I think its more than that. You paint a very simplistic picture. Its not just about a mutation making a little change. Some changes require several mutations happening together as one part of what is needed is useless without certain other parts.
Can you give some examples?
Its like having only part of a mouse trap. Without the spring or hinge or both its useless. But also mutations are a mistake in the copying process of something that was OK to begin with.
I read Behe's book. He never considered that mutations may change more complex structures and processes to simpler ones.
Beneficial mutations are very rare and even still can have some fitness lose in the long run.
Harmful mutations are quickly eliminated from the gene pool. Thus only neutral or beneficial mutations are propagated. That is probably why 99% of all species known from the geologic record are extinct. And a mutation that is beneficial in one environment may be harmful in another.
So its hard to believe that an error can produce such magnificent complexity and improvements in living things.
Once more we encounter the argument from incredulity advanced by someone who doesn't really understand evolution.
In some cases there are many parts that need to be formed together for things to work and a random chance process cannot know whats needed nor get it right by a fluke.
Gives some examples of cases where many parts need to be formed together.
A rare beneficial mutation cannot build a bit of something waiting for another beneficial mutation to keep building it bit by bit.
Evolution doesn't have to wait. If an organism is not competitive, it is selected out. If a species does not have the adaptive variability to survive, it goes extinct.
If so there wouldn't be enough time in the existence of the earth to create the complexity involved in living things.
Life has been around for about three and a half billion years. If you were to count to three and a half billion, incrementing by one ever second it would take you about 1110 years.
Also as pshun2404 said I think it was and as I have read before some things are formed a certain way and cannot evolve by chance.
I read that Harry Potter was a horcrux. I don't believe everything I read. And it has been repeatedly pointed out in these forums that, statistically at least, natural selection is not chance.
Tests have been done to show that chance cannot form certain things.
Which tests were those? Where and when were they done? Who did them and where are they reported?
Things like our genetic code which is a code for life and a language that has hidden codes within codes made up of millions of letters all in their right place. Just like living things have systems with systems with many components all in their right place.
Ask some one with Down's Syndrome if all their genes are in the right place, or someone with hemophilia or cystic fibrosis.
I read something about our genetics and someone was comparing it to a massive cupboard like one of those telephone exchanges with bundles of wires everywhere. Thousands of wires all going to the right place to connect things together. The scientists said they had only started to understand things in one small corner of the cupboard.
There is much that we don't know. That is true. And there are stupid, ignorant, deluded and perverse people who deny even what we do know.
We are only beginning to find out the vast amount of complexity in our DNA which scientists said was junk.
Well we have mapped a human genome and a chimp genome, and the genomes of other species are being mapped. And some of it, does not code for protein nor does it perform any other observed function. Moreover some of it can be changed without any observable effect on the organism.
Well its not junk and it probably is way more useful and complicated than they ever thought.
Some of it is junk. If you can demonstrate none of it is, you will find a publisher, and can plan your junket to pick up your Nobel Prize.
The more complex it gets the harder it is to explain it all was self created by some random chance naturalistic process.
Complexity is almost always harder to explain than simplicity. Sometimes it can take years of study and thought just to understand. I suspect that you have not spent the time or made the effort.
There is way more design to anything that humans have ever made so how can it not have some design to it.
How do you determine what is designed?
To just add time to it so that it gives it some sort of magical ingredient is illogical.
That is a straw man. It is religion that invokes magic, mysteries and miracles. Science is knowledge without certainty. Religion is certainty without knowledge.
Its like saying that there was an explosion in a print factory and it wrote the entire library of books in the national library which is impossible.
And who but a religious person would say that? Who but religious persons invoke impossibilities?
But when we add time that is suppose to solve this. But its still impossible no matter how much time you add to it.
Time is not something that you add to a process, like adding sugar to your coffee. Time is about the rate of change of a process compared to the rate of change of another process.
Quite frankly, I didn't even understand the abstract. Still:
abstract said:
... this implies the overall prevalence of sequences performing a specific function by any domain-sized fold may be as low as 1 in 10^77, adding to the body of evidence that functional folds require highly extraordinary sequences.
10^77 (written out as 100, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000, 000). chance of success is not a very good. In fact its impossible.
The universe is full of phenomena far more improbable than that, and such wildly improbable phenomena are nevertheless obviously not impossible, because we actually observe them. Reality is full of mind-boggling numbers and probabilities, but just because your mind is boggled, it does not mean that they are impossible.
The Limits of Complex Adaptation: An Analysis Based on a Simple Model of Structured Bacterial Populations
http://bio-complexity.org/ojs/index.php/main/article/view/BIO-C.2010.4
What Axe seems to be arguing in this paper is that the scenario you posited earlier, of adaptations that required multiple simultaneous mutations is not feasible. Of course I only read the abstract, and I may have misinterpreted. Perhaps you can point out my error?
The Types: A Persistent Structuralist Challenge to Darwinian Pan-Selectionism
http://bio-complexity.org/ojs/index.php/main/article/view/BIO-C.2013.3
Pan-selectionism is the hypothesis that only natural selection, with possibly isolated exceptions is involved in evolution. Other mechanisms have been proposed and there is some argument among scientists as to the existence or importance of such mechanisms. Google "pan-selectionism" for more information.
Please note that none of the three articles you cited, none, are proposing that evolution does not happen. Such a conclusion would have been prominently mentioned.
