OK, that's five and 1/2 years away. I'll wait.
Yes - but will you admit you misquoted the original source material - and were unfair to Al Gore -let alone the state of the climate science?
Will you admit the shape of the overall trend in Arctic Sea ice as observed by NASA and other 'sciencey' organisations?
Will you admit that the first HEAD of the IPCC was a Christian? That there are many Christians in climate science that would not participate in the whole thing if it were a scam? They're church going committed Christians - some married to pastors - that are always talking about Jesus. Do you even know who I'm talking about? Are you aware how much you are
slandering your brothers and sisters in Christ?
Or how about a sex change operation or medication against government released viruses that has not been fully tested? Wow, science sure has advanced. I'm certainly not going to accept a pager if given to me.
Ok - I see what's happening here. My bad. I should not have engaged.
I would like to say that I'm not closed minded about the issue despite being a "science denier".
Really? How so - other than openly stating you don't believe a single thing any climate scientist has ever said, ever? What about the mythbusters? What about running one of these tests yourself? Or asking someone you know in physics if the basic physics of CO2 and methane etc all checks out?
The raw physics of CO2 and methane and how much heat they trap is old science, and not controversial. It’s something you could find in an ancient, yellowed, out of print physics textbook from 100 years ago. Do a little maths - and the CO2 is trapping 4 Hiroshima bombs worth of heat EVERY SECOND. Dramatic much? Well - spread out across the entire planet it’s like a few Christmas lights for every square meter of the earth.
BUT THERE ARE TRICKY BITS: What is harder is accounting for where all this extra heat goes? 90% goes into the oceans – then where? What effect? Well - the oceans are tricky to model - and recent data from ships dropping plumb-line thermometers does not match where the models said the heat should be. In some areas it matches, in other areas there’s some surprises. But the fact that this extra heat IS in the ocean is not really disputable.
NEXT TRICKY BIT: PALEOCLIMATE. To find out how sensitive the climate is - that is - when different systems might tip over - we measure different ‘proxies’ from the deep past. The earth’s average temperature leaves markers on biology and chemistry from the past. There are some disputes - but peer-review is generally agreed that we are in trouble and needed to act 20 year ago! Buckle up! At 40 GT a year, and only 200 GT before 1.5 - we're GOING over 1.5! Johan Rockström said so.
EFFECTS: The glaciers are melting, ice caps retreating, seasons arriving earlier, catepillars hatching before the leaves they eat are out, flow on effects up the food chain, and record planetary temperatures that KEEP being broken. The atmosphere is ‘wetter’, weather systems are moving, and we’re seeing climate zone shifting. Farmable land slowly becoming desert. A world with increasing famines and floods.
But NAAAH - there’s no evidence of climate change! (Nudge nudge wink wink).
But I choose not to accept these results because I simply don't believe there is enough statistical evidence to support the claims being made.
Sure - but you're not a climate denier! ;-)
All of a sudden you have a bunch of people running around saying the sky is falling,
No
polar ice caps are melting,
They are
coast lands are flooding,
In some places - they have. But this isn't the most serious effect. Food is. Wet bulb temperatures are. And the impacts here haven't REALLY hit yet! 10 years? 20 years? It's coming soon! Forget sea level rise - food and killer heatwaves. You'll see.
etc. Let's just throw money at the problem and that will solve it.
YES - renewables took an enormous amount of subsidies to get production up.
NEWSFLASH: Many industries and technologies require government help to get started. Who built the interstate highway system? Who pioneered the Space Race to the point where today a tech millionaire could start his own company so cheaply, so he could build reusable rockets that brought the price down even more? Who put a TRILLION dollars into the American internet to really get modern commerce going in America?
Governments can stimulate things until the private sector reaches economies of scale - then the private sector sometimes just takes over. This already happened. German subsidies decades ago led China to take wind and solar seriously - and now solar and wind are the cheapest power in history - even including the costs of storage!
Years ago I was not convinced that an intermittent power source like wind and solar could EVER run the world. It was about the cost to Overbuild them for all that bad weather and bad seasons!
But Tony Seba is an expert in how industries scale up to bring costs down. In 2014 he modelled the ‘learning rates’ of renewables and EV’s and batteries - and pretty much guessed today’s prices! Spot on! He (and many others) says they’re STILL on a downward costs curve.
Professor Andrew Blakers - winner of the Queen Elizabeth prize for engineering (like a Nobel peace prize for Engineers) says the "LCOE from a 100% renewable Australian electricity system is US$70/MWh (2017 prices).”
