Pro-Trump Senate candidates create early 2022 headaches for Republican leaders

[cow451]

#imademypointinthecomment

#norealdefenseformagasowhataboutdemocrats

 

[Oompa Loompa]

#norealdefenseformagasowhataboutdemocrats

#Lol

 

[Pommer]

#nownow

 

[wing2000]

#Imgonnagosupernovaradioactive

 

[essentialsaltes]

Not a senate race, but a similar feel.

Hogan slams ‘disgusting lies’ about 9/11 by Maryland GOP attorney general nominee

Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan (R) condemned his party’s pick for state attorney general on Sunday, following a CNN report revealing the nominee spread conspiracy theories about the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on a radio show he co-hosted roughly 15 years ago.

Michael Peroutka, who won the Republican primary earlier this month, said it was “very, very true” that demolition charges were present in the World Trade Center before the attacks, during an October 2006 episode of “The American View.”

After Trump-backed candidate Dan Cox won Maryland’s GOP gubernatorial primary, Hogan said he wouldn’t support his party’s nominee in the general election. [Hogan calls Cox a "conspiracy theorist", and that would seem to go for Peroutka as well.]

[Peroutka is endorsed by Cox]

 

[essentialsaltes]

Going back to the senate, and sorry to turn it into a horse race, but 538's model slightly favors the Democrats to retain control of the senate, with a 57% chance to do so (at the time of writing). When the model was initiated, it was 60% for the Republicans to take control.

But Trump-endorsed candidates like Dr. Oz, Herschel Walker and (probably) Blake Masters are not performing well in important battleground states like New Jers... (sorry, Pennsylvania is where Dr. Oz calls home), Georgia and Arizona.

Currently the House forecast heavily favors the GOP to take control.

 

[essentialsaltes]

But Trump-endorsed candidates like Dr. Oz, ... are not performing well in important battleground states like New Jers... (sorry, Pennsylvania is where Dr. Oz calls home)

The latest major survey, from Fox News, put Democratic candidate John Fetterman, the state’s lieutenant governor, up by a startling 11 points over Oz. In the RealClearPolitics polling average, Fetterman leads by almost 9 points.

The situation is all the more striking given that Fetterman has been off the campaign trail since suffering a stroke in mid-May.

In the second quarter, the Democrat raised roughly $11 million while the Republican raised about $3.8 million — “more than half of it money he loaned his campaign,” as The Philadelphia Inquirer noted.

A Pittsburgh Post-Gazette analysis found that between April 28 and June 30, Fetterman raised $5.1 million from people giving less than $200. [I was one of them.] During the same period, Oz received just $153,000 in the same way.

 

[cow451]

The latest major survey, from Fox News, put Democratic candidate John Fetterman, the state’s lieutenant governor, up by a startling 11 points over Oz. In the RealClearPolitics polling average, Fetterman leads by almost 9 points.

The situation is all the more striking given that Fetterman has been off the campaign trail since suffering a stroke in mid-May.

In the second quarter, the Democrat raised roughly $11 million while the Republican raised about $3.8 million — “more than half of it money he loaned his campaign,” as The Philadelphia Inquirer noted.

A Pittsburgh Post-Gazette analysis found that between April 28 and June 30, Fetterman raised $5.1 million from people giving less than $200. [I was one of them.] During the same period, Oz received just $153,000 in the same way.

Maybe Oz can run for office in New Jersey or Turkey.

 

[wing2000]

Good night for the election deniers in the Arizona primaries. (Governor's race has not been called yet)

Election denier Blake Masters won the GOP’s nomination for U.S. Senate in Arizona on Tuesday. Arizona Republicans also nominated Mark Finchem for secretary of state. He is a leading driver of a conspiracy theory that the election was stolen in Arizona’s second-largest county, Pima County.

The Arizona governor’s GOP primary is too close to call, but it’s possible that Republican voters will chose Kari Lake, another Trump-backed, unapologetic denier of the 2020 election results, who said if she were elected, she would try to get rid of voting machines and vote by mail — even though most Arizonans vote that way.

Results are still coming in for the Republican primary for Arizona attorney general, but the winner is likely to be one of two candidates who have embraced election denial.


....and the man who refused to violate his oath of office - lost his bid for an Arizona State Senate seat:

Arizona House Speaker Russell “Rusty” Bowers (R) is no slouch when it comes to conservative views. But he also refused multiple efforts from Trump and his allies to find a way to convene the state legislature in 2020 and flip that state’s election results from Biden to Trump, which probably would have been illegal. He testified about his experience to the committee in the U.S. House of Representatives investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol. “I said, ‘Look, you are asking me to do something that is counter to my oath,’ ”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/08/03/takeaways-primaries-kansas-arizona/

 

[cow451]

Good night for the election deniers in the Arizona primaries. (Governor's race has not been called yet)

Election denier Blake Masters won the GOP’s nomination for U.S. Senate in Arizona on Tuesday. Arizona Republicans also nominated Mark Finchem for secretary of state. He is a leading driver of a conspiracy theory that the election was stolen in Arizona’s second-largest county, Pima County.

