Eating plums and getting back pain

[Tomm]

Indigo is fond of eating plums, but whenever he goes swimming,
he'll likely get back pain if he eats plums before swimming. The
probability is 80%. Ouch.

Which of the following is correct??

• We may conclude there is definitely a causal relationship between eating plums and getting back pain while swimming, generally speaking;
  
• We may conclude there is definitely a causal relationship between eating plums and getting back pain while swimming, in the case of Indigo.

(causal relationship between X and Y means: X causes Y)

 

[brinny]

Ok, both possibilities look the same to me.....however the second one seems more specific, therefore it seems the more likely choice.

Poor Indigo.

 

[Radrook]

I'm plumb sure that the second one is the correct answer.

 

[brinny]

I'm plumb sure that the second one is the correct answer.

LOL!

 

[Tomm]

Are you sure ?

 

[brinny]

Are you sure ?

Oh no......

is this a trick question?

 

[Tomm]

Oh no......

is this a trick question?

Yeah, it is. I wouldn't post it if it were so easy.

 

[brinny]

Yeah, it is. I wouldn't post it if it were so easy.

 

[Tomm]

The answer: both are incorrect.

 

[Radrook]

What is wrong with the second option?

 

[Tomm]

What is wrong with the second option?

In the wording -- We may conclude there is definitely a causal relationship between eating plums and getting back pain while swimming, in the case of Indigo.

It should be -- We may conclude there might be a causal relationship between eating plums and getting back pain while swimming, in the case of Indigo.

 

[Radrook]

In the wording -- We may conclude there is definitely a causal relationship between eating plums and getting back pain while swimming, in the case of Indigo.

It should be -- We may conclude there might be a causal relationship between eating plums and getting back pain while swimming, in the case of Indigo.

I think that the inference or inductive leap is fully justified by the frequency of the pattern which involves the obvious and unfailing temporal priority of the stimulus followed by the response.

 

[Tomm]

I think that the inference or inductive leap is fully justified by the frequency of the pattern which involves the obvious and unfailing temporal priority of the stimulus followed by the response.

Did you mean the 2nd statement (We may conclude there is definitely a causal relationship between eating plums and getting back pain while swimming, in the case of Indigo) is correct?

No, it's incorrect.

 

[*LILAC]

You sure it's Indigo and not indigestion?

 

[LaSorcia]

I think Indigo is just a hypochondriac.