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Pete's Quite Thread post

mark kennedy

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Pete Harcoff said:
Yes, because as I said, the effective genome size of bacteria = the genome size of bacteria (see the Rates of Spontaneous Mutation paper).

Still you equate bacteria with human evolution or account for the deleterious effects. Spontaneous mutations that effect the human effective genome result in disease and disorder but lets pretend that its the same for human evolution as it is for populations of asexual bacteria.


Yes I did. I based the rate of beneficial mutations on the rate of mutations for the effective human genome (I used the rate of 1.6 based on the Rates of Spontaneous Mutation paper), as opposed to the total mutation rate for humans.

That's 1.6 per effective genome per sexual generation right? Are you really suggesting that 1.6 mutations are becoming fixed in populations because that is what the 68,000 indels represents. What is more your average does not take into account that it cannot happen peicemeal. I realize you ignored genetic death that results from altered amino acids the way you have ignored deleterious effects all along so I am not supprised.



Go back and re-read my original post, because it's clear you are still misunderstanding it.

I understand that you made two fundamental errors, namely the amount of divergance and deleterious effects of mutations when they effect primate effective genomes.



Uh huh. You've been given examples in the past, yet you still ignore them. Good luck with that.

Oh yea, the nylon bug and a defective receptor, how could I have forgotten them since I have refuted either being a genetic basis for human evolution from apes repreatedly.
 
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gluadys

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mark kennedy said:
Still you equate bacteria with human evolution or account for the deleterious effects. Spontaneous mutations that effect the human effective genome result in disease and disorder but lets pretend that its the same for human evolution as it is for populations of asexual bacteria.


I realize you ignored genetic death that results from altered amino acids the way you have ignored deleterious effects all along so I am not supprised.


I understand that you made two fundamental errors, namely the amount of divergance and deleterious effects of mutations when they effect primate effective genomes.


Mark, please explain once and for all the evolutionary (as opposed to organismic) importance of deleterious effects of mutations. How do they effect changes in the species?
 
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Pete Harcoff

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mark kennedy said:
Still you equate bacteria with human evolution or account for the deleterious effects. Spontaneous mutations that effect the human effective genome result in disease and disorder but lets pretend that its the same for human evolution as it is for populations of asexual bacteria.

Sheesh, mark, I did an extrapolation. I never said it was canon. Stop pretending I'm doing something I'm not. It's just that the only data on beneficial mutations is on single-celled organisms. So I'm working from that.

It may very well be invalid. But since there's no other data to work from it's kind of a moot point, no?

That's 1.6 per effective genome per sexual generation right? Are you really suggesting that 1.6 mutations are becoming fixed in populations because that is what the 68,000 indels represents. What is more your average does not take into account that it cannot happen peicemeal. I realize you ignored genetic death that results from altered amino acids the way you have ignored deleterious effects all along so I am not supprised.

I have no idea what you are babbling about. Yes, 1.6 mutations occur per sexual generation (i.e. per offspring). I'm not saying all of them become fixed. Where do you keep getting this idea? :scratch:

I understand that you made two fundamental errors, namely the amount of divergance and deleterious effects of mutations when they effect primate effective genomes.

You still haven't demonstrated that these are errors. You harp on about the difference between humans and chimps, but you're fixated on the difference between the total genomes, which is something I never set out to address. You are also fixated on the deleterious effects of mutations, but you've never demonstrated that this is a problem with respect to an evolving population.

And when I ask you to back it up by doing your own math (to estimate mutation rates and human/chimp divergence), you claim it's impossible to do so.

Oh yea, the nylon bug and a defective receptor, how could I have forgotten them since I have refuted either being a genetic basis for human evolution from apes repreatedly.

There were other examples given. I still don't know why you are pretending otherwise. In fact, here are some now.

First, for humans:

C825T polymorphism of the G-protein 3 subunit gene and atrial fibrillation: Association of the TT genotype with a reduced risk for atrial fibrillation

Potentially protective effects of the Ser447-Ter mutation of the lipoprotein lipase gene against the development of coronary artery disease in Japanese subjects via a beneficial lipid profile.

The lipoprotein lipase Ser447Ter mutation and risk of stroke in the Chinese.

