Read what you wrote here...
Because you argued against counting 9/11...for some nonsense reason about it distorting the results.
The reason 9/11 is excluded is because 98% of all deaths from terrorism on US soil from 1970 to 2017 occurred on that single day. It was also the only time in US history that a terrorist attack caused such a high number of casualties. To give some perspective on how rare the attack on 9/11 was, there were only 17 attacks in the entire world between 1970 and 2017 that claimed more than 300 lives, and none of those were even close to having the same death toll.
9/11 was a Black Swan event, an outlier. An outlier is an observation that lies an abnormal distance from other values in a random sample from a population. You don't include an abnormal occurrence in a data set to determine risk because you already know that it doesn't reflect what is normally expected.
Let's say you lived in a town that averaged 9 murders a year over a 50 year period. The demographics of that town are 45% White, 45% Black, and 10% Hispanic.
Murders in that town have historically been divided equally among the demographic make up of the community. On average there were roughly 4 murders committed by Whites each year, 4 by Blacks, and 1 by Hispanics.
One day a Hispanic man walked into a restaurant randomly shooting at people and setting it on fire killing 250 people. Would that town be any more dangerous to live in than it was prior to this murderous rampage? Would that one event now make Hispanic population more dangerous than that of other races in the town?
If you wanted to find a true and accurate risk of being murdered in that town by Hispanics, would it be fair to include the events of that day to make that determination since it was an extremely rare and unusual event rather than the more common but less spectacular ones that have taken place over the past 50 years? Of course not because outlier events don't necessarily reflect what is generally true, therefore, they aren't very useful in making such determinations.
If you want to create a report on the threats from right-wing and Islamic extremism, then you would want to base your report on what is generally true of extremists. This is exactly why you see study after study excluding the events of 9/11 to make a comparison between right-wing terrorism and Islamic terrorism because the events of that day went above and beyond what is generally true about extremist attacks in the US. Now if someone has an anti-Islamic bias, then they would include the events of 9/11 to make the threat from Islamic extremist appear to be much worse than it actually is.
Yet, here you are arguing that we should consider failed and foiled plots that never happened to get an accurate understanding of the threat lol. And you have the nerve to sit there and call the experts biased.
How exactly is that showing a bias? Failed and foiled plots occur in both groups.
What experts? College students?
Here is some information on START from their website.
The National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism—better known as START—is a university-based research and education center comprised of an international network of scholars committed to the scientific study of the causes and human consequences of terrorism in the United States and around the world. START experts apply a range of research methods to the exploration of these questions in order to deliver findings based on the best available open-source evidence and data. At the heart of START's work are the principles that the research it is conducting must be both scientifically rigorous and directly relevant to homeland security professionals.
START is committed to the widespread dissemination of its research findings not only to homeland security professionals through tailored research, education and training efforts, but also to students of all levels and to the general public. START has developed educational materials and programs specifically designed for instructors and students at the secondary, university, and graduate levels. Educational resources available through START include relevant teaching tools and a range of unique data sources that can be integrated into an array of courses to deepen students' understanding of the dynamics of terrorism. START also has internships and funding opportunities available to undergraduate and graduate students engaged in terrorism research.
In addition, START has developed educational programs, including an Undergraduate Global Terrorism Minor Program available to students at the University of Maryland and an online Graduate Certificate in Terrorism Analysis Program, available to qualified students around the world.
Since its launch in 2005, START has been headed by Dr. Gary LaFree, a professor of criminology at the University of Maryland, and START's work is managed by a small staff of terrorism experts and university administrators at Maryland, who work closely with the collection of scholars and students that comprise the START Consortium.
Who makes the decisions about what to include as an incident?
The basic criteria were formulated by the GTD Advisory Board, and were reflected in the data collection process. In practice, individual data collectors decide whether a case they are working on fulfills these criteria, and this decision is reviewed by GTD supervisory staff. In cases where determination is difficult, the decision is made by the senior GTD management. If uncertainty persists, exceptionally difficult cases can be referred to the GTD Advisory Board for discussion and adjudication.
START.umd.edu |
There are no college students making up the supervisory staff or the advisory board. It's the experts who decide which incidents finally make it into the Global Terrorism Database.
If START was not reliable, do you think the US State Department would use them in comprising their annual Country Reports on Terrorism?
