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It's a general observation that Trump has locked in about 41% of voters, and that's as low as he will go. A new Fox poll has him at 38% to Biden's 50.
https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews....-16-2020_National_Topline_June-18-Release.pdf
https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews....-16-2020_National_Topline_June-18-Release.pdf