Is it really true that we have to understand Earth’s history to find oil?
Sometimes people reach the right conclusion for the wrong reason. Let’s use a silly example. We all know that leprechauns store their gold at the end of a rainbow. Fewer people know that leprechauns store their oil underground near Bakersfield, California. There certainly is oil under the ground around Bakersfield, but that doesn’t prove that leprechauns put it there.
You may know where oil is without knowing how it got there. Oil is often trapped in porous rock under non-porous rock. So, if you can determine what kinds of rock are below you, you may be able to find oil even if you don’t know how those rocks were formed.
Furthermore, we should point out that one might argue with the assertion, “Oil exploration geologists are generally pretty successful”. They aren’t as “lucky” as you might expect. Forty years ago it was written,
Eight of every nine wells drilled in an area that has never before produced oil are dry.
That was an 11% success rate. Now we have more sensitive instruments, and computers with better algorithms for analyzing the data from those instruments. But, as of five years ago,
80 percent or more of the wildcats, exploratory wells drilled in untried or unproven regions, result in dry holes (wells that fail to strike oil or gas).
So, the modern success rate is still less than 20%. You could bet against the geologists, laying 4 to 1 odds, and make a profit in the long run.
The geologists who believe in creation are no more or less successful than the geologists who believe in evolution. They all use the same instruments, looking for the same kind of rock formations. It doesn’t matter if they believe those rock formations were formed rapidly by the flood, or formed slowly over millions of years, or were carved by leprechauns. They can be dead wrong about the way rocks form, and why oil is found where it is, and still find the oil. The child who thinks the Easter bunny hid the eggs is no less likely to find them than the child who knows Mom and Dad hid them.