I thought about rewording the analogy since it was a little off. A better analogy:
Someone asks you for a positive integer with no explanation. You answer and the person says it is a "good number." The person remarks, surprised, that there were infinitely many "bad" numbers you could have chosen, but you picked a good one. What was the probability, the person asks, that you would have chosen a "good" number from the getgo? How, the person wonders, did you choose this number?
This is essentially what anyone who argues that the universe is "fine-tuned" is doing--we have no idea what the selective rules are, whether there is (or can be) more than one answer, whether there is a "tuner" and whether that tuner knows what our criteria are, and the problem space is even more open than the question above. Deciding that because the number was "good"--the laws of the universe as currently written include a few constants that, when altered in ways that we have arbitrarily decided are "small," would not allow for life--that the universe is fine-tuned is silly. Why does the universe have to operate on a quantum physical basis? Why not a Newtonian one? Then the constants are meaningless. What if we just rewrote our theory to have several constants that could take on a wide variety of values, but it produced the same results? Is the universe no longer fine-tuned?
The funny thing is, I think you and I do agree on this issue--but I think we have arrived at the same conclusion for dramatically different reasons. You think there is only one universe, created by God, and so do I (at least, I believe there is
effectively only one universe); but where we differ is that you think it is fine-tuned, and I think that the phrase "fine-tuned" has no meaning because in
any formal system with intelligent observers, even one that followed dramatically different physical laws, there would be an argument for that universe being fine-tuned. Unless someone can show me the problem space of universes and prove that almost all (in the mathematical sense) systems of physical laws are hostile to life, I simply see no reason why I should accept that we are fine-tuned. And since if the problem space of universes is exactly 1--which is all that we have any evidence for--the probability that an arbitrary universe can support life is 100%, until someone somehow demonstrates experimentally that there must be another universe with different physical laws, I think I'm safe
