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Chesterton

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Why is scientific consensus important? How do we ascribe a level of importance to consensus? The consensus can change when new facts become available, or when a majority decides to describe something in a different way, so, how important is it?
 

Michael

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Why is scientific consensus important? How do we ascribe a level of importance to consensus? The consensus can change when new facts become available, or when a majority decides to describe something in a different way, so, how important is it?

In scientific circles consensus can mean *everything* in terms of access to public funding and/or full access to all publishing channels.
 
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CabVet

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Why is scientific consensus important? How do we ascribe a level of importance to consensus? The consensus can change when new facts become available, or when a majority decides to describe something in a different way, so, how important is it?

Scientific consensus is only important for creationists that believe that there is a conspiracy against the Bible. In the time of Darwin, the scientific consensus was that God created every organism in this planet 6,000 years ago. Yet, look at where we are now. If the evidence is on your side, no consensus stands.
 
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CabVet

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In scientific circles consensus can mean *everything* in terms of access to public funding and/or full access to all publishing channels.

It filters the wheat out to keep the chaff.

You guys should go back in time and let Darwin know about this as apparently, he didn't get your memo. He didn't really care about the consensus in his time and presented a theory supported by strong evidence, which is rock solid after more than 150 years of scrutiny.
 
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lesliedellow

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Why is scientific consensus important? How do we ascribe a level of importance to consensus? The consensus can change when new facts become available, or when a majority decides to describe something in a different way, so, how important is it?

Because if you can persuade 1,000 people that something is true, it is more likely to be true than if you can persuade only one person.

Even if you could persuade ten, they might still belong to a small group predisposed towards some wacko theory or other (witness EU), but if you can persuade most appropriately qualified people that your theory is correct, then it is much less likely that some philosophical or other agenda is at work.
 
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Michael

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You guys should go back in time and let Darwin know about this as apparently, he didn't get your memo. He didn't really care about the consensus in his time and presented a theory supported by strong evidence, which is rock solid after more than 150 years of scrutiny.

Sure, and I personally prefer a 'non standard' cosmology theory that enjoys tons of *empirical* support too, but that doesn't negate my points.
 
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CabVet

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Sure, and I personally prefer a 'non standard' cosmology theory that enjoys tons of *empirical* support too, but that doesn't negate my points.

If your "theory" (I am sure you really mean hypothesis) enjoyed empirical support it would be published. There is no conspiracy theory.
 
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Michael

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If your "theory" (I am sure you really mean hypothesis) enjoyed empirical support it would be published. There is no conspiracy theory.

Much of it *is* published, not that most folks would even know that. Furthermore I've never claimed that there was a 'conspiracy', I'm simply noting the facts.
 
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AV1611VET

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You guys should go back in time and let Darwin know about this as apparently, he didn't get your memo. He didn't really care about the consensus in his time and presented a theory supported by strong evidence, which is rock solid after more than 150 years of scrutiny.
And maybe you should go back in time as well.

To a time when a certain woman said CONSENSUS OF OPINION CAN TAKE A HIKE, and ended up getting the President's [JFK] Award for Distinguished Federal Civilian Service.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_F._Kennedy
 
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CabVet

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And maybe you should go back in time as well.

To a time when a certain woman said CONSENSUS OF OPINION CAN TAKE A HIKE, and ended up getting the President's [JFK] Award for Distinguished Federal Civilian Service.

She had the lack of evidence and proper testing on her side. But thanks for posting another example of consensus taking a hike. As you showed, evolution can be challenged with proper reasoning, even if it is a consensus.

P.S.: The consensus that you are referring to was created, sponsored and pushed by pharmaceutical companies that wanted to profit, not scientists, but feel free to bear false witness. To use your own words, thalidomide happened in spite of science, not because of it.
 
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AV1611VET

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She had the lack of evidence and proper testing on her side.
That didn't do Europe & Canada much good, did it?
But thanks for posting another example of consensus taking a hike.
You're welcome.
As you showed, evolution can be challenged with proper reasoning, even if it is a consensus.
Right -- like rabbits in the Precambrian, that some in Wikipedia say probably wouldn't be a viable challenge?
P.S.: The consensus that you are referring to was created, sponsored and pushed by pharmaceutical companies that wanted to profit, not scientists,
Ya ... ya.

Heard that No True Scotsman bologna before.

I didn't believe it then; and I don't believe it now.
... but feel free to bear false witness.
I never fail to disappoint, do I?
To use your own words, thalidomide happened in spite of science, not because of it.
No.
 
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AV1611VET

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Science is not done by consensus.

But a good hypothesis can be expected to generate a consensus.
This "good hypothesis" generated ... well ... a whole generation of evidence, didn't it?
 
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Michael

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Science is not done by consensus.

That typically depends on whether it's empirical based physics, or "theoretical" physics.

But a good hypothesis can be expected to generate a consensus.

True. Alas however, bad ones sometimes generate a consensus as well. :(
 
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CabVet

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Wow ... that's just sad on so many levels.

At least I am agreeing with something that is correct based on observation, and not with something that is incorrect just because it happens to be compatible with my worldview.
 
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CabVet

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I never fail to disappoint, do I?

No, you do not. Here is a good definition for you:

Bearing false witness: to falsely accuse someone else of wrongdoing.

Examples:

Accusing "scientists" of being responsible for deaths cause by thalidomide = bearing false witness.

Accusing "scientists" of being responsible for abortions = bearing false witness.

Accusing "scientists" of being responsible for the crash of the Hindenburg = bearing false witness.

Accusing "scientists" of being responsible for the crash of the Challenger = bearing false witness.


Well, next time you say the same about the Bible and the crusades, I will take it with a grain of salt.
 
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