Sure, probabilities. When have I said otherwise? When have I ever tried to claim you could prove a Creator with the five senses?
What exactly do you mean by "natural method"? Remember, the Cosmological Argument is saying that the best explanation of the cause is God (based on the Teleological Argument). It's not ruling out all other possibilities.
No, I didn't. Look at the premises again:
1) Everything that begins to exist has a cause
2) The universe began to exist
3) The universe had a cause
4) The best explanation of that cause is God
Now #2 can be conclusively proven true because we know that time began to exist. I pointed this out in an earlier post. You challenged #1, but the overwhelming majority of evidence is on my side nonetheless. #3 and #4, then, is really where your challenge lies.
As far as your statement "what would any object being 'caused' have to do with another object being caused," the answer is simple: if we detect a pattern whereby all (or nearly all) objects that begin to exist are "caused," then it follows that other objects are going to follow this pattern. Hence, we arrive at premise #3.
We're back where we started. The overwhelming majority (aka, everything else) in the universe has a cause. So again, the overwhelming probability is on my side.
I don't agree with you on this. Don't you agree that the things within the universe are a part of the universe?
So we'll have to disagree on whether or not the universe is subject to time. I would ask why you think that it isn't.
Very well, then: please tell me how we're supposed to explain a concept like "outside of time" which we've never experienced?
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Sure, probabilities. When have I said otherwise? When have I ever tried to claim you could prove a Creator with the five senses?"
You haven't that I've seen. It's just an interesting claim since you cannot determine the "probability" of something "being caused to exist." You haven't even tried.
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What exactly do you mean by "natural method"? Remember, the Cosmological Argument is saying that the best explanation of the cause is God (based on the Teleological Argument). It's not ruling out all other possibilities."
For the purposes of this discussion I'd say that a method of creating that doesn't involve an intelligent creator or the supernatural (by which I mean things like magic or miracles). I didn't realize your argument assumes that the Teleological argument is correct. Had you explained that at the start, I would've asked you to prove the Teleological argument first...since that's going to be logically necessary.
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Now #2 can be conclusively proven true because we know that time began to exist. I pointed this out in an earlier post. You challenged #1, but the overwhelming majority of evidence is on my side nonetheless. #3 and #4, then, is really where your challenge lies.
Unless you posted a bunch of evidence before I joined the thread, you haven't provided
any evidence for premise 1. In fact, I've provided evidence that your first premise is false... and completely illogical. You seem to want to ignore the points I've made, but I'll gladly make them again. Time (as we know it) began to exist, but that doesn't mean it doesn't exist in another way before the big bang. Indeed, time may exist outside the universe in a manner unknown to us. Likewise, the universe (as we know it) began to exist...but like time, it's entirely possible it existed in another way before the big bang. We simply don't know.
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As far as your statement "what would any object being 'caused' have to do with another object being caused," the answer is simple: if we detect a pattern whereby all (or nearly all) objects that begin to exist are "caused," then it follows that other objects are going to follow this pattern. "
Ok. At first I just suspected that you didn't understand how probability works...now I
know you don't understand how probability works. Here's a brief explanation, yet simple enough for a 3rd grade school child...
Suppose I have a six-sided die...what is the probability that I can roll a 3? Pretty easy right? 1/6. How did I get that number? I took the total number of possible outcomes (6) and divided it by the number of events taking place (1 roll of the die). This is the basic method for determining probability. Simple, right?
Now imagine that I had 100 dice...and after rolling 99 of them, they all came up the number 5. What is the probability that I will roll a 5 with the very last die? Did you think it was 99%? Well it's not...it's still just 1/6. The other dice have no effect on the outcome of any of the other dice.
Your explanation for how you're determining probability of the universe being caused is kind of like the second example. You think that since all these other things in the universe are caused, it provides evidence that the universe itself is caused.... it doesn't. In fact, not only does it not provide evidence...but that kind of reasoning is a logical fallacy (as my good friend Arch pointed out). Take a look at this....
Fallacy of composition - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
This occurs when you think one of the properties of a part of something applies to the whole of something. I've tried explaining it to you, but your answer so far has been "I disagree". You disagree with what? Basic logic?
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Very well, then: please tell me how we're supposed to explain a concept like "outside of time" which we've never experienced?
I don't know what you're asking me here. It's a made-up meaningless concept. You want me to tell you how we should be able to explain someone's made-up meaningless concept?
I tend to let the person who made it up explain it. If they cannot, I dismiss it...as it's not worthy of my (or yours for that matter) consideration.