What sort of facts could prove it?
Does anyone have any?
Does anyone have any?
Wasn't the "gotcha" OP thought it was, lol.None. Science is an exercise of inductive logic. Evidence can confirm a scientific theory, but it is never "proven" in the sense of deductive logic. Thus it is never accepted as absolute truth, only as provisional truth. Or, in other words, as the best explanation available to date based on the evidence now in hand. Any evidence which turns up in future which does not confirm the theory will require it to be modified or abandoned in favor of a new theory which comprises all the old evidence plus the new evidence. That's why Estrid titled her thread the way she did.
Thanks for the intellectually honest answer. So some of us here are being asked to disprove something which hasn't been proven. I'm not good at coming up with analogies but it might be like being asked to un-bake a cake which hasn't been baked.None. Science is an exercise of inductive logic. Evidence can confirm a scientific theory, but it is never "proven" in the sense of deductive logic. Thus it is never accepted as absolute truth, only as provisional truth. Or, in other words, as the best explanation available to date based on the evidence now in hand. Any evidence which turns up in future which does not confirm the theory will require it to be modified or abandoned in favor of a new theory which comprises all the old evidence plus the new evidence. That's why Estrid titled her thread the way she did.
You might want to re-think that.Wasn't the "gotcha" OP thought it was, lol.
Have you ever heard of the "black swan" analogy? I've seen swans in various places all my life. Hundreds of them, and they've always been white. I can even write a "theory" that says all swans are white. I will have some degree of confidence (but never certainty) that all swans are white but I can never say my theory is proven. On the other hand, seeing just one black swan will disprove it.Thanks for the intellectually honest answer. So some of us here are being asked to disprove something which hasn't been proven. I'm not good at coming up with analogies but it might be like being asked to un-bake a cake which hasn't been baked.
You might want to re-think that.
I'm not sure why defenders of science so consistently answer in this way. No, science does not prove thing in the sense of deductive logic, but that's not what most people mean when they use the word 'prove'. One proves that someone is guilty in court, for example, or an idea you had proves to be false. In that sense, 'prove' means to support an idea with evidence sufficient to clear some threshold -- 'preponderance of evidence', for example, for civil cases in US courts, or 'beyond a reasonable doubt' for criminal cases. Scientific thresholds to accept a claim are usually stricter than either of those, at least in the physical sciences. By those standards, evolution (or more specifically, common descent) has long since been proven by a mountain of facts.None. Science is an exercise of inductive logic. Evidence can confirm a scientific theory, but it is never "proven" in the sense of deductive logic.
I know. But to be scrupulously correct to a person who thinks he has a "gotcha" it is necessary to point out the difference between deductive and inductive logic. Most of the time (as in this case) there is an attempt at a sophistical play on the various meanings of "prove" which has to be nipped in the bud.I'm not sure why defenders of science so consistently answer in this way. No, science does not prove thing in the sense of deductive logic, but that's not what most people mean when they use the word 'prove'. One proves that someone is guilty in court, for example, or an idea you had proves to be false. In that sense, 'prove' means to support an idea with evidence sufficient to clear some threshold -- 'preponderance of evidence', for example, for civil cases in US courts, or 'beyond a reasonable doubt' for criminal cases. Scientific thresholds to accept a claim are usually stricter than either of those, at least in the physical sciences. By those standards, evolution (or more specifically, common descent) has long since been proven by a mountain of facts.
Theories are used to explain the facts/evidence. You don't come up with a theory and try to find evidence to prove it. You form a theory to fit the known evidence, and adjust or scrap the theory if conflicting evidence turns up.What sort of facts could prove it?
Does anyone have any?
What sort of facts could prove it?
Does anyone have any?
Have you ever heard of the "black swan" analogy? I've seen swans in various places all my life. Hundreds of them, and they've always been white. I can even write a "theory" that says all swans are white. I will have some degree of confidence (but never certainty) that all swans are white but I can never say my theory is proven. On the other hand, seeing just one black swan will disprove it.
Yes I think I first heard of that from C. S. Lewis. Also, there was a time when scientists thought water always boiled at a certain temperature, until someone tried boiling water on a mountain top. So I guess the lesson is we should not jump to conclusions, we should not rush to judgement, even if the rush involves a couple hundred years.Have you ever heard of the "black swan" analogy? I've seen swans in various places all my life. Hundreds of them, and they've always been white. I can even write a "theory" that says all swans are white. I will have some degree of confidence (but never certainty) that all swans are white but I can never say my theory is proven. On the other hand, seeing just one black swan will disprove it.
The other thing to keep in mind is that once a new theory is, in its turn, falsified, there is no default to the earlier theory. Such was the fate of YECism.Yes I think I first heard of that from C. S. Lewis. Also, there was a time when scientists thought water always boiled at a certain temperature, until someone tried boiling water on a mountain top. So I guess the lesson is we should not jump to conclusions, we should not rush to judgement, even if the rush involves a couple hundred years.
And many innocent people have served lengthy prison sentences.I'm not sure why defenders of science so consistently answer in this way. No, science does not prove thing in the sense of deductive logic, but that's not what most people mean when they use the word 'prove'. One proves that someone is guilty in court, for example, or an idea you had proves to be false. In that sense, 'prove' means to support an idea with evidence sufficient to clear some threshold -- 'preponderance of evidence', for example, for civil cases in US courts, or 'beyond a reasonable doubt' for criminal cases. Scientific thresholds to accept a claim are usually stricter than either of those, at least in the physical sciences.
The OP asked for facts. If you've got a mountain full, just give me one.By those standards, evolution (or more specifically, common descent) has long since been proven by a mountain of facts.
I didn't see you complain about Estrid asking her question, but when I do the same it's sophistry?I know. But to be scrupulously correct to a person who thinks he has a "gotcha" it is necessary to point out the difference between deductive and inductive logic. Most of the time (as in this case) there is an attempt at a sophistical play on the various meanings of "prove" which has to be nipped in the bud.
I agree. Theories are attempts at explaining facts. They are not themselves facts.Theories are used to explain the facts/evidence. You don't come up with a theory and try to find evidence to prove it. You form a theory to fit the known evidence, and adjust or scrap the theory if conflicting evidence turns up.
I agree. Theories are attempts at explaining facts. They are not themselves facts.
You're not alone. Many folk from the Northern hemisphere are surprised to discover that Australian swans are black.Curses! My theory is ruined!