From the State Department's website:
Title 22, Section 2656f of the United States Code requires the Department of State to include in its annual report on terrorism "to the extent practicable, complete statistical information on the number of individuals, including United States citizens and dual nationals, killed, injured, or kidnapped by each terrorist group during the preceding calendar year." The definition found in Title 22 of the U.S. Code provides that terrorism is “premeditated, politically motivated violence perpetrated against noncombatant targets by subnational groups or clandestine agents.”
Beginning in June 2012, the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START) contracted with the U.S. Department of State to collect a Statistical Annex dataset and provide a report to include in the State Department’s annual Country Reports on Terrorism. Since 2001, START has maintained the Global Terrorism Database (GTD), an unclassified event database compiled from information in open-source reports of terrorist attacks. The first version of the GTD was released in 2006 and included information on worldwide terrorism from 1970 to 1997. START routinely updates and improves the accuracy of the data.
The GTD research staff continually evaluates and enhances the methodology to promote comprehensive, accurate, and systematic data collection. In particular, in 2012 START developed data collection tools that expand the number of sources available for analysis and automate the selection of potentially relevant articles from which GTD staff identify unique attacks and record their specific details.
Country Reports on Terrorism 2017 National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism: Annex of Statistical Information
Does Charlottesville horror make the case for a U.S. domestic terrorism law?
So no counter terrorism agency then.
The Department of Homeland Security is one big counter terrorism agency. There is a lot more to counter terrorism than arresting terrorists.
Here is a flow chart of the departments found in the DHS. Within these departments, there are even more sub-departments.
The Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction Office, Office of Intelligence and Analysis, Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, ICE, USCIS, US Coast Guard, Secret Service, and TSA all have counter terrorism divisions.
The link below is an older report, but it discusses some of the counter terrorism capabilities of the DHS.
https://fas.org/irp/congress/2007_hr/091007chertoff.pdf
That's what those agencies do.
Yes, that's what those agencies do, but that doesn't necessarily make the person heading the agency an expert in violent extremism or counter terrorism. The bios of the directors of the FBI and the CIA show that neither have experience in those fields. They hold appointed positions, they didn't move up the ranks because of their experience and expertise to become heads of these agencies.
It would be the same as a plumber with no background in law enforcement or firearms experience running for sheriff in my home county in NC and winning the election. He would go from being a plumber in the county to being the chief law enforcement officer. He's now in charge of a large team of experienced law enforcement officers and a variety of law enforcement departments from investigations, forensics, intelligence, to patrol. He can carry a gun and has the power to arrest people, but being sheriff still doesn't make him an expert in law enforcement, firearms, or any of the other departments he would be overseeing.
Those foiled attacks you mentioned earlier? Did you look at who foiled them? It's not DHS.
Do you not think the DHS had a hand in many of those foiled plots? Counter terrorism involves a consorted effort of many government and non-government agencies and individuals.
Woman behind 'incel' says angry men hijacked her word 'as a weapon of war'
Only in your imagination.
I guess it's also in the imagination of the experts who decide to include incidents involving Incels as right-wing attacks and law makers in Canada who decided to Include misogyny/Incels in the definition of right-wing extremists.
I did...I couldn't find any ideology.
Neither could you.
You can Google Incel and a Wikipedia article should be at the top. That would be a good place to start as there are several sources cited.
Ideology
Many incel communities are characterized by resentment, self-pity,[10] misogyny, misanthropy, narcissism, and racism.[1][8][10][12][37][25][26][36][41]... Many incels justify their prejudices using interpretations taken from concepts such as biological determinism and evolutionary psychology.[51][52] Other concepts that incels may believe in include female hypergamy.... Incel communities are a part of the broader manosphere.[2][61][62] According to The New York Times, involuntary celibacy is an adaptation of the idea of "male supremacy".[63] The Southern Poverty Law Center described the subculture as "part of the online male supremacist ecosystem", which they began including in their list of hate groups in 2018.[16] The New York Times wrote that "the group has evolved into a male supremacist movement made up of people—some celibate, some not—who believe that women should be treated as sexual objects with few rights".
Incel - Wikipedia
No....those are just racists. That's literally the definition of racist.
Yes it is. Don't you also believe that a person who feels they are superior to another because of their race or a person who discriminates against another person because they are a different race holds an extreme position? It's certainly not normal.
What group is that? Former schoolmates?
Immigrants and Hispanics.
What difference does it make? What kind of sick guessing game are you trying to play?
It wasn't a game, it was to see how or if you would answer the question.