- Dec 17, 2010
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I've been there. It was way back in 2004. The origins of my thinking were more secular, and scientific, as I had just joined an online group that was in a particularly scary part of the environmental movement. It almost operated like a secular cult.
They predicted all kinds of Mad Max Doomer scenarios for the 2010's. I'm not going into the whole subject of peak oil now (and I remain convinced there are significant geopolitical risks - see point 4 the Export Land Model). But I am also now very optimistic that there are attractive solutions to living with less or even without oil. (After all, from a climate point of view we can't even burn all the remaining oil let alone the gas and coal.)
But back in 2004 I didn't know what I know all the solutions I know today. I was convinced the threats were real - but wanted action to mitigate the coming horrors. But my continual arguments for hope and action did not convince many people in that group. One young man was convinced that in just a few years he would be forced to watch his family starve to death in the terror of societal collapse. He could not cope, and rode his pushbike out to his favourite national park, climbed up a tree, and hung himself. To this day I hold the Doomer leader of that email group responsible.
Restoring Mayberry: The moment of darkness
In a similar way, I worry about the side-effects of the futurist time-tables here.
First of all, I worry about the young people reading all your blogs and putting their hope in various short-term timetables of the Lord's return. What if they believe you? What if they LIVE BY your blog – and make terrible and unwise decisions in the mania that such “knowledge” can sometimes cause? What happens when your timetable does not come true - the way so many other timetables have failed before?
They might give up Christ, the worst outcome.
It can also have other effects. “Knowing” the end of the world can give the easily influenced an exciting mission and purpose, make them feel superior to others just getting on with their lives - and also give them a personal martyr complex as everyone around them rejects their mania. It’s such a well known phenomenon amongst both religious and secular Doomers that it has a name - “Cassandra Syndrome”. It can make people do and say some very unwise things, sometimes with profound consequences and regrets.
Cassandra (metaphor) - Wikipedia
Second, I worry about this superiority complex many in both religious and secular cults get. They think they *know* what is coming - and it makes them superior to others. They're special, like Sarah Connor from the Terminator movies. They sort of look down at everyone else as mere consumers. They are special, but we uninformed masses are just the "Sheeple", just getting on with our silly middle-class lives. But how does this display Christian humility? We are meant to be so grateful for our forgiveness of sins that the gospel overwhelms us and we want to talk about it - with gentleness and respect - with everyone we meet. Not some silly unverifiable timetable.
Third, I strongly suspect many Christians fall for the security of this worldview. Back in the day, I was watching some Christian friends on the ABC's religion show, Compass. My friends were called on because they had are experts in Millennial fears. Dr John Dickson and Dr Greg Clarke wrote "666 and all that" – a great little book that covers the Amil case. But more relevant is the interview with the psychologist as to why Apocalyptic Thinking is so attractive. I’ll hand you all over to Compass.
___
Narrator: "Psychologists like Susan Tanner are also concerned about the impact of doomsday thinking."
THE PSYCHOLOGIST: Susan Tanner: "Now many things are not predictable. The world is a very uncertain place. People change their jobs, organisations fold, collapse, you know, There is no guarantee in anything any more...Global threats like war, climate change certainly create anxiety too because the future is no longer guaranteed... ....that sort of unpredictability and uncertainty creates a lot of anxiety, and anxiety is often a precursor to depression."
"Unresolved anxiety sets people up for depression, because you can then feel despondent that well there actually isn't anything I can do. Because climate change is out of my hands, terrorism is out of my hands..."
"So that can lead to what's called catastrophic thinking, that imagining the worst scenario of what might happen and then believing that that's what will happen."
Narrator: "Surprisingly, being certain about the end can actually bring relief to those suffering anxiety..."
Susan Tanner: "Apocalyptic thinking can be very useful to people who need to feel a sense of control, and that they therefore feel calm because they know what's going to happen. Living with uncertainty, living with a question mark is the hardest thing to do for all human beings. We like to know what's going to happen. That's why we visit clairvoyants and you know we have our tarots read and all sorts of things...."