Association of lipoprotein lipase Ser447Ter polymorphism with brain infarction: a population-based neuropathological study

Polymorphisms in the coagulation factor VII gene and the risk of myocardial infarction in patients undergoing coronary angiography.

And like it or not, the homozygous genotype for the CCR5d32 mutation does prevent people from developing AIDS (based on HIV-1). So it's definitely beneficial in that context.

And here are a few more for good measure:

Identification of mutations conferring insecticide-insensitive AChE in the cotton-melon aphid, Aphis gossypii Glover.

Glyphosate Resistance in plants

Adaptation of Spirogyra insignis (Chlorophyta) to an extreme natural environment (sulphureous waters) through preselective mutations
 
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Pete Harcoff

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gluadys said:
Mark, please explain once and for all the evolutionary (as opposed to organismic) importance of deleterious effects of mutations. How do they effect changes in the species?

I would like to see this as well. C'mon mark, construct a model that shows the effects of deleterious mutations on an evolving population. Put your money where your mouth is.
 
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mark kennedy

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gluadys said:
Mark, please explain once and for all the evolutionary (as opposed to organismic) importance of deleterious effects of mutations. How do they effect changes in the species?

I wouldn't use the term organismic, I would consider the primary mechanism of change to be simple recombinations. Now I don't quite follow where you are trying to go with this 'importance of deleterious effects of mutations' but whatever the answer I am certain we will end up on a tangent.
 
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Pete Harcoff

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mark kennedy said:
I wouldn't use the term organismic, I would consider the primary mechanism of change to be simple recombinations. Now I don't quite follow where you are trying to go with this 'importance of deleterious effects of mutations' but whatever the answer I am certain we will end up on a tangent.

You "don't quite follow"? Get real. You keep claiming I've been ignoring the effects of deleterious mutations, so why don't you show what effect deleterious mutations have on evolving populations. If it's a problem, then you'll have an argument. Otherwise, it's a waste of time for you to keep repeating yourself.
 
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mark kennedy

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Pete Harcoff said:
Sheesh, mark, I did an extrapolation. I never said it was canon. Stop pretending I'm doing something I'm not. It's just that the only data on beneficial mutations is on single-celled organisms. So I'm working from that.

That was never the main issue Pete, you failed to take into account the deleterious effects of mutations and overestimated the divergance between the two genomes. I did bring up the point, allthough it was ignored, that sexually reproducing organisms are far more effective at purging deleterious mutations and the larger point was the danger of deleterious mutations.

It may very well be invalid. But since there's no other data to work from it's kind of a moot point, no?[/quote[

There is no data to work with because the kinds of changes that would have had to occur for humans to evolve from apes has no genetic basis.



I have no idea what you are babbling about. Yes, 1.6 mutations occur per sexual generation (i.e. per offspring). I'm not saying all of them become fixed. Where do you keep getting this idea? :scratch:

You said 1.6 per genome per sexual generation assigning a period of 20 years and you used that to account for 68,000 indels that are fixed in the two comparative genomes. You said that you were going to focus on the effective genome but never accounted for the effects of mutations on protein coding genes. At any rate when you used the 1.6 figure I thought that you got it from this:

"Under conservative assumptions, we estimate that an average of 4.2 amino-acid-altering mutations per diploid per generation have occurred in the human lineage since humans separated from chimpanzees. Of these mutations, we estimate that at least 38% have been eliminated by natural selection, indicating that there have been more than 1.6 new deleterious mutations per diploid genome per generation. Thus, the deleterious mutation rate specific to protein-coding sequences alone is close to the upper limit tolerable by a species such as humans that has a low reproductive rate"

High genomic deleterious mutation rates in hominids



You still haven't demonstrated that these are errors. You harp on about the difference between humans and chimps, but you're fixated on the difference between the total genomes, which is something I never set out to address. You are also fixated on the deleterious effects of mutations, but you've never demonstrated that this is a problem with respect to an evolving population.

