1% Chance of the End of the World

[essentialsaltes]

Swing and a miss.

"The NASA JPL Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) now lists the 2024 YR4 impact probability as 0.00005 (0.005%) or 1-in-20,000 for its passage by Earth in 2032," Richard Binzel, Professor of Planetary Science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and creator of the Torino scale exclusively told Space.com.

 

[Desk trauma]

Swing and a miss.

"The NASA JPL Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) now lists the 2024 YR4 impact probability as 0.00005 (0.005%) or 1-in-20,000 for its passage by Earth in 2032," Richard Binzel, Professor of Planetary Science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and creator of the Torino scale exclusively told Space.com.

Drat intensifies.

 

[BeyondET]

What could happen if it hits, and should we worry?​

An asteroid measuring as wide as 295 feet is possibly headed right toward Earth, but don’t run for cover just yet.

During the 1908 Tunguska event in Siberia, the impact of a 213-foot meteor lofted debris, creating bright nights for several days over Europe and Asia, from Siberia to the Atlantic Ocean, according to the USGS.

Another notable event involved the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor, which was 66 feet in diameter. Chelyabinsk caused minimal damage to the area where it crash-landed, but its entry created an air burst.

In the unlikely event that the asteroid’s trajectory is toward Earth, its destination would be somewhere along a “risk corridor” that extends across the eastern Pacific Ocean, northern South America, the Atlantic Ocean, the Arabian Sea and South Asia.

The hoba meteorite is the largest that has been discovered.

Meteors are way smaller than a asteroids.

The 1908 event never impacted the earth, it was a explosion of a suspected 120ft object above the ground.

Creating bright nights for several days. How did it accomplish that by reimpacting?

 

[eclipsenow]

The world ends at the end of the 1,000 year Kingdom Age when there will be a new Heaven and a New Earth.

Many people who follow Abrahamic religions (Christianity, Judaism, Islam) believe in the creation story where God created Adam and Eve in the Garden of Eden. For some, this is considered the beginning of human history.

Please no! This level of dispensationalism and ripping the OT out of the context of the NT is bad enough over in the eschatology forums. Not here - please! This is about science.

 

[eclipsenow]

The hoba meteorite is the largest that has been discovered.
View attachment 361687

Meteors are way smaller than a asteroids.

The 1908 event never impacted the earth, it was a explosion of a suspected 120ft object above the ground.

Creating bright nights for several days. How did it accomplish that by reimpacting?

What a cool shot! Thanks for that - I've never seen it.

This crater in outback Australia is just big enough for the human brain to comprehend - 'Wow - that was big'! But when you get into the dinosaur killer it's so big that even sentences that try to describe the impact driving up crater walls as high as the Himalaya's in 60 seconds just numb the mind. When I first read that, I was like a little kid learning that a H-bomb can destroy a whole city. Watery eyes... "OK...."

 

[essentialsaltes]

3.8% chance of the End of the Moon.

NASA Update on the Size Estimate and Lunar Impact Probability of Asteroid 2024 YR4 ​

Experts at NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies at the agency’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory have updated 2024 YR4’s chance of impacting the Moon on Dec. 22, 2032 from 1.7% as of late February to 3.8% based on the Webb data and observations from ground-based telescopes.

 

[Desk trauma]

3.8% chance of the End of the Moon.

NASA Update on the Size Estimate and Lunar Impact Probability of Asteroid 2024 YR4​

Experts at NASA’s Center for Near Earth Object Studies at the agency’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory have updated 2024 YR4’s chance of impacting the Moon on Dec. 22, 2032 from 1.7% as of late February to 3.8% based on the Webb data and observations from ground-based telescopes.

Seveneves here we come.

 

[eclipsenow]

I remember those Shoemaker Levee 9 (spelling) from years ago shooting at Jupiter and some dry British gentleman asking what all the fuss was about. "It's like watching a few baked beans hitting an elephant." It sort of needed the whole thing for me.