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Abiogenesis Harder than Once Thought

AV1611VET

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That's a negative.

The probability is 1:1.
No, you're wrong. The likelihood of the order of cards is just that. It's only 1.0 after the fact.

Didn't I say that?

The probability after the fact is 1:1 -- id est 1.0

The probability of anything happening after it happens is 1.0.

No kidding!?

The probability of a deck of cards being shuffled and dealt in random order is 1:1.

But the probability of a deck of cards being shuffled and dealt in an order predetermined is 1:52!

Roll a die and the probability of it coming up with any number on it is 1:1.

But claim you're going to roll a 5 before you roll it is 1:6.
 
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AV1611VET

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Even more specifically, if something was going to happen then something will happen regardless of how improbable a particular permutation.

But according to Genesis 1, what is the impetus? God? or mother nature?

That's the $64x10³ question.
 
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The Barbarian

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The probability of a deck of cards being shuffled and dealt in random order is 1:1.

But the probability of a deck of cards being shuffled and dealt in an order predetermined is 1:52!

Roll a die and the probability of it coming up with any number on it is 1:1.

But claim you're going to roll a 5 before you roll it is 1:6.
And now you've figured out what's wrong with the YEC "probability" argument.
 
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