Number one, you did cite and link the chimpanzee/human chromsome comparison paper where it explicitly described a 5% divergance not 2%. For another thing you have completely ignored the fact that 80% of the mutations effecting the amino acid sequences are deleterious. Now you want to account for these mutations, using statisitics of fixed differences but you don't want to talk about how changes are fixed in overall genomes, particulary to the effective genome. Nothing in your post addresses the effective genome and all of your statistics are either unbiased, with regards to the protein coding genes in primates, or obscure generalities concerning bacteria.


And when I ask you to back it up by doing your own math (to estimate mutation rates and human/chimp divergence), you claim it's impossible to do so.

6 billion times nothing is still nothing. I have repeatedly showed you the overall changes noted in genetic research and their influence on the effective genome. You have yet to demonstrate how a single beneficial effect can be derived from mutations in the protein coding genes.



There were other examples given. I still don't know why you are pretending otherwise. In fact, here are some now.

Oh good, more anecdotal evidence


Another polymorphism for humans:

Polymorphisms and mutations found in the regions flanking exons 5 to 8 of the TP53 gene in a population at high risk for esophageal cancer in South Africa.


Slight selective advantages for a small minority, for a short time:

"The frequency of the Ser447-Ter genotype in GG and CG was significantly lower in CAD than in the controls (11.9% vs 26%, odds ratio = 0.38; 95% confidence interval, 0.18-0.81; p<0.02). "

Maybe

"This mutation may have a protective effect against the development of CAD via its favorable lipoprotein profile."



Same thing here:

"As compared with controls, the frequency of LPL genotype CG (heterozygous Ser447Ter mutation) was lower in ischemic stroke patients (10.4% vs. 21.4%, p<0.05), and was not significantly different in hemorrhagic stroke patients (15.6% vs. 21.4%, p>0.05). The LPL G allele frequency was also lower in ischemic stroke patients (5.2%) vs. controls (10.7%, p<0.05)."

and here:

"CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ischemic stroke have a lower frequency of the LPL Ser447Ter mutation, which indicates that this mutation may have protective effect on ischemic stroke."




I'm not even sure this is a mutation, it sounds like a gene variation, not a spontaneous mutation.

Ter447 variant was negatively associated with neuropathologically verified brain infarcts (P = 0.006), and even more strongly with small brain infarcts (P = 0.004).

The rest of the anecdotal evidence show no improvement of vital organs or anykind other then a slight selective advantage for a short time.

And like it or not, the homozygous genotype for the CCR5d32 mutation does prevent people from developing AIDS (based on HIV-1). So it's definitely beneficial in that context.

No, it does not prevent people from getting full blown AIDs it just hinders the outset of it.

Slight selective advantages, to a small minority, for a brief period of time is neither evolutionary adaptation nor a genetic basis for major morphological innovation. Its called equivication Pete and its a fallacy:

"Equivocation is the type of ambiguity which occurs when a single word or phrase is ambiguous, and this ambiguity is not grammatical but lexical. So, when a phrase equivocates, it is not due to grammar, but to the phrase as a whole having two distinct meanings.

Of course, most words are ambiguous, but context usually makes a univocal meaning clear. Also, equivocation alone is not fallacious, though it is a linguistic boobytrap which can trip people into committing a fallacy. The Fallacy of Equivocation occurs when an equivocal word or phrase makes an unsound argument appear sound."

http://www.fallacyfiles.org/equivoqu.html

There is an old adage in evangelical theology, 'a text without a context is a pretext'.

Grace and peace,
Mark
 
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mark kennedy

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Pete Harcoff said:
You "don't quite follow"? Get real. You keep claiming I've been ignoring the effects of deleterious mutations, so why don't you show what effect deleterious mutations have on evolving populations. If it's a problem, then you'll have an argument. Otherwise, it's a waste of time for you to keep repeating yourself.

I have shown you the effects of deleterious mutations on populations, 80% of the mutations effecting the amino acid sequences are deleterious. Factor that in and see what kinds of problems this creates for evolution.
 
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Pete Harcoff

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mark kennedy said:
You said 1.6 per genome per sexual generation assigning a period of 20 years and you used that to account for 68,000 indels that are fixed in the two comparative genomes.

The 1.6 is per individual. So in each generation, you'd have 1.6 mutations per individual * 100000 individuals = 160000 mutations in that gene pool (obviously they are not all fixed). I'm not saying there's 1.6 mutations for the entire population!