COMPASS: Apocalypse Now?
They predicted all kinds of Mad Max Doomer scenarios for the 2010's. I'm not going into the whole subject of peak oil now (and I remain convinced there are significant geopolitical risks - see point 4 the Export Land Model). But I am also now very optimistic that there are attractive solutions to living with less or even without oil. (After all, from a climate point of view we can't even burn all the remaining oil let alone the gas and coal.)
But back in 2004 I didn't know what I know all the solutions I know today. I was convinced the threats were real - but wanted action to mitigate the coming horrors. But my continual arguments for hope and action did not convince many people in that group. One young man was convinced that in just a few years he would be forced to watch his family starve to death in the terror of societal collapse. He could not cope, and rode his pushbike out to his favourite national park, climbed up a tree, and hung himself. To this day I hold the Doomer leader of that email group responsible.
Restoring Mayberry: The moment of darkness
In a similar way, I worry about the side-effects of the futurist time-tables here.
First of all, I worry about the young people reading all your blogs and putting their hope in various short-term timetables of the Lord's return. What if they believe you? What if they LIVE BY your blog – and make terrible and unwise decisions in the mania that such “knowledge” can sometimes cause? What happens when your timetable does not come true - the way so many other timetables have failed before?
They might give up Christ, the worst outcome.
It can also have other effects. “Knowing” the end of the world can give the easily influenced an exciting mission and purpose, make them feel superior to others just getting on with their lives - and also give them a personal martyr complex as everyone around them rejects their mania. It’s such a well known phenomenon amongst both religious and secular Doomers that it has a name - “Cassandra Syndrome”. It can make people do and say some very unwise things, sometimes with profound consequences and regrets.
Cassandra (metaphor) - Wikipedia
Second, I worry about this superiority complex many in both religious and secular cults get. They think they *know* what is coming - and it makes them superior to others. They're special, like Sarah Connor from the Terminator movies. They sort of look down at everyone else as mere consumers. They are special, but we uninformed masses are just the "Sheeple", just getting on with our silly middle-class lives. But how does this display Christian humility? We are meant to be so grateful for our forgiveness of sins that the gospel overwhelms us and we want to talk about it - with gentleness and respect - with everyone we meet. Not some silly unverifiable timetable.
Third, I strongly suspect many Christians fall for the security of this worldview. Back in the day, I was watching some Christian friends on the ABC's religion show, Compass. My friends were called on because they had are experts in Millennial fears. Dr John Dickson and Dr Greg Clarke wrote "666 and all that" – a great little book that covers the Amil case. But more relevant is the interview with the psychologist as to why Apocalyptic Thinking is so attractive. I’ll hand you all over to Compass.
___
Narrator: "Psychologists like Susan Tanner are also concerned about the impact of doomsday thinking."
THE PSYCHOLOGIST: Susan Tanner: "Now many things are not predictable. The world is a very uncertain place. People change their jobs, organisations fold, collapse, you know, There is no guarantee in anything any more...Global threats like war, climate change certainly create anxiety too because the future is no longer guaranteed... ....that sort of unpredictability and uncertainty creates a lot of anxiety, and anxiety is often a precursor to depression."
"Unresolved anxiety sets people up for depression, because you can then feel despondent that well there actually isn't anything I can do. Because climate change is out of my hands, terrorism is out of my hands..."
"So that can lead to what's called catastrophic thinking, that imagining the worst scenario of what might happen and then believing that that's what will happen."
Narrator: "Surprisingly, being certain about the end can actually bring relief to those suffering anxiety..."
Susan Tanner: "Apocalyptic thinking can be very useful to people who need to feel a sense of control, and that they therefore feel calm because they know what's going to happen. Living with uncertainty, living with a question mark is the hardest thing to do for all human beings. We like to know what's going to happen. That's why we visit clairvoyants and you know we have our tarots read and all sorts of things...."
COMPASS: Apocalypse Now?