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Predict the Results of the 2024 Presidential Election

JosephZ

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Latest election forecasts.

electorial map.png2.png

electorial map.png

(Source: Election Forecast)
 
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JosephZ

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This isnt' my prediction. It's the "Polling No Tossup" map at 270toWin. It awards the state to whomever is leading in the polls at that time.

View attachment 356588
Only a slight change in the "Polling No Tossup" map from 270toWin since last week. It looks like it may all come down to what happens in Pennsylvania.

270 to win2.jpg
 
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JosephZ

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As polls begin to close, it's 6:25pm at the time of this post, I have no changes to my map from last week. If anything I may be a little conservative. If the polls are off by just a point in the battleground states, VP Harris could end up getting more than 300 electoral votes. The turnout in Philadelphia, PA is at, or near, historical levels already with a little more time to go, so this is good news for her in Pennsylvania. It also appears women have been showing up at the polls in higher numbers across the country which also bodes well for VP Harris.
 
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dogs4thewin

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As polls begin to close, it's 6:25pm at the time of this post, I have no changes to my map from last week. If anything I may be a little conservative. If the polls are off by just a point in the battleground states, VP Harris could end up getting more than 300 electoral votes. The turnout in Philadelphia, PA is at, or near, historical levels already with a little more time to go, so this is good news for her in Pennsylvania. It also appears women have been showing up at the polls in higher numbers across the country which also bodes well for VP Harris.
Well came out with 226 Harris 312 for Trump.
 
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JosephZ

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Well came out with 226 Harris 312 for Trump.
Yeah, I was wrong. The polls turned out to be a point or two off in Trump's favor. It was a well ran election and Trump won fair and square.
 
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