Donald Trump's Big Election Win Is Part of a Major Global Trend

[Vambram]

Donald Trump's big election win is part of a major global trend

Donald Trump's win is part of a larger global trend of not supporting the incumbent party in elections this year.

www.newsweek.com

President-elect Donald Trump's recent victory in the U.S. presidential election is part of a larger global trend of anti-incumbency sentiment and populist appeals to voters, as nearly half the world has held elections this year.
More than 60 countries have held elections in 2024. Billions of people were faced with a choice to choose their country's next leader, and overwhelmingly, more voters than before cast their ballot for the non-incumbent party candidate.
Over the year, most ruling parties in office, regardless of political ideology, have consistently failed on Election Day, with more voters than expected supporting opposition, non-incumbent parties and candidates.

Tuesday's U.S. presidential election appears to fall in line with the trend of anti-incumbency sentiment, Joshua Tucker, a politics professor at New York University, told Newsweek.
Although determining incumbency was particularly unusual this election, as Trump previously served as America's 45th president and Vice President Kamala Harris serves in the Biden administration, "she became the incumbent, even if it wasn't a hundred percent clear ahead of time," Tucker said.
Trump secured the popular vote and the Electoral College against his Democratic opponent. In the weeks leading up to the election, some forecasts showed Trump ahead by a small margin, while most national aggregate polls found Harris leading in the popular vote.
"I think clearly we've now seen as demonstrated by the exit polls, the people that were unhappy about the direction of the country, unhappy about the economy, they broke decisively against Harris," Tucker said.
A CNN exit poll released Tuesday night showed that 72 percent of Americans who voted in the 2024 election are unhappy with the country's current direction.
Harris received over 68 million votes on Tuesday, more than 13 million less than President Joe Biden received in 2020. This drop in the incumbent party's vote share has repeatedly occurred across the globe this year, with some exceptions.

In Asia, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party lost its majority in parliamentary elections in late October, while in April, South Korea's opposition Democrat Party won a majority in the National Assembly.

Europe also saw similar trends, with the opposition Labour Party defeating the governing Conservative Party in the United Kingdom this July. In the European Parliament, far-right parties made notable gains, and in France, Marine Le Pen's National Rally party won 50 more seats in the country's assembly compared to 2022.

In India, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, "who was known as the most popular politician in the world also lost his majority at a time in an election where people thought he was going to get a supermajority. Instead, he had to go into coalition government," Tucker told Newsweek. Modi has an over 70 percent approval rating.
Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party, which has governed for the past decade, saw narrower results in June, winning 240 out of 543 seats in the lower house of Parliament.

 

[Fantine]

Disinformation from the sworn enemies of freedom--Russia and China--played a big part.
It astonished me to see so many people reject exhaustively researched facts, often backed up by the subject's iwn appearance on video--in favor of Putin's lies.

 

[Vambram]

Disinformation from the sworn enemies of freedom--Russia and China--played a big part.
It astonished me to see so many people reject exhaustively researched facts, often backed up by the subject's iwn appearance on video--in favor of Putin's lies.

Are you ignoring the facts that there is a global trend among voters to reject incumbents in power whom are in favor of globalists ideology that are detrimental to the interests of the citizens voters in each one of the nations mentioned in the Newsweek article?

 

[Akita Suggagaki]

Are you ignoring the facts that there is a global trend among voters to reject incumbents in power whom are in favor of globalists ideology that are detrimental to the interests of the citizens voters in each one of the nations mentioned in the Newsweek article?

"Over the year, most ruling parties in office, regardless of political ideology, have consistently failed on Election Day, with more voters than expected supporting opposition, non-incumbent parties and candidates."

"In addition to anti-incumbency sentiment, Tucker noted that "there seems to be willingness among voters to consider new and alternative options, and in particular to consider populist appeals." From OP

"Populism isn’t a Right-wing or Left-wing ideology. Populism isn’t an ideology at all…It’s about feelings, not ideas. Populism isn’t conservative or liberal, Republican or Democratic. But it is both MAGA and BLM, both QAnon and Antifa — AOC in a Boogaloo Boys Hawaiian shirt."

https://www.cato.org/commentary/americas-populism-problem

 

[comana]

Are you ignoring the facts that there is a global trend among voters to reject incumbents in power whom are in favor of globalists ideology that are detrimental to the interests of the citizens voters in each one of the nations mentioned in the Newsweek article?

It seems pretty simple. There was a global pandemic resulting in global inflation. It wasn’t resolved prior to the next election and voters went with the opposition in hopes of something different to fix their economy.

 

[RDKirk]

There have been only four times in US history that vice-presidents have won the succeeding election to the presidency.

The first two times were the first two vice-presidents, Thomas Jefferson and John Adams. But remember at that time, the vice-president was the person who had opposed the president in the previous election, so their wins were actually anti-incumbency votes.

The only other times in US history that vice-presidents have won the succeeding election was Lyndon Johnson and George HW Bush. In those cases, they were following two very popular presidents and the nation wanted to continue the course.

In this case, Biden was an unpopular president...and then Harris said for the record that she wouldn't have changed anything Biden did.

 

[rambot]

Anytime I see that word "globalist", I giggle.

The left and right sides of the spectrum have pretty much reversed their stance on this since the 90s.

Back then I was PROTESTING against free trade agreement and I was anti-globalization. I saw all these things as a threat to jobs in Canada. But of course, it was a conservative government and they pushed it all through.

Turns out the Left side of the spectrum was pretty much bang on with our prognostications. Many manufacturing jobs were lost; rich people got richer and working class got less and less. The right at the time were either silent or saw the benefit of cheaper goods (nominally so).

Now that the cat is out of the bag, the right is complaining about globalization. I can't say I'm attune enough to the prevailing sentiment about globalization from the left anymore. I can say they don't seem as as bothered by it. Frankly, what can really be done at this point?

In any case, due to my previous experience, I do NOT trust the right to be making good decisions around global economics since the spokesmen for that side tend to always suggest stuff that make rich people richer and if there is SOME benefit to the working class, that would be ideal.