in bold. It is the most important word in that sentence, and it is the one you are refusing to acknowledge.

And for what it's worth, you didn't answer either of my yes/no questions. I don't just mean you didn't answer yes or no, you didn't even answer the questions. Instead you answered questions I didn't ask. Again. If you want to continue taking part in a debate you need to seriously up your game.
 
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stevevw

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It's kind of the whole point of the analogy...the puddle sees its hole as being specially made for it.
I thought it was about the water being fluid and therefore it can fit any hole. The idea is because the puddle fits the hole and the hole must have been made for the puddle.

How could you possibly do that?
Because under a chance process that natural processes promotes the outcome of the hole (universe) from the big bang could have ended up being any hole (universe) that had hostile conditions that were not accommodating for life.

1. First of all, our "universe" doesn't have the exact physical makeup to produce and sustain life. An extremely tiny portion of our universe does.
yes and so far that tiny oasis is planet earth. There are around 140 constants that are associated with allowing our universe and planet and therefore intelligent life. Some are associated with how our galaxy is positioned, how our earth is positioned within the galaxy, how the moon is positioned to the earth. So are associated with the physical constants like the ratio of electron to proton mass, the values of the strong and weak nuclear forces the list goes on.
2. When you talk about life, really, you are talking about life as we know it.
The fine tuning argument is talking about intelligent life, one that can contemplate their place in the universe.
3. You still have not demonstrated that it is even possible for there to be other physical constants
Nor have the science proved that our constants are not the only ones. All we can do is go by what we know and that is the constants that we have.
4. We don't know if we are the only universe
How do we verify that there are other universes. All we can do is go by what we have. If we took the approach that there may be other dimensions and psychics somewhere else which may alter our reality then we cannot be sure of any of our theories.

When you put that together, there are many other possible answers to your question than intelligent design. Maybe there are infinite opportunities for such constants to exist, maybe there is only one, Maybe there is more intelligent life capable of living in different conditions. There simply is not enough information available from the fine tuning argument to conclude anything about a tuner.
Maybe so and time will tell. But we can only go by what we know and have at the moment and this seems to point to our universe being well suited to produce and sustain life in our little corner of the universe. If they find intelligent life somewhere in our universe then this may show we are not so special. But I cannot see how we can verify other universes as we cannot leave our reality and go to another.

We are just as ignorant about the answer to that question as the puddle.
The puddle does not even go as far as investigating things. It just assumes because it is there that everything must have been set up that way.

Good, I'm glad we agree in that at least...cause that is exactly what ID does; appeals to non-verified situations.
Yes I am aware of that and am not trying to prove God. But in saying that multiverses are also something that cannot be verified but scientists are not hesitant in using them as support.

This tuning implies variable constants. In order for the fine-tuning argument to work, you have to demonstrate that the constants are not actually constant. And I don't mean actually showing that they vary in our universe, I mean showing that there is a possibility they COULD be different....anywhere.
Then why do scientists make a big thing out of our constants being so fine tuned. They can only do that if they are acknowledging that those constants are subject to other values. If they are not and are fixed then there is no big deal of fine tuning. So the question is do they know that our constants can only fall within the values they did and nothing else. Most scientists including ones like Hawking, Weinberg, Rees, Davies, Hoyle all make a big deal out of the fine tuning of our universe.

Again I ask the question: how can you possibly know the odds of our universe being the way it is, if you can't even quantify the different ways that it could be? For all we know, the odds could be 1 in 1.
Because our science is based on naturalism and that is the way we determine all happenings. That is things happen by chance and are not directed by anything to happen in any particular way. That means from the big bang things expanded randomly and chaotically and the outcome could have been any possibility. If things happened where the odds were certain that a specific outcome was going to happen then that would point more to some directions and orchestration behind things in a naturalistic chance process.
Sure, you can arbitrarily change numbers around, but we have no idea if those changes reflect a possibility in reality or not.
We cannot change our numbers for our universe as the science shows for example
  • Gravitational constant: 1 part in 10^34
  • Electromagnetic force versus force of gravity: 1 part in 10^37
  • Cosmological constant: 1 part in 10^120
  • Mass density of universe: 1 part in 10^59
  • Expansion rate of universe: 1 part in 10^55
  • Initial entropy: 1 part in 10^ (10^123)
  1. strong nuclear force constant
    if larger: no hydrogen would form; atomic nuclei for most life-essential elements would be unstable; thus, no life chemistry
    if smaller: no elements heavier than hydrogen would form: again, no life chemistry
  2. weak nuclear force constant
    if larger: too much hydrogen would convert to helium in big bang; hence, stars would convert too much matter into heavy elements making life chemistry impossible
    if smaller: too little helium would be produced from big bang; hence, stars would convert too little matter into heavy elements making life chemistry impossible
  3. gravitational force constant
    if larger: stars would be too hot and would burn too rapidly and too unevenly for life chemistry
    if smaller
    : stars would be too cool to ignite nuclear fusion; thus, many of the elements needed for life chemistry would never form
  4. electromagnetic force constant
    if greater: chemical bonding would be disrupted; elements more massive than boron would be unstable to fission
    if lesser: chemical bonding would be insufficient for life chemistry
  5. ratio of electromagnetic force constant to gravitational force constant
    if larger: all stars would be at least 40% more massive than the sun; hence, stellar burning would be too brief and too uneven for life support
    if smaller
    : all stars would be at least 20% less massive than the sun, thus incapable of producing heavy elements
How did scientists work these results out. Are they making the above results up. Why would they even claim these results if they are not something they have calculated. How did they work out the negative effects from varying the constants. Was this based on science or did they make them up.
 
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Speedwell

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Because our science is based on naturalism and that is the way we determine all happenings. That is things happen by chance and are not directed by anything to happen in any particular way. That means from the big bang things expanded randomly and chaotically and the outcome could have been any possibility. If things happened where the odds were certain that a specific outcome was going to happen then that would point more to some directions and orchestration behind things in a naturalistic chance process.
You don't really know that--although it's clear that you welcome any opportunity to characterize "naturalism" in that way.
 
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stevevw

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Belief in a creative agent behind things has always been possible. It's your argument itself which seems unconvincing, not the idea of a creative agent.
But we are talking about scientific verification. So belief in a creative agent would be impossible to verify not possible. My argument for a creative agent will always seem unconvincing as it cannot be verified directly.
 
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Speedwell

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But we are talking about scientific verification. So belief in a creative agent would be impossible to verify not possible. My argument for a creative agent will always seem unconvincing as it cannot be verified directly.
So why bother with it? Atheists won't be convinced and theists don't need it.
 
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