I don't consider these to be outside factors. The introduction of significant quantities of carbon compounds, including substantial amounts of pre-biotic chemistry is, to me, a given. It was a key factor in the emergence of life (assuming pan spermia is not the explanation for Earth life and we have to look elsewhere for the origin).
I am not aware of any data that suggests the contributions from cometary or asteroidal strikes would vary qualitatively over time, so no meaningful new variables would be introduced.
I wonder about our relatively 'dead' neighbor planets that turned out so differently. Saying that we're in a 'Goldilocks zone' seems convenient after the fact, so I'm not suggesting that here, but different factors were clearly at play. Mars was apparently the most Earth-like at one point, replete with oceans, yet from what we've gathered life didn't develop there as it did on Earth.
The diverse chemical compositions of our neighboring planets suggests to me a highly dynamic origin.
Pan spermia makes for good science fiction, but I'm not suggesting that here. Rather, a diverse set of conditions and different factors leading to different outcomes. Some of which may have been from outside of our Solar system. Oumuamua came pretty close. I would have liked to learn more about it.
Yes, terrestrial conditions are dynamic, but as noted above, I see no evidence for significant variability in "interstellar ingredients". If you have such evidence I would like to see it.
You need also keep in the forefront of your mind that, no matter how long it takes for life to emerge, once it does so that ends the game. No more new life. The first life just uses the chemicals tas food that might otherwise have had the potential to lead to further life.
After that first life emerges it's just 3.5 billion years of evolution until the universe produces entities capable of thinking the Earth is flat.
I think the next 3.5 billion years will likely see some small improvements.
And today it couldn't form - without the help of entities that don't think the Earth is flat. You see - we're allready getting progress!
We've found compounds and metals in meteorites that don't occur naturally here. One example of the former being King Tut's dagger. It has long been theorized that the basic building blocks of life either got here from elsewhere or were somehow initiated by the force of impact or other such conditions. Which may not have been necessary for pantheneine.
As far as new life goes, it does seem to me that life should arrise under certain conditions regardless of location. When life arose on Earth, was it the first life in the universe? Although
pan spermia is one possibility, I think it's more likely that life can simply appear independently in multiple locations.
On the topic of Flat Earthers. Even in antiquity, there is evidence that many people knew the Earth was round. Others thought it was curved like the back of a turtle. At least that's closer to what we can observe than a flat planet. Flat-earther may have even been an insult then much like it is today. At least among those would have known better. Ships wouldn't be able to navigate large bodies of water, for instance, if the Earth was flat. I doubt many sailors believed that "There be Dragons" at the edge of the map. They just hadn't explored everywhere yet and it was a fanciful way to deal with that. Even the idea of Christopher Columbus set out to prove that the Earth was round can be considered a tall tale. Columbus, his sponsors, and probably most of his contemporaries knew it was round. They just underestimated its size and unexpectedly encountered other lands between Spain and India.
For what it's worth, if you mentioned that last bit as a dig because I'm a Christian on a Christian website... modern science, and even the Enlightenment, can be seen as an outgrowth of Christian thought. Not to diminish the influence of Greek philosophers, Eastern thought or other contributors, but science as we know it has always had a strong Christian presence. As long as we stick to the evidence and don't try to push political agendas under the name of science, you won't find me disagreeing much about data and whatnot. The way I see things is God did it however he did it. This isn't exactly a rare position hold, despite some of what you may read on this site (FWIW, Flat Earthers look like a psyop to me as I've never even met one). I'm not a big fan of "god of the gaps" arguments either. Rather, seeing everything as evidence for a creator. But I didn't post in this thread to proselytize. For that, I would encourage you to read (or become re-aquainted with) the gospel, but everything else I've posted here is simply engaging the subject matter. Maybe delving into the realm of speculative hard science fiction a little as I do enjoy the genre and it probably shows, but I like to keep the science part as accurate as possible when doing so.
This is just a cool article. One of the more interesting things I've read today.