Here are the nine (8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1-ZERO) Republicans who have officially announced their candidacy for House speaker

[essentialsaltes]

Apparently, they will meet in closed session and keep balloting, dropping the person with the lowest vote total until someone gets a majority, who becomes the presumptive nominee.

I was thinking what they maybe should do is take a poll like: "We all know many of us have held our noses and voted for someone in the past few weeks. Of the 7 remaining candidates, which ones can you not possibly hold your nose for. Who are the absolute over-my-dead-body NOs?

Whoever has the smallest absolute NO vote becomes the nominee, and you start bribing the NOs with whatever you got.

Because really what they need is not someone who can get a majority of GOP votes, but someone who can avoid more than 4 NO votes.

 

[essentialsaltes]

6-5-4-3-2

Rep. Tom Emmer of Minnesota, who is considered the front-runner, was the top vote-getter in the first four rounds of balloting. He is now facing off against Rep. Mike Johnson of Louisiana.

 

[essentialsaltes]

Rep. Tom Emmer (R-Minn.), the House majority whip, was elected as the GOP speaker nominee on a fifth ballot in an internal race that drew nine Republican candidates. Emmer, who has been in Congress since 2015, previously chaired the National Republican Congressional Committee — the House GOP campaign arm — for four years. He is the third Republican speaker nominee since the ouster of Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.). It is not clear whether he has enough support to be elected on the House floor.

In round 1 the totals were
Emmer 78
Johnson 34
Donalds 29
Hern 27
SCott 18
Bergman 16
SEssions 8

Per a rep, 5 members voted for other people and 1 voted present.

Emmer's total grew to just over 100 in later ballots, but I haven't seen the last head-to-head count reported.

 

[wing2000]

6-5-4-3-2

Rep. Tom Emmer of Minnesota, who is considered the front-runner, was the top vote-getter in the first four rounds of balloting. He is now facing off against Rep. Mike Johnson of Louisiana.

So let's assume Emmer wins the runoff. The MAGA Repubicans will not support him...and the Republicans are right back where they started. One of two things needs to happen:
1) MAGA Republicans honor the majority vote within their Conference - which to date, they have refused.
2) Moderate Republicans negotiate with Democrats to support Emmer.

 

[essentialsaltes]

CNN reports the last vote as:

• Emmer - 117
• Rep. Mike Johnson of Louisiana - 97
• Others - 5
• Present - 1

[Not a very convincing win, although it's slightly better than Scalise's 113-99 over Jordan. (But worse than Jordan's 124-81 over newcomer Scott)]

Currently starting a roll call vote to gauge Emmer's support in the conference. If those 5 voting for Others are recalicitrant, he can't win (with GOP votes alone anyway).

 

[essentialsaltes]

Depending which rep you ask, the number of NOs for Emmer is '5-8', 'around ten', 'too many'. It's unclear to me if that's the total total, or how many no's have voted so far in the roll call.

 

[Arcangl86]

Depending which rep you ask, the number of NOs for Emmer is '5-8', 'around ten', 'too many'. It's unclear to me if that's the total total, or how many no's have voted so far in the roll call.

Even if it's just "5-8" that's enough to sink the nomination.

 

[essentialsaltes]

Even if it's just "5-8" that's enough to sink the nomination.

How bout 26? Of course, this is just a starting point. Let's see where negotiation gets them.

GOP Rep. Brandon Williams of New York told CNN’s Manu Raju there were 26 votes against Speaker designee Tom Emmer during the closed-door roll call vote and said that Emmer is trying to resolve the concerns of those members in the room right now on open mic. ["the bulk" of them were votes for Jim Jordan]

 

[Green Sun]

Emmer's support is apparently collapsing, and Trump has begun his expected attacks.

Tom Emmer’s bid to be speaker on verge of collapse, according to multiple GOP members

House GOP Whip Tom Emmer’s bid to be speaker is on the verge of collapse amid opposition from the right flank of his conference over his past votes on fiscal and social issues — and amid fresh attacks waged by former President Donald Trump, according to multiple Republicans.

Several Republicans who oppose Emmer say they will not move off their opposition and are calling for a new candidate.

Emmer can only afford to lose four Republicans, and 26 voted against him behind closed doors.

He voted to certify the 2020 election, voted to keep the government open for 47 days, voted for the bipartisan law to avoid a debt default and voted to codify same-sex marriage — all issues that members of the hard-right have cited.

Since this is the result of a multi-stage vote, and he was the best performing of nine candidates, and he still can't get a win...

Methinks the Republican party may be running out of options.

 

[wing2000]

Emmer's support is apparently collapsing, and Trump has begun his expected attacks.

Tom Emmer’s bid to be speaker on verge of collapse, according to multiple GOP members



Since this is the result of a multi-stage vote, and he was the best performing of nine candidates, and he still can't get a win...

Methinks the Republican party may be running out of options.

.....wash, rinse, repeat.....

 

[RocksInMyHead]

Aaaand Emmer has dropped out.

 

[wing2000]

"not conservative enough" -- transalation: "not loyal enough to the man behind the curtain..."

Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-Fla.) dismissed his colleagues’ criticism that Rep. Tom Emmer (R-Minn.) is not conservative enough, saying that was “absurd.”
“He’s a super conservative member,” Diaz-Balart said. “And if that was the case for them, how come he got the votes from this conference just nine months ago to be the whip? A little consistency, frankly, would be helpful these days.”
Diaz-Balart also said he was nowhere near a place where he would want to work with Democrats on electing a speaker.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/10/24/house-speaker-vote/#link-5ESQKTJ2XRGFTD227SUXFM3XFM

 

[essentialsaltes]

Sorry, we're down to zero candidates now. Emmer is out.

 

[essentialsaltes]

Hear me out.

George Santos.

 

[RocksInMyHead]

Hear me out.

George Santos.

If you can't find someone that everyone likes, just go with the guy that everyone hates!

 

[RocksInMyHead]

Mike Johnson has re-entered the ring! Live updates: Tom Emmer drops out of House speaker race