Agrippa said:
Since this discussion is starting to develop some tangents, I'll restate my position just so it's clear.
1) Greed and hatred are fundamental aspects of human existence. Some people are more afflicted with those traits than others.
Agreed.
Agrippa said:
2) Since those aspects exist, some humans will be driven to attack their fellow man.
Agreed.
Agrippa said:
3) Some may be deterred through threat of the law, but others will carry through regardless of the consequences. Those men can at times only be stopped by violence. That violence won't stop the problems of greed, hatred, etc, but it will stop the immediate threat of the invader.
In some cases, in others it may fail, the invader may be victorious, or it may only be a partial victory, you may fend off the invader, only for them to reappear next week, next year, next decade etc. Unless the underlying issues are addressed.
Agrippa said:
4) The near destruction of the tribal system of government has vastly decreased the need for violent confrontation; we are in a much better position to solve our difference diplomatically.
Agreed. It is the development along this path which renders war more and more futile. It is a poor method of solving differences. Defense may be necessary in some cases, but whether it is justified or not, violence never fails to raise more problems than it can solve.
Agrippa said:
5) There are many cases of unnecessary wars and wars solely for aggrandizement; these greatly outnumber the necessary wars.
Agreed.
Agrippa said:
Yes, WWII resulted in the Cold War. But how are you going to stop Hitler in 1939? Let's look at the people who could have impacted the situation in 1939. Where were they in 1919, the period of Versailles? Churchill was a disgraced member of the British government; after Gallipoli, no one was going to listen to him. FDR was the Assistant Secretary of the Navy whose superior, Josephus Daniels, Secretary of the Navy, fully supported Wilson; FDR had very little ability to effect the situation. Stalin was a minor revolutionary in a nation that was in the midst of civil war. (I don't know where Chamberlain or Daldier were, so I'm unfortunately going to ignore them, let me know if one of them was a major player in 1919.) These men were thus confronted with a situation they could do little to change; they couldn't turn back the clock. They had to act within the framework they are given. And in that framework, Hitler had to be stopped. They couldn't have known that the Cold War would result from their actions.
The whole point is that WWI was a stupid war fought for no good reasons. Again and again opportunities were lost. Austria for example. Instead of treating the assasination as the act of terrorism it was, decided to issue a series of impossible ultimatums to the Serbian government, they actually agreed to two of them, but not the third, which they wanted to send to arbitration. There were plenty of other options, but Austria declared war anyway, and this was the action which catapulted all the alliances into activity, and ultimately brought us the war.
In the aftermath of all of this, rather than recognising the futility of the war, the allies chose to punish Germany. Wilson was against this, and favoured a more equitable solution. He didn't get it. The underlying problems of nationalism, complicated alliances, military rivalry, colonial and economic rivalries were all still there. Europe was shattered, but none of these problems had been addressed or dealt with, and in many cases had been added to. In adition there were many other problems. I'm not saying that any of the players you mention in WWII were there, or could have changed course in 1919, or even before the war, but the fact remains that the war solved nothing, and poor decisions were taken both before and after the war. Trying to stop Hitler in 1939 was a problem. Stopping the situation in 1919 or even pre WWI which gifted him his rise to power would have been exceedingly simple.
Agrippa said:
The problem was solved for several generations of people. I ask you how else were the Romans and the Byzantines to preserve their security? What did the Germans, Arabs, and Turks want? Easy wealth that can be obtained from plundering peasants. The only way to stop it is to be as poor as the nomads. That is how the Britons managed to stop the raids of the Scots, Irish, and Picts before the arrival of the Anglo-Saxons, they was simply nothing left for the barbarians to plunder.
I think there is a problem comparing the tribal society and its lack of stability to modern warfare. That said, none of the fighting you mentioned provided a solution to any of the problems, they merely postponed the next chapter. Negotiation, which in those circumstances was pretty much impossible, is now the best tool we have. War has always been a blunt instrument, and a poor way of settling differences. However it used to be the only practical way. It no longer is.
Agrippa said:
Quite simply, nothing is permanent. The best you can hope to accomplish is to preserve the best standard of living and the best security for your people as long as possible. After the Arab nomads swept through the Middle East, the Byzantines managed to provide three centuries of peace for Asia Minor and seven centuries of peace for the people of Constantinople and western Asia Minor.
That may well be the best you can provide in the middle ages, and previously. However we can do a great deal better than that now: we can settle age old disputes, and avoid making new ones. We can do both of these with ease. We do not.
Agrippa said:
If you think it is possible to remove greed and hate from the human mind, I applaud you and wish you the best of success. I just don't think its possible. As long as those two factors exist, there will exist people who can only be stopped with brute force.
We will never irradicate it, but we have lessened those instincts over the last 1000 years, and we can lessen their impact on the world still further.
Agrippa said:
As I mentioned before, the people in charge in 1939 had very little impact on the situation of 1919.
I don't see why this is the tack you want to take. The people in 1919 could have had a huge impact on the face of Europe and the world by making better decisions. You may say that this is hindsight, but seriously, where did they think the Versaille treaty was going to lead? Did they think all the pre war problems were just going to 'go away'? This kind of approach we see now. We have spent the last 50 years stirring the middle east with a big stick. The recent escapade is going to cause us trouble for at least another 50 years. That was an obvious outcome. Afghanistan. The same mistakes made by the British twice in the 19th century, once by the Soviets in the 20th century, were repeated by the US and UK - namely we marched in, scattered the opposition, made the mistake of thinking we had won, took our eye off the ball, and now we are sending in more troops to try and fix all the problems we have made SINCE the invasion, never mind the ones which predate it. We need to think before we act, and be a bit less keen to get out our guns.
I supported the war in Afghanistan, because it needed to happen. War is a poor problem solver, but sometimes it is the only option left. In this case we failed to solve the problems even with war, and created several more.
Agrippa said:
Clearly, the world would have been better off without the way Japan was abruptly pulled into the modern world, without the Great Depression that propelled Hitler to power, and if the Entente had demolished the German General Staff. But in 1939, the best option was to stop Hitler.
Only because of previous use of war as a problem solving tool.
War may be necessary at times, but I repeat, it doesn't solve problems, it only has the power to postpone them. Problem solving has to be done alongside and in the aftermath of any acts of violence which are deemed to be necessary.
Recent examples of this would include the end of the cold war, and IRA decomissioning.