The Arizona governor’s GOP primary is too close to call, but it’s possible that Republican voters will chose Kari Lake, another Trump-backed, unapologetic denier of the 2020 election results, who said if she were elected, she would try to get rid of voting machines and vote by mail — even though most Arizonans vote that way.

Results are still coming in for the Republican primary for Arizona attorney general, but the winner is likely to be one of two candidates who have embraced election denial.


....and the man who refused to violate his oath of office - lost his bid for an Arizona State Senate seat:

Arizona House Speaker Russell “Rusty” Bowers (R) is no slouch when it comes to conservative views. But he also refused multiple efforts from Trump and his allies to find a way to convene the state legislature in 2020 and flip that state’s election results from Biden to Trump, which probably would have been illegal. He testified about his experience to the committee in the U.S. House of Representatives investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol. “I said, ‘Look, you are asking me to do something that is counter to my oath,’ ”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/08/03/takeaways-primaries-kansas-arizona/

That dry heat might be the problem in AZ.

 

[Fantine]

What i know for sure is that they will claim victory either way, citing voter fraud if they lose.

 

[essentialsaltes]

After Trump-backed candidate Dan Cox won Maryland’s GOP gubernatorial primary, [current GOP governor] Hogan said he wouldn’t support his party’s nominee in the general election. [Hogan calls Cox a "conspiracy theorist".]

Hogan, who has previously called Cox a “... whack job,” described the GOP nominee as “a nut” during a recent radio interview and reiterated his prediction that Cox has “no chance whatsoever” of being elected as Maryland’s governor in November.

“He’s not, in my opinion, mentally stable,” Hogan, who is term-limited, said Wednesday on WGMD radio, based on the Eastern Shore. “He wanted to hang my friend, Mike Pence, and took three busloads of people to the Capitol.”

During the insurrection, [Cox] tweeted that Vice President Mike Pence was “a traitor,” though he later apologized for his language while facing a legislative ethics inquiry.

 

[essentialsaltes]

He may be polling well with some GOP voters, but not with Twitter. He's been baninated.

 

[essentialsaltes]

GOP candidate says call for Garland’s death was ‘facetious’

 

[Desk trauma]

He may be polling well with some GOP voters, but not with Twitter. He's been baninated.

Is it too late to let Florida back out of the Union?

 

[JSRG]

He may be polling well with some GOP voters, but not with Twitter. He's been baninated.

What polls are you referring to? I can't find any.

I did look into the election, which is for District 20. His primary opponent, Bobby Payne, is the incumbent of District 19 (there was redistricting, which is presumably why he's running for a different district now). If we look at campaign information, Luis Miguel has raised $3,976 (about a thousand dollars of which was his own donation) and spent $3,115:
Luis Miguel - Florida Candidate - Transparency USA

His opponent, Bobby Payne, has raised $133,189 and spent $28,011:
Bobby Payne - Florida Candidate - Transparency USA

Now, I know that campaign contributions or spending don't tell the whole story. People have won elections despite spending or receiving a lot less than their opponent. But generally speaking, if one person receives 33 times as much in donations, it's a strong sign they're a lot more popular than the other person.

So what causes you to say that Luis Miguel is "polling well"?

 

[essentialsaltes]

So what causes you to say that Luis Miguel is "polling well"?

I said that may be the case with some GOP constituencies. Like the pro-murdering-federal-agents GOP constituency.

 

[essentialsaltes]

'In a body bag': Sarasota candidate says he'd kill FBI agents if they tried to search home

Hyde is a Republican running for Congress against U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan, R-Longboat Key. He has been a magnet for controversy, with his campaign imploding after he was caught on camera in February berating a Sarasota police officer and threatening her job during a traffic stop.

 

[Desk trauma]

'In a body bag': Sarasota candidate says he'd kill FBI agents if they tried to search home

Hyde is a Republican running for Congress against U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan, R-Longboat Key. He has been a magnet for controversy, with his campaign imploding after he was caught on camera in February berating a Sarasota police officer and threatening her job during a traffic stop.

Knowing what timeline I’m in I would like to welcome the freshman congressman and future president.

 

[JSRG]

'In a body bag': Sarasota candidate says he'd kill FBI agents if they tried to search home

Hyde is a Republican running for Congress against U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan, R-Longboat Key. He has been a magnet for controversy, with his campaign imploding after he was caught on camera in February berating a Sarasota police officer and threatening her job during a traffic stop.

To refer to Martin Hyde (the "Sarasota candidate" in question) in a topic about "Pro-Trump" candidates is a bit misleading. Granted, one can go off topic, but as you provide no qualifier, one would get the impression that Martin Hyde is a supporter of Trump. But as we can see here, that doesn't seem to be the case:
Roger Stone, Michael Flynn endorse CD 16 candidate who called Donald Trump ‘wretched,’ MAGA ‘bigots’

In a letter published in the Herald-Tribune during Trump’s initial bid for President, Hyde wrote that Trump was “wretched,” — synonymous with “vile,” “odious,” and “worthless” — and he said he was “horrified” by the “bigotry and bullying” of Trump supporters.

Actually, in this election, there was a Trump endorsement: For his opponent, Vern Buchanan. (see https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/news-myfvg9m9ks1307)