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Global Warming---Oops!!

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NightHawkeye

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And it was explained to you your error there. The value shifted to higher levels with higher degrees of expertise in the field.

At the highest levels of expertise in the field according to the bounds of the study, the consensus was 97%.
About which you made the mistake of referring to as "incestuous" ...

... to which I readily agreed. :wave:


It seems then that we agree that the consensus among scientists generally is no more than about 74%.
 
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1Sam15

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About which you made the mistake of referring to as "incestuous" ...

... to which I readily agreed. :wave:


It seems then that we agree that the consensus among scientists generally is no more than about 74%.

So you are not INTENTIONALLY FLAMING ME.

You were asked to stop making it sound like I agree with your weird takes on these things. Yet you cannot stop.

Thank you.
 
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bhsmte

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And it was explained to you your error there. The value shifted to higher levels with higher degrees of expertise in the field.

At the highest levels of expertise in the field according to the bounds of the study, the consensus was 97%.

You should know better than to ignore what was said DIRECTLY TO YOU even if you disagree with it.

You should try to be more TRUTHFUL and give the FULL story about what that conversation entailed.

But I understand that's hard for you.

I would agree, it is important to poll scientists that specialize in this type of science. Just as someone who had cancer, would give much greater weight to the opinions from oncologists, as opposed to a family practice doc.
 
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NightHawkeye

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So you are not INTENTIONALLY FLAMING ME.
I'm not flaming you at all. Numerous words have been used to describe the fact that people within a tight knit discipline tend to develop "group think". I simply used your description rather than using a different descriptor.
You were asked to stop making it sound like I agree with your weird takes on these things. Yet you cannot stop.
It was your reference which indicated the 74%, IIRC. Perhaps I should have indicated agreement with your reference of 74%. :wave:
 
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BostonTzar

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It's not a myth. At least two independent studies using different measures found the figure of about 97% consensus in the field.

With my degree and experience in earth sciences I've seen more people who believe agw is real than not.

Science isn't done by consensus, but a good hypothesis will, over time, develop a consensus.

The really cool thing about global climate change science is the basic science is pretty reasonable and makes sense. It's hard to argue with a century or two of thermodynamics, physics and chemistry.

The subtle details around climate change may be more difficult to grasp, but the basics are easy enough to grasp. And the science so far seems pretty lined up in the direction that global climate change is real and likely mostly caused by human activity.
About that overwhelming 97-98% number of scientists that say there is a climate consensus… | Watts Up With That?
you been had.
 
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1Sam15

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Oh...is that the only study you know about? What about the PNAS study using a COMPLETELY DIFFERENT methodology? (HERE)

The beauty of this study is it doesn't rely on "voluntary responses"! It's based on citation analysis (an actual "thing", a real field of study).

I find it sad that debating against "skeptics" I have to find out how abysmally lacking they are in a full knowledge of the data.

Tsk tsk. Do your homework! We have! ;)
 
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1Sam15

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I'm not flaming you at all.

You knew that stating "It seems then that we agree that the consensus among scientists generally is no more than about 74%." you would inflame my anger.

Because when you said "no more than" YOU BASICALLY MAKE IT SOUND LIKE I AGREE WITH THAT WHICH I CLEARLY DO NOT NOR HAVE I EVER SAID THAT WITH THAT LIMITATION "no more than".

You MUST have known that. SURELY.

You do it all the time to people. I took you to task on this point NUMEROUS TIMES. Yet you continue to do it.

It was your reference which indicated the 74%, IIRC. Perhaps I should have indicated agreement with your reference of 74%. :wave:

You are playing a very dishonest game, Nighthawkeye. But keep it up. By all means keep playing your "game".
 
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NightHawkeye

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You knew that stating "It seems then that we agree that the consensus among scientists generally is no more than about 74%." you would inflame my anger.
Ummh ... no. There was nothing inflammatory in my post.
I took you to task on this point NUMEROUS TIMES.
I've taken you to task numerous times for your posting inaccuracies. You don't get a free pass to post without being taken to task.

That's the way this forum works.

You are playing a very dishonest game, Nighthawkeye.
Because I don't agree with you? No.

I'm simply posting honestly.
 
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NightHawkeye

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^_^^_^^_^^_^^_^^_^^_^^_^

Wow....fractal.
OK, then ... if we're ready to get back on topic, there's this letter from a number of distinguished scientists.