Number one, you did cite and link the chimpanzee/human chromsome comparison paper where it explicitly described a 95% divergance not 2%. For another thing you have completely ignored the fact that 80% of the mutations effecting the amino acid sequences are deleterious. Now you want to account for these mutations, using statisitics of fixed differences but you don't want to talk about how changes are fixed in overall genomes, particulary to the effective genome. Nothing in your post addresses the effective genome and all of your statistics are either unbiased, with regards to the protein coding genes in primates, or obscure generalities concerning bacteria.

So why don't you crunch the numbers then? Set up a model and do the math. Show me how these dramatic effects of deleterious mutations effect things.

<snip>

Slight selective advantages, to a small minority, for a brief period of time is neither evolutionary adaptation nor a genetic basis for major morphological innovation. Its called equivication Pete and its a fallacy:

No mark, you're hand-waving away everything you don't like. What I've done is shown you that the idea that mutations in protein-coding DNA are non-beneficial is false. Remember, you just said, "You have yet to demonstrate how a single beneficial effect can be derived from mutations in the protein coding genes." So even if a lot of mutations to protein-coding DNA are deleterious, some can beneficial. Now, will you just admit that already?

But now you're moving the goal posts... Why don't you carefully explain what you are looking for. And not only that, but tell me exactly how you plan to find it in the general population. Keep in mind, you have to first screen the phenotype, then you can screen the genotypes.

Btw, I just want to point out one final thing, because I've literally explained this to you a half-dozen times, but you still don't get it:

No, it does not prevent people from getting full blown AIDs it just hinders the outset of it.

People carry two copies of each gene. In the case of the CCR5/CCR5d32 genes, there are three possible genotypes:

CCR5/CCR5
CCR5/CCR5d32
CCR5d32/CCR5d32

The first genotype (CCR5/CCR5) has no protection against HIV. The second genotype (CCR5/CCR5d32) has a slight resistance to HIV-1. This is the type you keep talking about. The third type (CCR5d32/CCR5d32) is the one you keep ignoring. This is the type that has a far greater resistance to HIV, and in particular, I've seen it suggested that people with this genotype do not get AIDS from HIV-1 (HIV-2 is a different story). This is from studies where researchers have found that no one with AIDS has this genotype, despite it being present in the general population. So you can imagine how that genotype would be of tremendous value in a population plagued by HIV-1.

Now, if you ignore this again, I'm putting you straight on my ignore list and never discussing anything with you ever again.
 
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Pete Harcoff

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mark kennedy said:
I have shown you the effects of deleterious mutations on populations, 80% of the mutations effecting the amino acid sequences are deleterious. Factor that in and see what kinds of problems this creates for evolution.

You factor it in. Go create your model and crunch the numbers. You are the one obsessed with deleterious mutations, after all.
 
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gluadys

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mark kennedy said:
I wouldn't use the term organismic, I would consider the primary mechanism of change to be simple recombinations. Now I don't quite follow where you are trying to go with this 'importance of deleterious effects of mutations' but whatever the answer I am certain we will end up on a tangent.

Let's not quibble about semantics. Mutations occur in cells. Cells either are individual organisms or they are parts of individual organisms. So when a mutation occurs that has a deleterious effect, the individual organism in which it occurs suffers accordingly. (That is what I meant by "organismic". The deleterious effect occurs in an organism, not in the whole species. Maybe not the best choice of word and I am open to another that makes the same point.)



But evolution does not happen to individual organisms. It happens to species.

What I want to know is what connection you see between the deleterious effect of a mutation on an organism and the evolution of the species the organism belongs to.

What is the evolutionary importance of deleterious mutations?

You have never explained that.
 
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gluadys

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mark kennedy said:
I have shown you the effects of deleterious mutations on populations, 80% of the mutations effecting the amino acid sequences are deleterious. Factor that in and see what kinds of problems this creates for evolution.

I know that statistic. But I don't know how you are factoring that in. Please show me. Show me what kinds of problems it creates and how. Because, for the life of me, I don't see what problem it creates.


And I have never seen you explain the problem.
 
