It seemed the most accurate way of describing the situation. (I can't really help if that accuracy makes you uncomfortable.)
I accept it doesn't alter what you said and that statement remains mistaken.
I'm not entirely clear that we're talking about the same thing yet .. so please take this as being a genuine clarification question and not some deliberate attempt of trying shift anything.
Can you show me the objective evidence
'that human life may exist elsewhere', (meaning human life
not originating from Earth), is anything
other than an assumption taken as being true, (a belief or opinion), prior to its actually being testing out?
The point I'm making here is that 'human life' is only underwritten by objective evidence in the specific case of earth's biome (including its evolution over earth's geophysical/geochemical history).
Is this what you believe as being mistaken?
Ophiolite said:
Strawman. The objective reality portrayed by the speculations is the probability of alien life. The probabilities are an objective reality, the alien life is not.
i) Even a likely outcome is never a sure thing. The
meaning of
'alien life' however, depends on it being one.
ii) How can an objective reality be portrayed by a speculation, when a speculation is defined as having no (verified) objective evidence? Science's method defines objective reality .. and that process calls for test results. There is a contradiction here.
iii) Also, you said:
Ophiolite said:
The speculations do not assert that alien life exists, they assess the probability that such is the case. Since these speculations (the serious ones) are based upon a multiplicity of observations and well founded theories they do not qualify as opinions,
None of the 'well founded theories' you refer to, have tested out beyond the Earth context. They are thus treatable as
beliefs (under test) when it comes to a beyond earth context where a belief is defined as:
'A belief is any notion held as being true for any reason'.
There is therefore no:
'such is the case'.
Ophiolite said:
I don't hold with the notion of belief, except in a loose, colloquial sense. I don't believe anything, but I accept a great deal. I accept things that are well established through observation. It's possible that the sun will not rise tomorrow, but I find it pragmatic to work on the basis that it probably will.
So do I .. however, the case of the notion of alien life existing has no objective support, whereas the sun rising does (abundant, observational).
I can remove any lack of clarity in my meaning of belief here by defining it as:
'A belief is any notion held as being true for any reason'.
Ophiolite said:
These were the observations outwith the biosphere that are relevant to the speculations. You had claimed no such information was available. (You don't like the phrase "mistaken impression", so substitute your own.)
Other information relevant to the calculations comes from organic chemistry, biochemistry, geochemistry, microbiology, genetics, etc. - all comfortably within our biosphere.
i) What 'calculations' might those be? I am unaware of any calculations leading us to conclude that alien life is probably out there. (We are dealing with an hypothesis under test here .. not some empirical physical theory which makes empirical predictions, no?)
ii) The 'relevancy' of the observations you presented is, at best, solely dependent upon inference
reasoning, (note: a logic based thinking process is invoked here .. and
not the scientific method), since they produce no objective outcome directly related to a beyond earth context. Logic based reasoning posits the
existence of some
truth value .. otherwise true/false gets trashed .. along with the entirety of math axioms, as well as the philosophical logic relied upon for this reasoning.
There is no alternative in the logic based reasoning you invoke here
other than
'alien life exists is true' and thus, the above definition of
'A belief is any notion held as being true for any reason', defines it as also being
a belief.
Ophiolite said:
Improbability is implicit in probability.
Uncertainty is implicit in the data underpinning probabilities (eg: distributions) .. We have only have one data point .. and no data on any hypothetical parent population proposed throughout the universe.
Ophiolite said:
Fine. Produce a citation of a research paper in a reputable, peer reviewed journal that evidently argues from the premise that alien life exists.
Before proceeding, whatever do you mean by the term
'alien life'? Do you mean 'earth-life' inferred as existing some place other than Earth?
Please also note that I did say (please note emboldenment/underline):
'(is all I'm really saying here .. and, IMO)'
Ophiolite said:
You haven't revealed it thus far.
.. and you haven't produced a distinction which would permit us to accept that you have objective evidence which separates that 'alien life' exists in the first place from the belief that the term itself carries any tested meaning other than earth-life
only. See, every term in science (including its hypotheses) carries an operational meaning .. meaning that it has already been tested in its applicable specified context .. So where is this, in the case of the term
'alien life'?
I'm happy with going forward with the term carrying a
believed meaning .. so long as we all remember that exception ..
Ophiolite said:
If you can meet my prior challenge then you may have succeeded.
I await your clarification of an operationally acceptable meaning which distinguishes 'alien life' from 'earth life' .. after all, earth's life has a huge objective data basis
sourced from earth .. whereas 'alien life' has
zip .. (unless we hold it as being a belief that alien life exists, of course).
Ophiolite said:
You are the one who keeps going on about truth. I don't think science has much to do with truth (unless we are talking formal logic). Perhaps you could explain why you think it does.
I don't mind stepping up to discussing what I mean by 'truth'. Truth in science is never anything more than the last best tested theory (meaning its measured results). They are held as being 'true' simply because they've already tested out.
General philosophically held truths however are usually untestable .. and they are indistinguisable from a belief, where a belief can be defined as:
'A belief is any notion held as being true for any reason'.
Ophiolite said:
you have started talking about predictions, when I am talking about probabilities.
So .. is there a problem in doing this, when the real problem is that you offer probabilities as being
'an objective reality'? (I thought I was being reasonable in conceding that the overall hypothesis is testable and that is may even make some kind of probablistic predictions).
If probabilities are taken as being an objective reality, then there should be a test I can do which already verifies the probabilities .. yet there are no such results produced from such a test.
Ophiolite said:
The objective reality portrayed by the speculations is the probability of alien life. The probabilities are an objective reality, the alien life is not.
Then the probabilities mean nothing more than a belief does.
Ophiolite said:
I probably have it wrong, but you are coming across as wanting to argue with a mindset you think exists (and perhaps it does), but it has nothing to do with the scenario I have been discussing.
The basis of your argument is not a scientific one .. and the only alternative, until proper contextual objective evidence is produced, is that it is a belief .. which is no different from all the others except that it has been turned into a testable hypothesis (the latter however, doesn't mean that its not still a belief).
Ophiolite said:
You are talking about truth, and belief and predictions, none of which are part of my lexicon on this subject. You claim there is no relevant data on the topic outside the biosphere, then complain that my list isn't comprehensive. My position is simple: sound speculations about alien life are based upon evidence. Characterising them as being based upon opinions is false and that is demonstrable. I believe (colloquially) I have demonstrated it.
You have not demonstrated this ... and what I have said is that the basis of what we mean by 'alien life' is an untested belief.
My position is a scientific one and is consistent.
Cheers & Regards