JosephZ
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- Mar 25, 2017
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No, body counts from past attacks don't increase or decrease the risk of an individual becoming a victim of a terrorist attack at any certain time or place in the future. The number of extremists and the number of incidents is the best way to access risk.Yes, it does.
That is quite a hypothetical example right there. Lol... Even if terrorist got a hold of the largest nuclear bomb in the US arsenal and detonated in the heart of New York City, it wouldn't kill nearly that many people. If terrorists were to ever pull off an attack with a nuclear weapon in a major US city, the number killed would most likely be below 10,000. Probably much lower than that especially if it's a city outside of the northeast corridor where the population per square mile in most cities is not as dense.Let's say, hypothetically, that radical muslims got ahold of a small nuke and detonated it in a city...killing 3 million initially and 10 million on the fallout.
And let's not forget that right-wing extremist have shown a desire and are just as capable as Islamic extremists to carry out a mass casualty attack using a nuclear, biological, or chemical weapon.
You're looking at this the wrong way. A group carrying out a million attacks is a far greater threat than one that commits a single attack regardless of the number of casualties.A group pulling a million ineffectual attacks that kill 1000 people is far less dangerous than a group that pulls one effective attack and kills a million.
A single attack would affect one geographic location. A million attacks would be spread out over a much larger area geographically. In fact, that could be broken down to 20,000 attacks in each of the 50 states.
Unless you were sitting in a pew at First Baptist Church in Sutherland Springs, Texas on November 5, 2017, the extremist that opened fire on the congregation that day was not a threat to you. The extremist that carried out the attack is the threat, not the size of the attack. It wouldn't have mattered if he killed one person that day or one hundred.Of course it does. Our concern isn't "will I bump into one of these people on the street?"
Exactly, and another thing to consider is that one of the things that came about as a result of the 9/11 attacks is better intelligence gathering and counter terrorism measures worldwide. Since 9/11, only two attacks in Europe have caused more than 100 deaths and the deadliest attack in the US since then resulted in 50 deaths. The odds of anything on the order of 9/11 by any extremist group on US soil in the future are extremely low. What we will see is the continuation of small scale attacks with extremists using easy to acquire weapons like firearms, knives, vehicles, and explosives.Our concern is "will these people kill me?"
There hasn't been an attack by an Islamic extremist in the US since December 2017 which resulted in no deaths, while there have been multiple attacks and at least 30 deaths caused by right-wing extremists in the past year.
The reason Incels are categorized as right-wing extremists is because misogyny has it's roots in religious fundamentalism and its strict hierarchical view of gender and male supremacy. Homophobia and white supremacy are also closely connected to many Incel groups. The Incel movement is a lot more complex than a group of people upset because they aren't having sex.being a misogynist or racist isn't something exclusive to being "right wing" and as far as I can tell, being an "incel" just means you're upset about not getting any sex. It's not an ideology....certainly not a right wing ideology.
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