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544217309568
Basically - that’s cheaper than coal. Without coal’s $5 TRILLION global health cost. AND he estimates solar will be HALF the cost it is today by 2030. There are revolutions in Perovskites coming that will harness even more sunlight per area. Today’s solar grabs about 22% of the incoming sunlight - future Perovskites could hit 30% even up to 40% - which we used to think was impossible with just silicon. EV’s will soon be cheaper than oil cars to buy outright - AND they don’t need servicing. I have enough solar on my roof to run my house and charge 2 EV’s! I’ll only pay to charge when travelling - 95% of my fuel will be FREE!
Apart from some crazy Trump-led war or something, this thing is now unstoppable. The market has tasted cheap renewables - and it LIKES IT! The IEA says demand for ALL fossil fuels, worldwide, will peak by 2030. Then it will finally begin to decline as old coal plants are retired!
Forty years ago we were told we needed to get rid of paper bags because they were bad for the environment.
Never heard of that one. Is that like when 'they' said there would be no north pole by 2013?
Plastic bags were going to solve our problem. Forty years later we now have a plastic bag problem. So what is going to happen when we scrap all these solar cells, lithium batteries, and windmill blades?
Recycling solar panelsSometimes legislation is required to create new industriesBut even without legislation, it’s starting. Texas company recycles from $15 to 18Australian research could mak…
eclipsenow.wordpress.com
Well, you're not going to reduce CO2 emissions unless EVERYONE on this planet participates. When that happens let me know.
Um, the market is now leading this. I thought you would rejoice that Putin and the Middle East petro-dictators days are numbered? Who are they going to sell their product to when we're all driving EV's.?
ONE: Renewables are growing faster than the IPCC Paris goals. The market has finally realised they are 1/4 the cost of nuclear (Lazard 2023). Sure - there are still some new fossil fuels. The world is starving for energy. Only 17% of us live in developed nations. In fact - I’m amazed that only 50 GW of new coal was built last year! But compare that to solar - where 7 TIMES that was build - 350 GW! Wind was 110 GW. Solar now doubles every 3 years! “If this growth rate continues, there will be more solar installed in 2031 than all other electricity generation technologies put together.”
The fastest energy change in history still underway
Don’t panic about that new coal - it was only a 1.4% growth. But so many old coal plants are on the verge of closing the moment the renewable capacity arrives that:-
”However, the report expects global coal demand to fall by 2.3% by 2026 compared with 2023 levels, even in the absence of governments announcing and implementing stronger clean energy and climate policies. This decline is set to be driven by the major expansion of renewable energy capacity coming online in the three years to 2026.”
Global coal demand expected to decline in coming years - News - IEA
Paris wanted 615 GW solar annually by 2030 - but that could happen in the next year or so and it's still doubling. This article wonders if we're going to see 3 TERAWATTS annually by 2030!
All I want for Christmas is one terawatt of solar deployed annually
TWO: EV’s are rising so fast the IEA predicts oil demand will peak 2029.
https://www.reuters.com/business/en...-major-supply-glut-looms-iea-says-2024-06-12/
FOSSIL FUEL demand will peak by 2030 - and then emissions begin to decline.
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/10/iea-energy-peak-fossil-fuel-demand-by-2030
THREE: CRAZY EFFICIENCY! As we Electrify Everything to run on renewables - we will run 95% of what we do today on 40% of the energy in coal, oil and gas. Anyone claiming we need wind and solar to MATCH the THERMAL BTU’s is cooking the books and skewing the story. They’re ignorant of at least HALF of what the Energy Transition is all about!
https://www.sustainabilitybynumbers.com/p/electrification-energy-efficiency
(That last 5% is the airline industry. We can do carbon neutral airlines - I’m just not convinced we can do them cheaply. Big deal - we’ll have to Zoom call more and maybe really value overseas trips - and not take them for granted like the entitled little first-world ‘consumers’ we are today.)
Meanwhile, all of China's CO2 is just going to blow over to the US.
Meanwhile, you've lost the lead on the next big thing. China's won. They're building all this - and you guys missed out!
I believe the money could be better well spent in feeding people who are starving, creating new medicine, and raising the quality of life, instead of all this waste of resources on climate studies.
It's not either or. That's like saying "instead of all this waste of resources on the military!"
Oh- and you didn't get the memo?
If you want more money for medicine - how about we PREVENT $5 TRILLION in
extra health costs due to burning fossil fuels?
Or do you just love Putin and Iran, and want to see them make as much money as possible to fund - whatever.