Alright, and I will reciprocate that generosity for whenever you have something biology based you want clarification on![]()
Deal!
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Alright, and I will reciprocate that generosity for whenever you have something biology based you want clarification on![]()
Deal!![]()
It's nice when people of very different world views can be civil and work together. Although, you don't clash as much with me as a few other people who I found to agree with me in certain matters (though not necessarily the same reasonings).
Nobody fine-tuned any formulas to fit the data set, Michael. The data set fit already. That's...the point.
Emphasis mine. By the way, despite your five sigma confidence, nobody else was much impressed in his straw pole. Only about 9 percent of folks actually agreed that it was strong evidence of inflation.Ugly tweaks
"If...and it's a big if...this is true, it would be spectacular evidence for what happened at the Big Bang," Turok told physicsworld.com. While he agreed that at first glance, the BICEP2 observations are in keeping with inflation "as suggested over 30 years ago, wherein space–time would resonate with the aftershocks of inflation and would ring like a bell", a closer look at the discrepancy between the new results and previous data from the Planck and WMAP telescopes is what worries Turok. Indeed, the tensor-to-scalar ratio of 0.20 that BICEP2 measured is considered to be significantly larger than that expected from previous analyses of data. But the BICEP2 researchers said in their press conference yesterday that they believe certain tweaks could be made to an extension of the ΛCDM cosmological model that could make the two results agree.
"But these tweaks would be tremendously ugly....and in fact, I believe that if both Planck and the new results agree, then together they would give substantial evidence against inflation!" exclaims Turok, further explaining that "[we] must be careful before we treat them as true".
No, and here is where we're going to have *serious* problems communicating if you're going to insist on trying to stuff me inside of your snow globe universe with you. I *lack belief* in any sort of 'surface of last scattering'. I'm sure you've removed most if not all foreground effects quite effectively, but I believe every photon in every microwave image comes from a point source in plasma in an *infinite* universe that has no borders and no surface of last scattering. I'm not trying to pretend that I can see shadows on the wall and make some judgement about a creation event david. That's your gig, not mine.Except you completely have no idea what you're talking about. That would produce scalar polarization, not tensor polarization - it would obviously be density-induced polarization, and would thus produce only E mode polarization.
So do synchrotron sources david. You can't *rule out* the one *known* cause of polarized photons in plasma with a handwave.Gravitational waves produce both kinds of polarization,
Well, I did eventually find the 2012 paper with "raw" data, so technically I really have nothing to complain about. I simply had no idea you intended to take one of *Alfven's* successful predictions from the 1950's and try to build a federal case for inflation genies in the sky with that data. My bad for not expecting a hail Mary play after all those problems you've experienced at LHC, LUX, AMS-2 and the electron roundness experiments. I realize it's been a tough 18 months for CDM. I guess I should have expected a red herring on the Lambda side next. You folks are getting desperate IMO.Nobody fine-tuned the theory to the data set (in any case, who would have had time to do that, yet? And where are you getting "years" from?)
I've had no problem commenting on it.I'm so sorry that we have degrees in physics and you don't, but anybody with one would be able to comment immediately on this. It's not difficult.
The problem is that you don't abide by the results *unless* they support your claim. All *negatives* are ignored. There's quite literally no point in handing you any data from them unless it's the data you want! You have a bad case of confirmation bias apparently.Yes, we have.
In *all* of them, *nothing* was found in *any* area!In some experiments nothing was found in certain areas,
Hope springs eternal in Gutheology.and in some of those the caveat "yet" applies,
No, I'm just tired of hearing you point at the sky and making wild claims about high energy light that lack any empirical support whatsoever. When will you be done looking anyway? Will I still be alive, or long since dead? Why are you even still looking in the first place when it's been demonstrated repeatedly that your galaxy mass estimation techniques were pure trash in the first place?but you're ignorant to that and assume quarter or less of a data set is "job done",
I love how you personally "call the game" but only about 9 percent even think it's strong evidence for inflation. Apparently you don't need any more 'tests' at all.just like when you see a paper (irrelevant to the topic). Science does not work to deadlines and you cannot call the game in the first quarter unless the score is 3 million to 1, like it is with BICEP.
We talked about the UCLA meeting, and I mentioned LUX peaked in the energy ranges of that paper yet saw nothing. You said something to the effect that it didn't peak in that range it peaked 25GEV higher. I then asked you for clarification. Will you commit to a *specific* energy range even?First you've pulled 35GeV out of thin air like I stated it as the only possible option (I don't remember even stating it)....after complaining the very opposite, that I haven't stated an energy level for WIMPS for you to go "SEE!!! Nothing there! Only chance you had!".
