Question: Why are more Democrats than Republicans choosing not to run for re election if their party is united?

Always in His Presence · Apr 21, 2024

That is 61 Democrats choosing not to run for reelection in just two years. That is twice as many as the previous two years. Why is the Biden Administration bleeding so many members of Congress.

essentialsaltes · Apr 21, 2024

Well, we would have to look at all their reasons and circumstances for doing so. For instance, the replacement for the late Senator Feinstein was only appointed as a 'caretaker', with the seat coming open for election in November.

Others are seeking to move from the House to the Senate, and considerably more Democrats than Republicans are doing so:

Incumbents seeking other offices

U.S. House members seeking a seat in the U.S. Senate

See also: United States House of Representatives elections, 2024

9 Democratic members of the U.S. House
3 Republican members of the U.S. House

or some redistricting changes

U.S. House members seeking another office

2 Democratic member of the U.S. House
1 Republican member of the U.S. House

And some senators are retiring and leaving public life altogether, again more D's than R's

Incumbents retiring from public office

See also: United States Senate elections, 2024

5 Democrats
1 Republican
1 Independent

If we remove the caretaker from the retirees, the youngest of the 4 other Democrats is 73.

So that gives a net difference of 11 more Democrats than Republicans with reasons for not running that don't involve questions of party unity.

Nithavela · Apr 21, 2024

hislegacy said:
That is 61 Democrats choosing not to run for reelection in just two years. That is twice as many as the previous two years. Why is the Biden Administration bleeding so many members of Congress.

Why do you think they "bleed so many members of congress"?

Always in His Presence · Apr 21, 2024

Eight United States Senators are not seeking re-election to their U.S. Senate seats (not including those who left office early):

5 Democrats
2 Republicans
1 Independent

Incumbents retiring from public office

See also: United States Senate elections, 2024

5 Democrats
1 Republican
1 Independent

Always in His Presence · Apr 21, 2024

Nithavela said:
Why do you think they "bleed so many members of congress"?

Five letters. First letter B. Last letter n.

Clue. He occupies the Whitehouse

essentialsaltes · Apr 21, 2024

hislegacy said:
Eight United States Senators are not seeking re-election to their U.S. Senate seats (not including those who left office early):

We have already discussed the 5 Democrats.
They are the placeholder, and ages 73, 76, 77 and 80.

wing2000 · Apr 21, 2024

hislegacy said:
That is 61 Democrats choosing not to run for reelection in just two years. That is twice as many as the previous two years. Why is the Biden Administration bleeding so many members of Congress.

hislegacy said:
Five letters. First letter B. Last letter n.

Clue. He occupies the Whitehouse

Is that all you got?

essentialsaltes · Apr 21, 2024

The situation in the House is much the same. If you add the ages of Jake LaTurner [R-36] and Mike Gallagher [R-40], there are 3 retiring Democrats older than that. Topping the list, Grace Napolitano at 87.

iluvatar5150 · Apr 21, 2024

hislegacy said:
Five letters. First letter B. Last letter n.

Clue. He occupies the Whitehouse

Is that why 66 Republicans dropped out in 2018-2020? Trump?

Nithavela · Apr 21, 2024

hislegacy said:
Five letters. First letter B. Last letter n.

Clue. He occupies the Whitehouse

And why did the Republicans bleed so many congress members in 2018 and 2020?

Always in His Presence · Apr 21, 2024

essentialsaltes said:
We have already discussed the 5 Democrats.
They are the placeholder, and ages 73, 76, 77 and 80.

No - you didn't mention it in this thread - but when you do - include the 24 House Democrats leaving compared to the 19

wing2000 said:
Is that all you got?

yeah, that's about it - twice as many Democrats leaving as Republicans. Doesn't exactly demonstrate solidarity.

iluvatar5150 said:
Is that why 66 Republicans dropped out in 2018-2020? Trump?

Nithavela said:
And why did the Republicans bleed so many congress members in 2018 and 2020?

You both should get a thread about it - like I did so I did not derail the one by @essentialsaltes - wondering if you will extend the same courtesy?

Nithavela · Apr 21, 2024

hislegacy said:
No - you didn't mention it in this thread - but when you do - include the 24 House Democrats leaving compared to the 19

yeah, that's about it - twice as many Democrats leaving as Republicans. Doesn't exactly demonstrate solidarity.

You both should get a thread about it - like I did so I did not derail the one by @essentialsaltes - wondering if you will extend the same courtesy?

Would you please post a link to the source of the image capture in the OP?

Always in His Presence · Apr 21, 2024

Nithavela said:
Would you please post a link to the source of the image capture in the OP?

It is found in the image capture in the OP -

Nithavela · Apr 21, 2024

hislegacy said:
View attachment 346343

It is found in the image capture in the OP -

That's the main site, but I can't find the page with the specific statistics you posted.

Always in His Presence · Apr 21, 2024

Nithavela said:
That's the main site, but I can't find the page with the specific statistics you posted.

Type in

List of U.S. Congress incumbents who are not running for re-election in 2024

In the search bar. It's there

JSRG · Apr 21, 2024

hislegacy said:
View attachment 346343

It is found in the image capture in the OP -

Simply telling us the name of the site is not particularly useful, as there's a lot of things on the site; it's far easier to just offer a direct link.

Hans Blaster · Apr 21, 2024

hislegacy said:
No - you didn't mention it in this thread - but when you do - include the 24 House Democrats leaving compared to the 19

OK, let's talk about the House. I'm using the list of retirements on the Wikipedia page on the elections:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections

25 total Democrats, 20 total Republicans (This list does not include those who "retired" before the end of the term, including the one who resigned *yesterday*.)

We can break them down in to two basic subgroup: Those retiring to run for a different office in 2024/5 and those just retiring.

7 Republican are running for other office, 12 Democrats are retire to run for other office. (I am including those who have already lost primaries but already gave up the chance to run for the House this year.)

This leaves 13 "straight retirements" for non-electoral reasons from each party.

We could take another slice at the data and look at a few "edge-cases". For example, 3 Democrats were redistricted (in NC) into very "red" districts, two chose not to run and lose and the third is running for other office. (A redrawing of the districts in Alabama put two Republicans into the same district, but they are running against each other in the primary rather than one of them "retire".)

Another modification to take account of is that the list contains non-voting territorial representatives. (1 GOP running for higher office, one Dem just retiring.) This is probably the origin of the difference in the totals relative to ballotopedia.

If we remove *both* categories we have for the 50 states:

22 Democrats retiring, 10 without future political goals (add the two redistricted members back if you like)
19 Republicans, 13 without future political goals.

Either way it is pretty close and we are at the mercy of small number statistics.

Pommer · Apr 21, 2024

Hans Blaster said:
OK, let's talk about the House. I'm using the list of retirements on the Wikipedia page on the elections:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections

25 total Democrats, 20 total Republicans (This list does not include those who "retired" before the end of the term, including the one who resigned *yesterday*.)

We can break them down in to two basic subgroup: Those retiring to run for a different office in 2024/5 and those just retiring.

7 Republican are running for other office

(Since I’m loath to do the footwork myself)…How many of each party are from “safe districts”, (districts that will likely stay red (or blue))?

Nithavela · Apr 21, 2024

JSRG said:
Simply telling us the name of the site is not particularly useful, as there's a lot of things on the site; it's far easier to just offer a direct link.

List of U.S. Congress incumbents who are not running for re-election in 2024

Ballotpedia: The Encyclopedia of American Politics

ballotpedia.org

Question: Why are more Democrats than Republicans choosing not to run for re election if their party is united?

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