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His New Hampshire win makes his nomination inevitable. Prepare for a Trump-Biden rematch
President Donald Trump had an astonishing, historic victory in the Iowa caucus. He carried 98 of 99 counties and was 30 points ahead of the second candidate. He beat Bob Dole’s record 12-point victory over George H W Bush from 1988 – and got over 50 per cent in what was effectively a four-way field.
Trump’s victory was enhanced that night when Vivek Ramaswamy left the race, endorsed President Trump, and promptly went to New Hampshire with him. Since Ramaswamy’s supporters came almost entirely from Trump’s base, his 7 per cent in Iowa would have pushed Trump closer to 60 per cent of the vote.
The next test was the New Hampshire primary, which is profoundly different from Iowa. First, New Hampshire has a primary rather than a caucus. In a primary, voting can take someone as little as a few minutes. He or she walks in, casts a ballot, and leaves. In a caucus, people show up in the evening and spend several hours listening to all the candidates’ spokespersons before they vote. The level of commitment required by the two systems is remarkably different.
Second, New Hampshire is simply a different kind of state than Iowa. Iowa is heavily agricultural, rural and has large evangelical and Catholic populations. According to Gallup, New Hampshire is one of the most secular states in the country. The Granite State is mostly light manufacturing, tourism, and Boston suburbs.
Continued below.
President Donald Trump had an astonishing, historic victory in the Iowa caucus. He carried 98 of 99 counties and was 30 points ahead of the second candidate. He beat Bob Dole’s record 12-point victory over George H W Bush from 1988 – and got over 50 per cent in what was effectively a four-way field.
Trump’s victory was enhanced that night when Vivek Ramaswamy left the race, endorsed President Trump, and promptly went to New Hampshire with him. Since Ramaswamy’s supporters came almost entirely from Trump’s base, his 7 per cent in Iowa would have pushed Trump closer to 60 per cent of the vote.
The next test was the New Hampshire primary, which is profoundly different from Iowa. First, New Hampshire has a primary rather than a caucus. In a primary, voting can take someone as little as a few minutes. He or she walks in, casts a ballot, and leaves. In a caucus, people show up in the evening and spend several hours listening to all the candidates’ spokespersons before they vote. The level of commitment required by the two systems is remarkably different.
Second, New Hampshire is simply a different kind of state than Iowa. Iowa is heavily agricultural, rural and has large evangelical and Catholic populations. According to Gallup, New Hampshire is one of the most secular states in the country. The Granite State is mostly light manufacturing, tourism, and Boston suburbs.
Continued below.
Trump will be the Republican candidate. Get over it
His New Hampshire win makes his nomination inevitable. Prepare for a Trump-Biden rematch
www.telegraph.co.uk