Of course not. In Gutheology, the name of the supernatural game is to make sure that all the supernatural entities (plural) are as 'mysterious' as possible. Never allow any "tests" to be final tests, lest Gutheology actually die a natural empirical death. When cornered, use any excuse to move the supernatural goalposts again!Second, I never said WIMPs were the only option, because they aren't.
It's only "enormous' because your claim is fake in the first place. There never was any "dark matter" in that 2006 study. You simply *botched* the stellar mass estimates by something like a factor of 4! There never was any form of exotic matter in that lensing data. It's all *ordinary plasma*.Lastly, the goalposts are ENORMOUS - that's the problem.
The point is to ignore the failures, that's the point. You can't handle the fact you *botched* the mass estimates to begin with, so you're covering it up and pretending your mass estimates were correct *in spite of* the evidence to the contrary!We're trying to move them. We're trying to constrain them, make them narrower. That's the entire point!
Translation: There is absolutely no way to falsify your theory in any of your tests. They are one way tests. You will only accept a *positive* result, and you will continue to ignore the fact that your *predictions* were worthless. There is no logical way to falsify your religion. It's one huge circular feedback loop that is devoid of any logical falsification mechanism.None, because nobody knows. It's in the undecided category. It's like asking for precisely the number of missing links we would expect to find in the history of evolution on this planet. There are too many possibilities. It's possible WIMPs don't exist, but that wouldn't falsify CDM.
Translation: CDM cannot ever be falsified. It's the never ending snipe hunt.No, it's simply too complex to take down in one fell swoop because it's actually many, many theories with an overarching title, like SUSY. I know that frustrates you, but your characterization is simply wrong and that's obvious to the non-physicists reading...
I love how your tiny gaps work for your supernatural friends, but not for God. I'd love to hear *that* rationalization. Who cares about your tiny gaps when you have no evidence your invisible friends exist in the first place? Your 2006 lensing study was based on *critically flawed galaxy models*!Because that tiny gap might be right.
You'll look for any gap for your supernatural friends to hide in apparently, even the tiniest of cracks.Science does not exclude tiny gaps.
I was wrong to believe that Guthology could ever actually be falsified. The only part of your *entire* theory that *can* show up in the lab, *refuses* to cooperate with your claims.The standard of evidence rises, but we don't go "oh, let's not look there, why bother" to ANYTHING. So when you say "such and such was falsified"...you're simply wrong.
When? When will you allow CDM to be falsified?If something is falsified, we move on
Pfft. You apparently "gave up" on physics because inelastic scattering occurs in the lab and in space.- like tired light,
Yep. You give yourselves an unlimited number of tries, and handwave away an entire life's work of a Nobel prize winning physicist, apparently based one *one handwave of an argument from one paper from 1929*.but people are welcome to modify their theories to fit the new data and resubmit.
Yep, it's a *huge* hypocritical double standard alright.That's how it works.
Listen to yourself. First you have to rationalize away all those *failures* in your galaxy mass estimation techniques. You have no evidence that your galaxy mass estimation techniques were even *accurate* in 2006 to start with. You therefore *do not* have any evidence that any "missing mass" was exotic in nature, and you have evidence it was actually located in *whole stars* david!We hone down to the truth. When that process is barely complete, there's too many options to just throw, say SUSY, or CDM in the trash because one part of it fails. We didn't throw Newtonian gravity - or the entire body of work ever done on gravity - in the trash when it failed to describe the orbital characteristics of Mercury....
I know exactly how you *guestimate* the number, but it clearly doesn't work and like every other claim you make it's completely unfalsifiable by the data. Your galaxy mass estimates were *flawed*. Get over it.And you can't prove that observable matter in the universe has changed in any significant degree to it, because, for the umpteenth time, THAT IS NOT HOW IT IS MEASURED.
You seem to forget that in 2012 all you "missing baryonic matter" was found in ordinary plasma surrounding our galaxy, and that is *in addition to* all of your stellar mass estimation problems. You're stuck in pure denial david. *Nothing* can falsify your claims, absolutely nothing.That's why the ~4% of baryonic matter that we believe exists is described as "observable" and not "observed". We haven't even begun to observe all the baryonic matter we think is out there, so shouting about galaxies being twice as bright - which maybe adds 20% to the "observed" matter impresses nobody, because it's NOT new baryonic matter in the mass-energy budget of the universe. We KNOW it's there. We KNOW we've not seen it all yet...not even close.
