I keep finding myself in total disbelief that these are our 2 choices come November. I am what is called a "double hater." And I don't see a viable third party candidate at least one that has a chance of winning.
We had good primary choices on the Republican side but the voters rejected them, and Joe should not have run for a second term, but here we are so I guess we have to go with it.
At this point it looks like Biden keeps on going as president and candidate and loses to Trump. Most Democrats stick with Biden but a few go third party. Most Republicans stick with Trump, though if polls say Biden support falls more some Republicans might also vote third party. Trump wins. Biden is sunk. Third party votes are not spectacular.
I wish it could be different. I wish partisans could abandon their candidates in droves. I wish there was a groundswell for the American Solidarity Party and that they could edge out the two geriatric parties. But that won't happen. The Dems hate the Republicans too much to 'waste' their votes on a decent candidate. Same for the Republicans who hate the Dems too much to 'waste' their votes on a decent candidate. So they vote their party, more or less all of them. Biden will get more than 40% of the vote, probably at least 45%.
Why do I think Biden goes on? Jill Biden. She ain't no quitter, having basically engaged in elder abuse by keeping Joe in there well past his freshness date. Then if they were going to retire Joe they would have done it by now. July 4 is almost done. I can't see them waiting this long to announce. I don't think it's happening. The narrative will be that Donald Trump is in cognitive decline and Joe just had a bad day. No problem. These aren't the droids you're looking for.
But who would replace him? Mrs. Obama? Probably their best option. Nobody is going to persuade her to take the job if she doesn't want it. No smart Democrat facing now almost certain defeat this year wants to run. Not Whittmer or Newsome or anyone else who are positioning themselves for 2028. And nobody at all seems to want Kamala, not as a candidate, and certainly not as an interim president. She would want it, but I can't see any but the most extreme of the wokist DEI Democrats also on board. So replacing Joe is a problem. Maybe it has to be Kamala, who then loses in November. But that gives her a leg up for 2028 that the wokist DEI Democrats will make sure can be exploited.
Needless to say the Democrats are in disarray. The lie of Biden being 'with it' has now been exposed. The knives are out. They might lose the House AND the Senate in the 2024 election. There will be some small spill into third parties.
I am so not impressed with Trump. Yes, he did appoint some excellent Supreme Court justices. But his abortion position is awful. He's still a vile man. Not someone I want to waste a vote on.
I am going to stick with the American Solidarity Party (ASP) but their failure to launch has been a disappointment. 2024 should have been an excellent year to launch. They don't seem to have any 'fire in the belly' to launch nationally or locally. Maybe they just need you and I to take the lead and make it a thing for 2026 local elections and 2028 nationally.