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aziel92

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gluadys said:
I know that statistic. But I don't know how you are factoring that in. Please show me. Show me what kinds of problems it creates and how. Because, for the life of me, I don't see what problem it creates.


And I have never seen you explain the problem.

I wont speak for him or her but Ill offer my own take...organisms within a species get mutations in their DNA. Now some of these organisms get killed off because of such mutations but not all of them. This is where it has everything to do with evolution. If you have a population of organisms that at the beginning have no mutations for say one ear being deaf. One unfortunate blokes genes get mutated and now he has a deaf ear. Just before he gets killed off by the lion he didnt hear approaching on his deaf side he passes off his genes. Through the course of time his offspring continue to multiply, some are killed off while others keep on managing to pass on this gene. So now in the population this gene, or allele, frequency has gone from 0 to say 50. and this is essentially what evolution and/or population genetics is supposed to be about (changes in frequency of alleles over time). Now because deleterious mutations are happening so often (when compared to those that have no affect and the (if any) beneficial) there are lots of oppurtunities for icky genes to accumulate, or at least make thier presence known, within a population. Plus factor in recessive genes that cause trouble. So anyways there it is....
 
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gluadys

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aziel92 said:
I wont speak for him or her but Ill offer my own take...organisms within a species get mutations in their DNA. Now some of these organisms get killed off because of such mutations but not all of them. This is where it has everything to do with evolution. If you have a population of organisms that at the beginning have no mutations for say one ear being deaf. One unfortunate blokes genes get mutated and now he has a deaf ear. Just before he gets killed off by the lion he didnt hear approaching on his deaf side he passes off his genes. Through the course of time his offspring continue to multiply, some are killed off while others keep on managing to pass on this gene. So now in the population this gene, or allele, frequency has gone from 0 to say 50. and this is essentially what evolution and/or population genetics is supposed to be about (changes in frequency of alleles over time). Now because deleterious mutations are happening so often (when compared to those that have no affect and the (if any) beneficial) there are lots of oppurtunities for icky genes to accumulate, or at least make thier presence known, within a population. Plus factor in recessive genes that cause trouble. So anyways there it is....

What you are forgetting to factor in is the comparative reproductive rates of the deaf and non-deaf population. I think you will grant that the deaf population is likely to have a shorter life-span than the non-deaf population. Many of the deaf population will not live long enough to reproduce at all. A most will not have many years of reproductive life as compared to the non-deaf population.

So if the average number of surviving offspring (surviving means they also go on to reproduce) of non-deaf members of the species over an average reproducing life time of six years is 10, and the average number of surviving offspring of deaf members over an average reproductive life of 2 years is 0.5, how does that hurt the species?

If you go to the formal debate area and check Natural Selection and Genetics.

This is where I have crunched the numbers, (posts 5, 10 & 15) and Mark has never responded to these posts.

Maybe you can show me where my math is wrong or what I have forgotten to factor in. But to me the math is clear. Deleterious mutations harm individuals, but do not normally harm the species. Deleterious mutations are prevented from accumulating in any significant sector of the population, while accumulation of beneficial mutations is encouraged.

Show me where I am wrong.
 
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jnhofzinser

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gluadys said:
Deleterious mutations are prevented from accumulating in any significant sector of the population, while accumulation of beneficial mutations is encouraged.

Show me where I am wrong.
You are not wrong. However, another facet of deleterious mutations is that they can happen to organisms with the "beneficial" alleles, thus slowing the fixation of those alleles.

While this is not an issue if we have the (frankly absurd) situation of a gazillion independent beneficial mutations resulting in significant phenotypic changes, it most certainly is relevant given the (much more likely) scenario that the gazillion beneficial mutations necessary for significant phenotypic changes are dependent.

Considering that
  1. the Quiet Thread Post in question attempts to address the quantitative similarity between the length of time postulated for human evolution and estimated rates of beneficial mutations, and
  2. the rate of deleterious mutations will impact the fixation rate (which, it has already been granted, has been ignored while being significant),
it is clear that the rate of deleterious mutations is germane to the issue at hand, as it pushes the magnitude of the already considerable disagreement between the postulated time and the estimated mutation rates.
 