No Need to Panic About Global Warming | There's no compelling scientific argument for drastic action to 'decarbonize' the world's economy.
Editor's Note: The following has been signed by the 16 scientists listed at the end of the article:

A candidate for public office in any contemporary democracy may have to consider what, if anything, to do about "global warming." Candidates should understand that the oft-repeated claim that nearly all scientists demand that something dramatic be done to stop global warming is not true. In fact, a large and growing number of distinguished scientists and engineers do not agree that drastic actions on global warming are needed.
In September, Nobel Prize-winning physicist Ivar Giaever, a supporter of President Obama in the last election, publicly resigned from the American Physical Society (APS) with a letter that begins: "I did not renew [my membership] because I cannot live with the [APS policy] statement: 'The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth's physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now.' In the APS it is OK to discuss whether the mass of the proton changes over time and how a multi-universe behaves, but the evidence of global warming is incontrovertible?"
Signatories:
Claude Allegre, former director of the Institute for the Study of the Earth, University of Paris;
J. Scott Armstrong, cofounder of the Journal of Forecasting and the International Journal of Forecasting;
Jan Breslow, head of the Laboratory of Biochemical Genetics and Metabolism, Rockefeller University;
Roger Cohen, fellow, American Physical Society;
Edward David, member, National Academy of Engineering and National Academy of Sciences;
William Happer, professor of physics, Princeton;
Michael Kelly, professor of technology, University of Cambridge, U.K.;
William Kininmonth, former head of climate research at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology;
Richard Lindzen, professor of atmospheric sciences, MIT;
James McGrath, professor of chemistry, Virginia Technical University;
Rodney Nichols, former president and CEO of the New York Academy of Sciences;
Burt Rutan, aerospace engineer, designer of Voyager and SpaceShipOne;
Harrison H. Schmitt, Apollo 17 astronaut and former U.S. senator;
Nir Shaviv, professor of astrophysics, Hebrew University, Jerusalem;
Henk Tennekes, former director, Royal Dutch Meteorological Service;
Antonio Zichichi, president of the World Federation of Scientists, Geneva.
 
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1Sam15

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OK, then ... if we're ready to get back on topic, there's this letter from a number of distinguished scientists.

I'm glad you agree that we will simply have to put up with your dishonest posting style for the time being.

URL="http://online.wsj.com

Can't you find an up-to-date SCIENCE journal? Or does the Wall Street Journal double as where you get your technical info?


Editor's Note: The following has been signed by the 16 scientists listed at the end of the article

Appeal to authority. Fail.

A candidate for public office in any contemporary democracy may have to consider what, if anything, to do about "global warming." Candidates should understand that the oft-repeated claim that nearly all scientists demand that something dramatic be done to stop global warming is not true. In fact, a large and growing number of distinguished scientists and engineers do not agree that drastic actions on global warming are needed.


But these distinguished scientists can be bothered with PROVING this point, eh? What? No STUDIES?

Well, sorry I'm still going with the data. Whether you think it flawed or not, at least it IS data.

I should think YOUR NEW FAVORITE AUTHORITIES to which you will now appeal non-stop would know the value of DATA.

What am I saying? It's 16 signatories! WOW!!!!!

In September, Nobel Prize-winning physicist

Well! Of COURSE this is the ultimate appeal to authority. I gave the WSJ more credit than to fall for a debate fallacy such as this.

Ivar Giaever

And what, exactly does a Nobel on TUNNELING IN SUPERCONDUCTORS have to do with all this?

Are you going to post some TECHNICAL INFORMATION anytime soon?

-yawn-
 
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NightHawkeye

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I'm glad you agree that we will simply have to put up with your dishonest posting style for the time being.
Do you ever reflect on your own posting style?
mirror-reflection.jpg
 
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NightHawkeye

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Just like I said. Not enough ice, global warming. Too much ice, global warming. The global warming religionists can't lose (Heads I win, Tails you lose)
Right on cue ... the White House has provided a video:
The Polar Vortex Explained in 2 Minutes - YouTube
“If you’ve been hearing that extreme cold spells, like the one we’re having in the United States now, disproves global warming, don’t believe it,” President Barack Obama’s science adviser, Dr. John Holdren says in the video posted to the official White House YouTube channel.

“A growing body of evidence suggests that the extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern that we can expect to see with increasing frequency as global warming continues,” he adds.

White House: Global Warming Probably Responsible For ‘Polar Vortex,’ Record Low Temperatures Across U.S. | TheBlaze.com
 
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USincognito

a post by Alan Smithee
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That's what freed the ship. The discussion is about what trapped the ship, unexpected heavy ice

Says the guy who doesn't understand the difference between glacial and sea ice. The winds were what caused the packed ice.
 
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USincognito

a post by Alan Smithee
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Both sides are all about politics. That's the point.

Sorry, but no. Some of us aren't even mentioning politics or economics except to point out to deniers - for whom it is all about politics - that neither of those subjects change the scientific facts.
 
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MachZer0

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Right on cue ... the White House has provided a video:
The Polar Vortex Explained in 2 Minutes - YouTube
“If you’ve been hearing that extreme cold spells, like the one we’re having in the United States now, disproves global warming, don’t believe it,” President Barack Obama’s science adviser, Dr. John Holdren says in the video posted to the official White House YouTube channel.

“A growing body of evidence suggests that the extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern that we can expect to see with increasing frequency as global warming continues,” he adds.

White House: Global Warming Probably Responsible For ‘Polar Vortex,’ Record Low Temperatures Across U.S. | TheBlaze.com
I love this part:

"the extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern that we can expect to see with increasing frequency as global warming continues,”
:D:D:D
 
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