I asked whether you really wanted to discuss Friedmann or Milne empty models, which is what that paper is relying on for an esoteric mathematical description of expansion.I asked you to explain to me why you personally believe that I need 'expanding space" to explain photon redshift. As that paper demonstrates, I do not need it. You can't hand that fact either.
I don't even need to as that GR paper demonstrates david!Until you come up with a form of inelastic scattering that can conserve photon linear propagation and energy and yet induce a redshift,
I have to stop here for now, but I'll see if I missed anything important as I get time.
Actually the way you set up the test, any kind of patterned structure in the b-modes equates with "success".
You couldn't go wrong unless there were no polarized photons in space.
Since we know about them since the 50's, and were first predicted by PC/EU theory, you couldn't go wrong actually.
It's kinda like when you guys claim that Guth "predicted" a homogenous universe. He *knew* it was there, and you already knew the polarized photons were there.
You just weren't sure of the exact pattern yet, so you setup a "test" to see what the patterns looked like.
FYI, you and I both know that the real "fine tuning" hasn't even begun:
Neil Turok urges caution on BICEP2 results - physicsworld.com
Emphasis mine. By the way, despite your five sigma confidence, nobody else was much impressed in his straw pole. Only about 9 percent of folks actually agreed that it was strong evidence of inflation.
No, and here is where we're going to have *serious* problems communicating if you're going to insist on trying to stuff me inside of your snow globe universe with you. I *lack belief* in any sort of 'surface of last scattering'.
I'm sure you've removed most if not all foreground effects quite effectively
but I believe every photon in every microwave image comes from a point source in plasma in an *infinite* universe that has no borders and no surface of last scattering.
I'm not trying to pretend that I can see shadows on the wall and make some judgement about a creation event david. That's your gig, not mine.
So do synchrotron sources david. You can't *rule out* the one *known* cause of polarized photons in plasma with a handwave.
Well, I did eventually find the 2012 paper with "raw" data, so technically I really have nothing to complain about. I simply had no idea you intended to take one of *Alfven's* successful predictions from the 1950's and try to build a federal case for inflation genies in the sky with that data.
Well, duh. If you see a b-mode polarization pattern that means by definition there's a tensor mode, ruling out density (scalar mode) based effects such as everything you've suggested. Are you not sure about what b-mode polarization actually is?
1) Why do I even need your supernatural claims about space expansion and inflation to explain a pattern of redshift or a structured pattern of polarized photon emissions?
Actually the way you set up the test, any kind of patterned structure in the b-modes equates with "success".
2) Please demonstrate that synchrotron radiation produces *no* (I mean zero) b-mode patterns in your camera before you filter it.
3) Specifically explain how you are turning the B aspects of a vector field of polarized photons into two categories which you're now calling "tensor mode" and "scalar mode".
4) Explain how you eliminated galaxies themselves as the source of these patterns. I would expect that the source of all your polarized photons are related to synchrotron radiation in various structures of various galaxies
We don't. Briefly...
E modes - scalar and tensor
B modes - tensor only
My my, you're so specific. "Various", huh?
Section 9.2 of the BICEP2 paper - synchrotron contamination of greater than r = 0.003 when correlated with WMAP not possible, which is vastly less than the equipment induced margin of error of the actual data set.
Care to elaborate on why the curl B of the photon is oriented in one direction in some areas and the it's oriented in the other direction in other areas in your theory?
This is pointless at the moment because for the entirety of your post, you're literally making stuff up. Here's a good example.
You cannot look at the magnetic field orientation of the photon and know for a fact it has anything at all to even do with GR in the first place, let alone tensor fields. You're *assuming* a relationship from a *postdicted* observation!From GR we know that density fluctuations are scalar and fluctuations from gravity waves are tensor perturbations. They're not arbitrary terms we slap on to look good, they're simple derivations of general relativity....
They made a *Herculean* effort to remove the foreground effects david. Even I was impressed. There is very little doubt in my mind that those polarization patterns are large scale and "distant" patterns since they were *predicted* and discovered back in the 1950's. I'm certainly not surprised to see them show up E/B polarization patterns on Earth. I also see no evidence that you eliminated those possible massive structure sources as a *cause* of those patterns. I couldn't even find any overlay image of the magnetic field signatures with any other galaxy images in that same region of space.As to your point on synchrotron radiation - firstly, if this was possible in the way you describe, then some of these sources would be considerably more distant than others, which makes no sense given the redshift of the CMB is consistent.
