The change came quietly, but with great effect: the IPC Hunger Index, the internationally recognized tool for measuring famine, has adjusted its criteria so that Gaza is now considered “affected by hunger”, even though previous standards would not have allowed this. The result: a global narrative that blames Israel.
At the end of Jul, the
IPC, the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, supported by the UN and 29 Western countries, published its new report. It states that Gaza is experiencing “widespread, extremely severe hunger.” This term, known in technical jargon as “famine,” is the strongest international classification for famine. Those classified as such are considered victims of an acute, life-threatening disaster.
The message of this report quickly became clear in international headlines: Israel is responsible for a hunger crisis in Gaza. Within hours, major media outlets around the world picked up on the wording – and thus conveyed an image to the public that carries heavy political and moral weight.
But now the US newspaper The Washington Free Beacon has revealed that the IPC changed the rules shortly before publication, without any public debate. The key change: previously, a famine was only declared when at least 30% of children in an area were suffering from severe malnutrition. This threshold has been lowered to 15%, in other words, halved.
At the same time, the measurement method was changed: instead of recording the weight of children, as was previously standard practice, the circumference of the upper arm is now sufficient. This may sound like a technical detail, but it is a significant change that leads to completely different results.
In Gaza City itself, the proportion of severely malnourished children is 16.5% according to the new IPC report. Under the old rules, this would not have been enough to qualify as “famine.” Under the new rules, however, it certainly does. Without this change, there would have been no international declaration of famine in Gaza and thus no global wave of headlines incriminating Israel.
The US ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee, responded sharply:
“Technically, it sounds complicated, but the message is clear: the rules have been changed so that Israel can be indicted.”
Richard Goldberg, former member of the National Security Council under President Donald Trump, put it even more bluntly:
“The UN is changing the rules of the game to get the result it wants.”
A long-time humanitarian aid worker confirmed to the newspaper:
“In all previous cases of famine, the 30 percent threshold based on weight measurements applied. Now that threshold is simply being lowered.”
Israel does not deny that the supply situation in parts of Gaza is difficult. But the issue here is not whether there is hardship, but how that hardship is classified in official reports. The new definition transforms a serious but regional supply problem into a global scandal with maximum political explosiveness.
This is precisely where the problem lies: international institutions enjoy a trust bonus among many people. When they change their criteria in the middle of an ongoing conflict, it does not come across as neutral assistance – but rather as political action under the guise of scientific objectivity. This not only weakens the credibility of the IPC, but also fuels suspicions that one side of the conflict is being deliberately subjected to political pressure.
The fact that such reports are exploited by Israel's political opponents is not speculation, but has been a reality for years. They are quoted in diplomatic forums, presented at UN votes, and shared millions of times on social media, often without context, but with clear blame assigned to Jerusalem. Regardless of how nuanced the original reports may be, only one message sticks in the public perception: Israel is starving people.
This makes it clear that this lowering of standards does not occur in isolation, but is part of an international communications landscape in which Israel is regularly portrayed as the main culprit, even when the facts are much more complex.
Lowering the bar in such an environment does not contribute to a solution, but rather adds fuel to the fire of political polarization. This has consequences, for the credibility of the UN, for the value of international standards, and for the possibility of still being heard in genuine humanitarian crises.