...on a side note though what if this chic loses weight and you see her again in about 4 years and she's just totally smokin hot..
Coach, why not just be honest? It's never right to lie, for whatever reason. Or just say that you don't particularly like being set up with women you don't know well.
Then again, that may lead her to believe you are interested, so just be honest.
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Although the question is, how would you feel 6 months down the line when we resemble a beach ball?