No I'm not so the rest of your point is moot. I showed you the GR paper david.Further, you're demanding that those photons are scattered..
I'm not suggesting it's a 'contamination', I'm suggesting it's a *source* as predicted by Hannes Alfven himself in 1950 using *EU/PC* theory, not Gutheology.Synchrotron radiation contamination is a possibility
None of that looks to be based on actual lab tests with the actual camera in question. Was that work ever done, yes or no?
Without seeing the actual *experimental data* from controlled experiments with synchrotron radiation sources aimed at *that specific camera and equipment*, how could anyone pick any figure out of thin air?
Here is your problem in a nutshell as I see it. As far back as the 50's Alfven *predicted* the existence of large scale structures that are the emission sources (plural to infinity) of large massive structures of polarized photons.
If we assume for now that they did a *perfect* job filtering out all foreground effects
then the remaining pattern is necessarily a pattern related to *large scale structures* that emit polarized photons.
In Alfven's cosmos, that looks like current flow patterns around jets near the center of black holes and neutron stars galore.
Your theory apparently didn't actually *predict* anything.
By the time you folks started to write about polarized photons in space, it was almost 20 years *after* their existence had already been *confirmed* from *Alfven's actual prediction*.
A completely ad-hoc *fit* was then *postdicted" to those polarized photons in some effort to build some kind of 'federal case' for inflation theory.
Just like the homogenous aspect however, the *existence of* large scale polarized photon sources had already been *known*!
You didn't actually 'predict' anything with your theory, you *postdicted* a claim with a handwave and a little math related to your otherwise impotent on Earth sky thingies.
I need to see some evidence that you actually took your camera and equipment into a lab and played with various synchrotron radiation sources.
I see *no* attempt to even *try* to differentiate between the photon patterns Alfven *predicted* in the 50's and your claims about it can *only* be related to your tensor and scalar "mode" interpretation.
While it's clear that the filament flow pattern determines the handedness of the curl in EU/PC theory
I'm really not clear what you believe determines that handedness factor in your theory?
IMO this whole paper turned into a supernatural pig-in-a-poke theory in section 9. I see *no* (as in zero) attempt to rule out the *already known* large scale sources of polarized photons based on any sort of pattern recognition.
This is pointless at the moment because for the entirety of your post, you're literally making stuff up. Here's a good example.
"The curl B of the photon" means nothing, it's just word salad. There's curl, there's B mode components (which are curl only, grad free)...the two are interlinked but "curl B of a photon" is not a term, not even wrong, and it certainly does not have an "orientation", whatever that means? (The curl itself is describing the "orientation" in a sense, but again, that means nothing in vector calculus.)
From GR we know that density fluctuations are scalar and fluctuations from gravity waves are tensor perturbations. They're not arbitrary terms we slap on to look good, they're simple derivations of general relativity....
As to your point on synchrotron radiation - firstly, if this was possible in the way you describe, then some of these sources would be considerably more distant than others, which makes no sense given the redshift of the CMB is consistent.
Further, you're demanding that those photons are scattered...linear propagation not possible, so we pointed out your tired light idea would require deleterious blurring. You looked at distant galaxies and said "they're blurred". Ok...so if we accept that (ludicrous) proposition for a moment, despite your total absence of a plausible mechanism, then the polarization of these signals would not produce either pattern but would be obviously cancelled in the aggregate. Certainly extremely faint B mode curl polarization patterns would not be visible...
Synchrotron radiation contamination is a possibility (as are gravitational lensing and atmospheric anomalies), but as you see they went to great lengths to cover all of those. Synchrotron radiation effects from known sources can be mapped with great precision especially from WMAP, which is where the 0.003 fluctuation in r in section 9 comes from (it's not an arbitrarily chosen number). There has been a great deal of work on that subject, here's a slice (I can happily find you a dozen more example)
B-mode contamination by synchrotron emission from 3-yr Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe data
Impact of Galactic polarized emission on B-mode detection at low multipoles - ResearchGate
Because they did take the actual synchrotron radiation sources - the actual ones from WMAP -
Because they did take the actual synchrotron radiation sources - the actual ones from WMAP...
That's because you're ignoring (or more likely ignorant of) all the other work done on this subject (of which there are vast quantities) which they refer to. They've actually gone to great lengths to rule out synchrotron radiation, and do so very generously just to be sure...see the papers I posted earlier, Jo Dunkley's work...etc. etc. etc. etc. etc.