You also said the Talibs are neither crazy nor stupid. I find these 2 statements incompatible.
Well, that's your problem, isn't it?
Are they brutal? Certainly. Power-hungry? No doubt. Crazy? No. Stupid? Absolutely not.
Again, I find all this to be indications of stupidity and lunacy.
Well, you're going to have to get over that, and stop thinking of your enemies as caricatures.
And you said their only political goal was to hold Afghanistan.
I never said it was their only goal.
I pointed out they were training people to attack us when we weren't there, and you said of course. None of this is logically consistent. Clearly they have goals beyond merely holding AF, and do we have any reason to think they're content with the borders of AF?
I think they have connections to larger organizations that they're willing to assist -- including AQ, who are NOT content with the borders of Afghanistan.
"Axis of evil," if you please
I prefer not to think in soundbytes -- rots the brain, don't you know.
But we have to deny them nuclear (sorry, nukular) generated electricity
As much as I would like to believe that the Iranian government would ONLY use nuclear material for good, and would never
ever think of doing anything unseemly with it, I just can't see myself trusting their government with it at this time.
And as much as I support a hands-off policy, a certain level of prudence is called for...
So you are in favor of Obama's latest statements, indicating a shift to non-interventionist policy. You are also in favor of learning from our past mistakes. Not only do I agree on both points, but this is the best thing I've ever seen come out of Barry, far and away ...
That's refreshing -- there are plenty of people in this country would would argue with Obama if he said the sky was blue...
I've pointed out weaknesses in it, and the impracticalities that I see.
What you see and what I've been saying have a few key differences, however...
Like I said, this is impractical. First, we already showed them their goal is unobtanium.
No, we haven't --as long as they think attaining their goal is worth the effort, they will keep trying... and they don't have a whole lot to lose from trying.
How long did it take us to get a military "win?" Any sane person would've caved, but not these guys.
Persistence =/= insanity, otherwise we're as crazy as they are.
This indicates they've got nothing to lose, to which you replied I don't understand them.
Because this is the first time that you've realized that we have a lot more to lose than they do... and they know it.
They don't need to beat us; they just need to wear us out.... they know that, too.
I understand the actions of a desperate militia, and you're not going to beat them w/o killing them. This is a stark contrast to the loyalty of Saddam's soldiers.
Saddam's soldiers had a lot more to lose -- which is why they surrendered a lot more readily than these guys.
This is guerrilla warfare, and the rules are a lot different.
How do we arrive at the place where we no longer need to be there? The closest we come to that is modernized warfare such that drones reduce our need for boots on the ground. This is progress, which does not mean I approve of the extent of Barry's reach on this one.
Well, in terms of our needing to be there, drones don't help -- they do minimize US casualties, which is always a good thing, but it's our political and cultural presence that they object to.
In terms of the psychology of warfare, the drones do send a useful message to our enemies -- "We can hurt you, but you can't hurt us." The Viet Cong sent that message loud and clear with their extensive use of boobytraps; nothing more frustrating that having your buddy's leg blown off right in front of you, and knowing there's nobody there to shoot at in retaliation.
But those drones are expensive, and the cost doesn't justify the message.
So neither of your (finally) stated strategies is tenable.
Only if I accept your premises -- but they haven't gotten the message that their cause is futile, simply because (as you're finally starting to see) they have nothing to lose by continuing.
Sun Tzu would help you here -- if you're interested in learning from him, let me know.
And here I was hoping you and I would achieve world peace? (Not really of course, just like my butter and blankets scenario was never realistic because it would never be implemented, even if it would actually work)
Except I showed you how the butter and blankets scenario wouldn't work -- which is why it wouldn't be implemented.
No Sir, my claim included quite a bit of subtlety you're willing to steamroll over. IF we had won in Nam, we'd have quite a lot of info to apply to both Middle Eastern fronts.
But
they won in Vietnam, and we can learn form our mistakes -- are you suggesting otherwise?
Since they won, we don't have that BUT the means by which they won don't really give us useful info on how we could "win" either front. Unfortunately. The best it should tell us is how not to lose in the same way. Apparently we failed to learn that lesson, as well as the lesson of AF being the empire breaker.
And what's wrong with learning how not to lose? We can't afford to make the same mistakes we made the last time; we can at least agree on that.
You seem to have steamrollered over the subtlety, not me.
This is what I referred to as an "exit strategy." I actually saw 2; one being just start with the Nation building thing, since AF was already bombed to smithereens before we ever got there and there was no need.
Well, that's the problem -- when our nation builders go in and get shot at, we're back to a shooting war.
Yes, this would require the bravest "soldiers" to ever set foot on a battlefield, and maybe the Talibs really are so stupid and insane as to keep killing both aid workers and accompanying media, but you have failed to realize that the only string attached in this plan is to give people what they need so they aren't so desperate anymore.
The problem is that it requires two important things:
1: for us to give this aid with
absolutely no strings attached.
2: For them to
believe that we're giving this aid with absolutely no strings attached.
...and I don't see either of those conditions being met.
Would no fellow Muslims have challenged the Taliban had they responded that way? Would the Taliban be in control now? We will never know, but I seriously doubt both things. I think everybody would've mellowed out, as you describe Iran. I also think it would've been a lot cheaper, with a lot less bloodshed.
It looks nice on theory -- but I think you're grossly underestimating how much they hate and mistrust us.
