Gidday True Blue,
You wrote:-
If you are an atheist debating a Christian, there are two possibilities being considered--that you will die and nothing will hapen to you, or you will die and go to Hell for eternity. Let's assume you are almost certainly right, and the probability that hell being real is 1/1,000,000. The probability of an empty void is 999,999/1,000,000. The outcome (cost or benefit) of Hell and Heaven is infinite pain as you are burned alive for the rest of eternity, or experiencing the infinite pleasure of living in Heaven. Now 0.000001 times infinity = infinity (either infinitely bad in the case of Hell, or infinitely good in the case of Heaven). That's the economic payoff a Christian can expect from the first possibility, and the corresponding economic loss to the atheist. The second possibility is that when you die, nothing results. The probability of nothing happening when you die is assumed to be 0.999999. Now 0.999999 times nothing = 0. So the economic result an athiest can expect from his/her beliefs of the second outcome = zero.
So rather than living my life based on notions that make sense to me, I should somehow live my life based on a notion that makes little sense, simply because the skewed mathematics turns it out that way. If I did believe in your god based on the logic of your mathematics, then how could I still believe in him anyway?
If you think your argument is sensible then consider this:-
There are two possibilities concerning a plane about to drop out of the sky and flatten your house. One is that the plane will fall out of the sky and flatten your house with you inside. The other is that the plane will not fall out of the sky and you are in your house anyway. The probability of the plane falling out of the sky onto your house while you are inside is 1/10,000,000,000. The probability of the plane not falling out of the sky despite the fact that you are in your house is 9,999,999,999/10,000,000,000. Now losing your life is infinitely terrible compared to having your life. Thus 1/10,000,000,000 times infinity = infinity i.e. it is infinitely bad you staying in your house on the remotely small chance that a plane could fall onto it. The other possibility is that nothing happens when you stay in your house. Thus 9,999,999,999/10,000,000,000 time 0 = 0. That is there is no huge loss if you stay in your house and nothing happens.
Therefore, given the infinite loss of you losing your life if a plane does fall out of the sky why are you not evacuating your house now?
I mean, one can play this game on anything you like to show that, as another poster claimed, you really should convert from Christianity to Islam, from Islam to Christianity, from mainstream Protestantism to JW from JW to mainstream Protestantism; that you should evacuate your house now, that you should stay in your house now; that the US should nuke Iraq, that the US should not nuke Iraq
As an atheist, I still concede that the supernatural just could exist. However this hardly gives me any reason to change my opinion on the nature of reality, than it gives you reason to run around in ever smaller circles because the logic of Pascals Wager can easily tell you to do one thing and its antithesis at the same time, depending on how you construct it.
Regards, Roland