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BobRyan

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politics/election-prediction-model-shows-trump-opening-up-a-10-point-lead

"Election prediction model shows Trump opening up a 10-point lead.
It still shows Harris with the best chance of winning the popular vote (it gives her 50.8 percent support and a 65 percent chance of coming out with more votes in November). But state-by-state numbers all show the Blue Wall of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan moving towards Trump, giving him the overall advantage when it comes to winning the White House."

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Popular vote winners vs Electoral college winners


Looks like Bill Clinton started a spree of winning the electoral college while getting less than 50% of the popular vote in that link above.
 

Fantine

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Trump must be spending a ton of money.
But young people are registering in record numbers.
Harris has a very strong lead among women, who vote in greater numbers. Trump leads with men-- by only 4 points.
 
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AlonzoJahue

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According to this poll which is a compilation of 214 polls. The average shows that Kamala Harris is ahead by 4.1%.

 
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