The other one is simply to colonize the whole place. "Ride herd on the Middle East," as W said. Let them pay tribute. Not sea to shining sea, but oilfield to shining oilfield. It is our technology and our steel that we brought there to start the whole thing, we could take it back w/o a significant moral issue.
Now
that's insane. No significant moral issue, you say?
I mean, the world is so convinced that's all we care about anyway, why not?
You mean become the monsters the world thinks we are?
You're a Christian; read Matthew 16:26 and get back to me on that one.
I say this is easily proven to be false because we haven't even secured a call for ourselves on their oil. What our true motive is is to extend the lifespan of the USD as global reserve currency. Once we lose that, we're sunk. So why not let the rest of the world hate us and use our military might before we lose it?
Because then the United States can't look at its collective self in the mirror and say we're the "good guys" anymore. "He who fights monsters," and all that.
As much as I think our foreign policy shouldn't be compromised by too much sentimentality, I do think there are lines we shouldn't cross. Torture is one of them -- calling it "enhanced interrogation" fools only those who need to be fooled in order to sleep at night.
What you're proposing is another one: it's no longer nation-building or liberation -- you're talking outright conquest. That's not who we are, and certainly not who we should aspire to be.
The chickenhawks tell us that the terrorists want to destroy America -- we do that, and they've succeeded.
Clearly that's a plan we weren't about to do either, just like we didn't take on Russia after WWII like Patton advised. Either one of these steps would improve our position greatly. Both? Might even have made us able to compete with China.
Because it wasn't worth it -- wiser heads prevailed.
Anyway, that would be a tenable goal for the region; easily met, difficult to maintain. I furnished 2. I've never seen anybody else come up with 1.
And you see the serious flaws with both of them, I hope.
So you say leave the Taliban to train terrorists at will. They were doing it before we got there, nothing would've made them stop. You say this is a self-correcting problem, I point out it is not. These are weaknesses in your position, the biggest of which is the claim they are not stupid or crazy.
You think the problems only started when we entered Afghanistan? We've been meddling in their affairs for the better part of the century -- and they have neither forgiven nor forgotten.
The biggest weakness in my plan is crazy people unafraid to die are harder to kill than anyone else, while the greatest strength is we have not been (successfully) attacked since 911. My position seems not to be as stupid as you claim.
They're not crazy -- they're devoted. Because their leaders are anything
but stupid -- they have been smart enough to frame a political conflict as a religious one, disguising it as a fight for the preservation of their Islamic way of life... THAT's why their foot soldiers aren't afraid to die -- in their minds, they're fighting for their souls. And Christian or Muslim, who wouldn't want to be a martyr?
Now, if you want to call religious faith the same thing as being crazy, I may not want to argue with you -- but while they may
exploit the stupid and unhinged, they themselves are not.
You'll notice you never see the leaders blowing
themselves up, right?
Before attacking AF I made the mistake of actually trusting my Govt that such a goal was "of course" already decided.
Plenty of people made that mistake -- 9/11 hit the "off" switch on a lot of our critical thinking skills.
The person that said we never had an exit strategy because the plan was to never leave is not only a vet of Nam, but was special forces. Not just your typical crazy, but unable to have a guest overnight for fear of killing them while he himself slept, right up until 2009. I was unprepared to embrace his ideas, finding them a bit too extreme. Now I don't know, but if that was the plan, we went about it all wrong and forming colonies would be better. Alexander the Great style?
That's never been what we've claimed to be about -- you think it should be?
Again, Matthew 16:26.

Did Tzu actually cover my butter and blankets scenario Because you have it going in with an armed escort, which was not at all my idea.
And that's the flaw in your plan -- you assume that groups like the Taliban or AQ are actually going to
LET your Butter and Blankets Brigades have free reign in "their" territory.
Your humanitarians are neither crazy nor stupid -- they're going to want you to guarantee their safety in hostile territory. How do you propose to do that?
Either way, defining a clear objective also covers the national pride thing. Nixon didn't furnish either peace OR honor.
He provided an excuse, which at that point, was what we needed. But we agree -- we need a clear objective and a way to attain it.
This one step might be enough to stop terrorism worldwide, but is not worth it.
Why? What makes Israel so valuable?
I have no moral issue with simply taking over Middle Eastern oil because we invented the technology as well as the things that create demand. "They" stole it from us, and we just let them have it, which was a huge mistake. So taking it back is no big deal.
We invented the technology, but that doesn't mean we own it. it's their land, and their oil. You have no moral problems with conquest?
OTOH, Israel was created in the wake of Holocaust sympathy, and any sane person who wasn't stupid could know Palestine was carved up in impossible fashion, designed to create unresolvable strife. We financed it. W/o US $, it could never have happened. The only moral way we could do what you suggest is to fix the dilemma, once and for all.
Fix it how? The only solution for us is to wash our hands of it, and the Israeli/Palestinian chips fall where they may.
Personally i really don't see why we didn't bring the Jews here for their homeland, we have plenty of room. Now? How do you fix it? I find your proposal morally reprehensible; it's totally irresponsible.
More so than conquering the entire Middle East and keeping them as vassal states to the Almighty US? And you think that solution will result in
less violence?
Explain to me why keeping Israel as our ally is worth it. Explain to me why they can't take care of themselves.
The only bribe being actually meeting their needs so they aren't desperate. In that condition, they'd be much more likely to create a viable Gov't.
Even a viable government which may
still hate us, and may
still act against our interests? How many trillions of dollars are you willing to gamble on that?