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mark kennedy

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Pete Harcoff said:
The 1.6 is per individual. So in each generation, you'd have 1.6 mutations per individual * 100000 individuals = 160000 mutations in that gene pool (obviously they are not all fixed). I'm not saying there's 1.6 mutations for the entire population!

Pete, the 68,000 indels and the 1.44 single point base substitutions are fixed in the entire population. The question is how did they get in there without killing off the entire species.



So why don't you crunch the numbers then? Set up a model and do the math. Show me how these dramatic effects of deleterious mutations effect things.

What numbers, the beneficial mutations of bacteria as assumed to be involved in human evolution. Its absurd.



No mark, you're hand-waving away everything you don't like. What I've done is shown you that the idea that mutations in protein-coding DNA are non-beneficial is false. Remember, you just said, "You have yet to demonstrate how a single beneficial effect can be derived from mutations in the protein coding genes." So even if a lot of mutations to protein-coding DNA are deleterious, some can beneficial. Now, will you just admit that already?

Your anecdotal evidence is pure supposition and equivacating those changes with the ones that code for proteins in the human brain is equally absurd.

But now you're moving the goal posts... Why don't you carefully explain what you are looking for. And not only that, but tell me exactly how you plan to find it in the general population. Keep in mind, you have to first screen the phenotype, then you can screen the genotypes.

You are resorting to clutch phrases, there is nothing tangable in this statement. For whatever reason, you are ignoring the substantive difficulties for evolution by the effects of mutations as directly observed and demonstrated in modern genetics. I didn't move the goal posts, nature did. When they got a closer look at the actual nucleotide sequences they realized the differences are far greater then anyone would have guessed. It came as no supprise to creationists, we have known this all along.

Btw, I just want to point out one final thing, because I've literally explained this to you a half-dozen times, but you still don't get it:

Oh yea, the google searches and the list of links were very helpfull, thanks. I don't know if you think this constant insistance on a presumed common ancestor is science or not but one thing is sure, they don't have a clue what the genetic basis is.

People carry two copies of each gene. In the case of the CCR5/CCR5d32 genes, there are three possible genotypes:

CCR5/CCR5
CCR5/CCR5d32
CCR5d32/CCR5d32

The first genotype (CCR5/CCR5) has no protection against HIV. The second genotype (CCR5/CCR5d32) has a slight resistance to HIV-1. This is the type you keep talking about. The third type (CCR5d32/CCR5d32) is the one you keep ignoring. This is the type that has a far greater resistance to HIV, and in particular, I've seen it suggested that people with this genotype do not get AIDS from HIV-1 (HIV-2 is a different story). This is from studies where researchers have found that no one with AIDS has this genotype, despite it being present in the general population. So you can imagine how that genotype would be of tremendous value in a population plagued by HIV-1.

Now, if you ignore this again, I'm putting you straight on my ignore list and never discussing anything with you ever again.

Quote the source material that substantiates this and we can talk. Otherwise I would have to conclude that this is nothing but hyperbole.
 
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mark kennedy

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gluadys said:
If you go to the formal debate area and check Natural Selection and Genetics.

This is where I have crunched the numbers, (posts 5, 10 & 15) and Mark has never responded to these posts.

Maybe you can show me where my math is wrong or what I have forgotten to factor in. But to me the math is clear. Deleterious mutations harm individuals, but do not normally harm the species. Deleterious mutations are prevented from accumulating in any significant sector of the population, while accumulation of beneficial mutations is encouraged.

Show me where I am wrong.

There is no need for me to go to the formal debate, I was there. The formulas you went on and on about were never applied to anything of substance, like human evolution. I discussed at length the differences in the two chromosomes and by now you are well aquainted with them. As usual natural selection offered nothing scientific or even remotely logical to account for the presumed common ancestory of humans and chimps. There is no such thing as natural selection, that is just an analogy based on artifical selection. What the point of the whole exercise was and is, is, what gets preserved and what gets expunged. Mutations get expunged, period, it is only the physiological costs of adaptation that keep them from being purged 100%.
 
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mark kennedy

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Manic Depressive Mouse said:
Really? So what have we been observing for the past 150-odd years?

We have been observing random variation and btw, you didn't bother reading this in context did you MDM? Well...why not?
 
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mikeynov

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