- Aug 3, 2012
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you literally made the claim:
"Trump's tax law changes brought in less money to the IRS"
and I showed you with official statistics that it was incorrect
less money was not brought into the IRS. And revenue was not "flat" --it went from 3.27 trillion to 3.46 trillion in 2019, before back peddling a bit during the pandemic, after the whole economy was shut down.
Deficits do not double because of tax cuts alone --they are primarily a consequence of federal spending. Federal outlays exploded under Trump, primarily due to Pandemic stimulus and programs, and continued to rise dramatically under Biden, especially in his first year. Spending has decreased a bit in the last couple of years, but only because we aren't paying people to stay home.
Federal outlays as percentage of GDP under Trump in his first 3 years in office average 20.5% (then exploded because of the pandemic)
Federal outlays as percentage of GDP under Biden have averaged over 24%
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Federal Receipt and Outlay Summary
Receipts, outlays, and surplus or deficit in dollars and as a percent of GDP from 1940 to 2029.www.taxpolicycenter.org
We don't have a revenue problem, we have a serious spending problem, and issues with entitlements. The idea that some tax cuts created all of this is mathematically false, and a fake left-wing talking-point. Biden is spending a lot more money than Trump
Now do we need to raise more tax revenue? Absolutely. We can hike income taxes, adjust capital gains for high earners, remove some tax breaks, etc. --but unless we get spending under control, ALL the new revenue will be spent.
Your own page shows that federal receipts dropped from 17.1% of GDP in FY2017 (the fiscal year in which Trump took office) to 16.3% of GDP in FY2018 (the first year in which the Trump tax cuts went into effect).
That chart is flat because federal spending (outlays) exploded under Trump and Biden, not because of tax cuts
No.
First, the chart to which I linked showed receipts, not deficits. RECEIPTS as a percentage of GDP were flat. If outlays had exploded as you claimed, then they should've caused receipts to go up somewhat, too, because absent any corresponding tax cuts, spending would've triggered more economic activity, which would've triggered more taxes.
Second, you've got your timing wrong. Receipts as a percentage of GDP were flat FY18-FY20. Outlays didn't spike until FY20.
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